<p><a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/michigan" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Michigan</a> Republican gubernatorial candidate <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/tudor-dixon" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tudor Dixon</a> has a razor-thin lead over incumbent Democrat Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a new poll shows.</p>
<p>The survey of 1,097 respondents, conducted by the Trafalgar Group from November 5-7, showed Dixon with a lead of 0.3 percentage points over Whitmer just hours before polls opened in the Wolverine State.</p>
<p>According to the <a href="https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/MI-Gen-Poll-Report-1107.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">poll</a>, Dixon leads Whitmer 48.5% to 48.2%. Libertarian Mary Buzuma takes 0.6% of the vote, and other candidates take 0.7%. Another 2% of voters were still undecided. Notably, the poll appears to oversample Democrats.</p>
<p>Democrats made up a majority of poll respondents, 54.5%, while Republicans were just 37.1% of the sample; non-partisan affiliated voters made up the remaining 8.4%. But according to data from <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/religious-landscape-study/state/michigan/party-affiliation/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Pew Research</a>, 47% of voters in Michigan are Democrats or lean Democrat, while Republicans make up 34%, and 19% of voters have no partisan lean.</p>
<p>The Trafalgar Group, which rose to national prominence after being the only public pollster to correctly predict Donald Trump winning the state <a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/06/22/pollster_who_got_it_right_in_2016_michigan_a_dead_heat__143512.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">in 2016</a>, is one of just two public pollsters showing Dixon with a slight lead over Whitmer.</p>
<p>Another poll from <a href="https://amgreatness.com/2022/10/31/insider-advantage-michigan-poll-whitmer-and-dixon-tied-38-9-percent-favorable-rating-for-biden/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">InsiderAdvantage and American Greatness</a> in late October showed Dixon leading Whitmer, 44.8% to 44.6%, with 5.4% undecided.</p>
<p>Previous polls from both Trafalgar and InsiderAdvantage showed Whitmer holding onto a lead. Trafalgar&#8217;s mid-October poll with Michigan News Service had Whitmer <a href="https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/MI-Gen-Gov-Poll-Report-1023.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">leading 48.4% to 47.9%</a>; the previous poll from InsiderAdvantage/American Greatness showed Whitmer <a href="https://amgreatness.com/2022/10/13/insider-advantage-whitmer-and-dixon-tied-in-michigan-governors-race-joe-bidens-approval-down-to-37-percent/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">leading 44.4% to 43.9%</a>.</p>
<p>Another poll from Mitchell/MIRS found a <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/dixon-whitmer-in-statistical-tie-new-poll-finds-michigan-race-going-down-to-the-wire" target="_blank" rel="noopener">statistical tie</a> between the incumbent Democrat and her Republican challenger; Whitmer led 49% to 47% over Dixon, well within the poll&#8217;s 4.2% margin of error, with 3% of respondents undecided.</p>
<p>Dixon has been steadily gaining momentum, with the support of national leaders in the Republican Party. Former President Trump endorsed her during the primary; she has also picked up endorsements from former Education Secretary Betsy DeVos and her husband, businessman Dick DeVos; Republican Governors Doug Ducey of Arizona, Kristi Noem of South Dakota, and Glenn Youngkin of Virginia; Republican Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene; Republican Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake; Donald Trump Jr.; and former Democratic Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, who left the Democratic Party last month. The <a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/governor/mi/michigan_governor_dixon_vs_whitmer-7545.html#polls" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RealClearPolitics</a> average of polls currently shows Whitmer with a 1-point lead over Dixon. However, RCP projects Dixon to flip the Governor&#8217;s race on Tuesday, citing polling errors favoring Democrats by an average of 2.2 points between 2016 and 2020.</p>

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Poll: Tudor Dixon Holds Razor-Thin Lead Over Gretchen Whitmer In Michigan

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Poll: Tudor Dixon Holds Razor-Thin Lead Over Gretchen Whitmer In Michigan