Florida Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis is the solid frontrunner to win the 2024 presidential election, according to one betting site that’s keeping running odds on the race.
Meanwhile, former President Donald Trump has dropped in the odds, and Vice President Kamala Harris has plunged to just a 4.8% probability of winning should she somehow secure the Democratic Party’s nomination.
DeSantis, who has not announced whether he’ll seek the White House, has nearly a one in three chance, standing at 30.8%, according to the projections.
Following the 2022 midterms in November and Trump’s official announcement that he would seek the 2024 Republican nomination, he held the No. 2 position. But Trump has been embroiled in a swamp of controversy ever since. “As of today, Trump’s odds have decreased to 20%,” the betting site Empire Stakes reports.
“This puts him in third place behind current President Joe Biden, who gained 2.2% and is now 2nd most likely to be re-elected in 2024,” the site said.
That’s a big change since July when Biden was in third.
“Biden’s crushed approval ratings and worsening betting odds are causing Democrats to wonder if he is the right figure to take on Trump in 2024,” Joe Short of Gambling.com told The Daily Wire then. “According to the Wall Street Journal, Democrats expect him to go for a second term at the age of 82, but they’re not sure he should.”
“To make matters even worse for Biden, he is now third favorite to win the 2024 US Presidential election, behind both Trump (3/1) and Florida’s Republican Governor Ron DeSantis (4/1),” he said.
Short said that Biden initially appeared willing to cede power to his Vice President Kamala Harris after just one term, but she’s not faring too well to bookies, either. She has “floated way out to 12/1 with bet365 to be the next U.S. president. Evidently, punters and U.K. bookmakers are looking no further than Biden when it comes to Democratic names in 2024.”
But Harris’ plunge in the odds is not that surprising. For the last several months, Democrats have been openly musing about her future, with some liberal news sites and party leaders saying she shouldn’t run in 2024 if Biden bails.
A September survey from Morning Consult found that just 28% of Democratic voters would vote for Harris in a Democratic presidential primary without Biden on the ballot, down from 33% in a poll last year.
And Slate last month was the latest liberal site to come out against Harris.
“As Joe Biden weighs a run for re-election even as he becomes the first octogenarian U.S. president in history, he should think back on what it was like to watch the Harris campaign flame out,” Christina Cauterucci wrote.
“Harris, a proven dud of a presidential candidate who has done little to distinguish herself since is not a good choice for the Democrats’ top billing. For his second term, should he seek one (he shouldn’t!), Biden should tap someone else.”
The views expressed in this piece are the author’s own and do not necessarily represent those of The Daily Wire.
Joseph Curl has covered politics for 35 years, including 12 years as White House correspondent for a national newspaper. He was also the a.m. editor of the Drudge Report for four years. Send tips to [email protected] and follow him on Twitter @josephcurl.