More polls on the early primary state of New Hampshire were released over the past week, showing how Republican candidates stack up in the state with an impressive track record of choosing the eventual nominee.
The New Hampshire primary, along with the Iowa caucuses, act as the launching pad for the presidential election, and Republicans who won the Granite State primary in the last three competitive election cycles (2016, 2012, and 2008) all went on to win the nomination. The state also represents a slightly better chance for a Republican candidate to knock off the GOP frontrunner, former President Donald Trump, as Trump consistently polls lower in New Hampshire than he does nationally.
According to the Real Clear Politics average as of Wednesday, Trump leads the pack in New Hampshire at 44%, 31 points ahead of former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley at 13%. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who is in second place nationally, comes in third place in the state at 10.5%, followed closely by former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie at 9.8%. Tech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy (8%), South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott (4.8%), North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum (2.5%), and former Vice President Mike Pence (1.5%) round out the polling of those who came in above 1%.
The most recent poll, conducted by CBS News from September 15-24, has Trump at 50%, DeSantis in second at 13%, and Haley in third at 11%. The CBS poll was an 11-point difference for Trump compared to a CNN/UNH poll conducted two weeks ago that put the former president at 39%.
The last four polls of New Hampshire showed a significant rise for Haley, the former U.S. ambassador to the UN during the Trump administration. Haley polled as high as 15% in a St. Anselm poll conducted last week, a 10-point rise for the South Carolinian since the previous St. Anselm poll conducted in June. Meanwhile, DeSantis dropped eight points between the two St. Anselm polls as the governor struggles to gain momentum since the launch of his campaign in late May.
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Seven candidates will gather at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California, for Wednesday night’s second GOP presidential debate. Trump, who did not attend the first GOP debate, will also skip this one, opting to speak to striking autoworkers in Michigan instead. The former president has pointed to his dominance in the polls as a reason he’s not debating his Republican opponents.