Biden’s RCP Average Drops Under 40% As More Polls Show Him Hitting Record Lows

President Joe Biden’s poll numbers continue to sink further into the doldrums, as the RealClearPolitics average of polls shows his approval rating under 40%.

The RealClearPolitics poll of polls has Biden’s approval rating at 39.7%, a record low mark, with an average of 55% disapproval. Biden’s approval ratings were dragged down by a new poll showing him at a record low rating, and another poll showing him in the high 30s, and another poll showing his approval languishing in the mid-30s.

Biden’s approval rating dropped to a new low, according to a Politico/Morning Consult poll of 2,006 registered voters, conducted between June 4-5. Just 39% of voters approved of Biden, while 58% disapproved. That number is a 3-point drop from the previous poll, which found Biden’s approval at 42%. It is also significantly lower than former President Trump’s approval at the same point in his presidency. Trump’s approval ratings in early June 2018 stood at 45% approval, 52% disapproval, Morning Consult reported.

Biden also generated far stronger negative feelings than positive. Just 37% of Democrats said they “strongly approve” of Biden’s presidency, while fully 80% of Republicans said they “strongly disapprove.” The poll also found the two major parties evenly split in the Generic Congressional Ballot, 42%-42%, with 16% undecided.

In addition to the Politico/Morning Consult poll, an Emerson College poll of 1,148 registered voters, conducted between May 24-25, found that Biden’s approval rating stood at just 37.6%, while 52% disapproved. The poll also shows trouble for Biden in the 2022 midterms and the 2024 election. According to Emerson, Republicans hold a 3-point lead on the 2022 Generic Ballot, with 45.3% of voters supporting the generic Republican candidate, while 42.3% support the generic Democrat. The poll also found Biden losing to Trump in a hypothetical 2024 matchup: Trump garnered the support of 44.3% of voters, while Biden took just 41.8%. That hypothetical represents a significant change, as voters told Emerson that they voted for Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 46.7%-42.2%.

On individual issues, the economy — including jobs, inflation, and taxes — was overwhelmingly the most important issue in the minds of voters. A near-majority of respondents, 48.7%, said that the economy was the most important issue facing the country. The next closest issue was crime, which just 11.5% of voters said was the most important.

The worst results for Biden came from a Quinnipiac poll of 1,576 U.S. adults, conducted between June 3-6. Among all respondents, Biden’s approval sat at a meager 33%, with 55% disapproval. Those numbers match Biden’s previous all-time lows in Quinnipiac’s polling, which he dropped to first in January, then again in April. Among registered voters, Biden’s approval rating was only slightly better; just 35% of voters approved of Biden, while 56% disapproved. Those numbers also matched Biden’s previous all-time lows.

Biden’s approval was even worse on individual issues: among all Americans, just 28% approved of Biden’s handling of the economy; just 32% approved of his handling of the issue of gun violence; and 42% approved of his handling of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Asked which issue was most important to the country, a plurality of Americans, 34%, said inflation was most important, including pluralities in every single demographic group. The second most important issue was gun violence, which 17% said was the most important issue.

Other polls that factored into the RCP average included: a Reuters/Ipsos poll of 1,000 adults conducted June 6-7, which showed Biden’s approval rating at 41% approval-56% disapproval; Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll of 1,500 likely voters, conducted June 5-7, which showed him at 41%-57%; an Economist/YouGov poll of 1,314 registered voters, showing a 43%-51% approval rating for Biden; and a Harvard/Harris poll of 1,963 registered voters, which found Biden at 41% approval-55% disapproval.