News and Commentary

Warren Done? Massachusetts Senator Isn’t Leading In The Polls, Even In Her Home State

It seems even a CNN town hall couldn’t save Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s (D-MA) presidential campaign.

The Massachusetts senator got the worst news of her fledgling bid for the 2020 Democratic nomination this week when a poll of her own home state showed her a distant third behind both Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), and former Vice President Joe Biden, who hasn’t even officially declared his intent to run.

The Hill reports that “in a poll of likely Democratic primary voters in the state, 14 percent picked Warren as their preferred Democratic nominee for president.” That’s more than ten points behind leader Sanders, who commanded 26% of support, and just shy of ten points behind Biden, who came in at 23%

But it may not be how far Warren is behind the leaders, but how little she is ahead of the next best vote-getter, South Bend mayor Pete Buttigieg, who has 11% support in Massachusetts — the only other candidate to clear 10%, and a virtual unknown outside of the state of Indiana.

“This is a concern for Warren who at this time does not have a firewall in her home state, and her rival Sanders has a strong base in the Bay State,” the director of Emerson polling, who conducted the test, told the Washington, D.C.-based outlet.

That’s no joke. Warren is already behind Biden and Sanders in polls of early primary states, including Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, and hasn’t cleared 10% in any national poll since announcing her candidacy way back in early January. Emerson also conducted polls in slightly later primary states, like Nevada and Pennsylvania, and found similar results — including that Warren is running just ahead of Buttigieg, who came on the scene only a little more than week ago.

It’s not for lack of trying. Warren has worked hard to place herself among the most progressive in the field, calling for everything from reparations to jailing Wall Street bankers. The Washington Free Beacon points out that she’s even made a few changes to her platform under the radar.

“Warren has proposed a series of splashy, progressive ideas, such as breaking up the major tech companies, installing an ‘ultra-millionaires’ tax to fund universal child care, and getting rid of the Electoral College,” WFB reports. “She has also gotten onboard or expressed passing interest in such liberal wishes as reparations and packing the Supreme Court.”

But at the same time, she’s made some very serious mistakes, including taking a genealogy test that searched her DNA for signs that she really and truly is Native American. And while she can probably slough off bad polling numbers in states where she hasn’t held many events or visited frequently, it’s very hard to simply ignore a poll that places you a distant third in a state that’s elected you to the Senate at least twice.

Few candidates are expected to drop out of the race until at least the first debate, set for sometime in late May or early June. But Warren shows signs that her operation may not make it even that far. Since announcing her campaign, she’s lost her finance director over issues with fundraising and hasn’t picked up much money since the first week of her official candidacy.