The campaign of Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump said on Friday that independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropping out of the presidential race will likely have a significant impact on the race in way that is positive for Trump.
Kennedy endorsed Trump shortly before the Republican nominee is set to give a speech just miles away in Glendale, Arizona. The Trump campaign announced on Thursday that the former president will be joined by a “special guest,” which is expected to be RFK Jr., at his rally on Friday.
Trump campaign pollster Tony Fabrizio — one of the top pollsters in the country — broke down the impact of Kennedy leaving the race in a memo.
“I’ve seen the Harris folks already trying to spin that it won’t impact the race,” he said. “Well, the data speaks for itself. The table below is from our most recent round of battleground state surveys. As you can clearly see, in every single state RFK Jr.’s vote breaks for President Trump.”
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The data from seven swing states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin — showed RFK Jr. eating up 3-5% in each state.
“To put these numbers into perspective, the net vote gained in a state like Arizona based on just a 2020 turnout model would be over 41,000 votes[,] nearly 4 times Biden’s winning margin or in Georgia the net gain would be over 19,000 votes[,] nearly twice Biden’s margin,” he wrote. “So, when you hear or see the Harris team and/or the Democrats try and spin otherwise, now that the data clearly paints a different picture. This is good news for President Trump and his campaign – plain and simple.”
Related: RFK Jr. Tears Media, Democrat Party To Pieces In Scathing Speech; Endorses Trump