Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are deadlocked in Wisconsin just days out from Election Day, a final poll from the Marquette Law School found.
The poll found that Harris led Trump by 50-49% among 834 Wisconsin registered voters and 753 likely voters surveyed from October 16-24. Harris’s one-point edge, well within the margin of error, comes as both candidates seek to earn the state’s 10 electoral votes. Wisconsin was decided by less than one percentage point in 2016 and 2020.
The top three issues for the likely voters were the economy (38%), abortion (15%), and immigration and border security (13%). Half of those surveyed said Trump would be better for the economy, while 40% said Harris would be better. On the issue of immigration, 51% said Trump would be better, while 37% preferred Harris. On abortion, 53% said they trusted Harris more, while 35% said Trump.
Trump led Harris 56-44% among those who planned to vote on Election Day and 52-47% of those who planned to vote early, while Harris had a 70-30% advantage among those who said they would vote by mail.
As many national polls have shown, there is a massive gender gap in support for Trump and Harris. Harris led Trump 57%-43% among women, while the former president led Harris 56%-44% among men.
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Marquette’s Law School poll found a tight Senate contest as well between incumbent Democrat Sen. Tammy Baldwin and Republican challenger Eric Hovde. The poll found Baldwin with a 51%-49% lead over Hovde, within the poll’s margin of error. The previous Marquette poll found Baldwin with a seven percentage point lead over Hovde.
On a full Senate ballot, Baldwin leads Hovde 49%-47%, while “America First” Party candidate Thomas Leager earned one percent. Leager’s campaign has been backed by Democrats who hope it pulls conservative votes away from Hovde.
Harris and Trump campaigned in the Badger State on Wednesday, with Trump holding a rally in Green Bay and Harris speaking in Madison. During the rally, Trump, who wore an orange garbage workers vest, was joined by former Green Bay Packers quarterback Brett Favre and current Packers running back A.J. Dillon. Harris was joined by musicians Gracie Abrams, Remi Wolf, and the Mumford & Sons band.
Trump is expected to return to Wisconsin on Friday for a rally in the Democrat stronghold of Milwaukee.