Trudeau Likely To Be Thrown Out In Election: Poll
Justin Trudeau, Canada's prime minister, speaks during a news conference on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, on Friday, Feb. 11, 2022. Trudeau warned that demonstrators will face "real consequences" if they continue blockades in Ottawa and at the U.S. border, while using more conciliatory language in an attempt to help defuse the situation. Photographer: David Kawai/Bloomberg
David Kawai/Bloomberg via Getty Images

A new poll out of Canada found that if national elections were currently held, a political thunderquake would shake the nation, with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party thrown out of power and the Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre, completely dominating the Canadian Parliament.

Abacus Data, one of the country’s most accurate pollsters, surveyed over 3,500 adults between March 16 and March 24, and found that 41% of committed voters would vote for the Conservative party, 23% would vote for the Liberal party, 19% would vote for the New Democratic Party, and 4% would vote for the Green Party.

“Since the beginning of the year, we have seen stability in vote intentions with the Conservatives consistently in the low 40s and the Liberals stuck in the low to mid 20s,” Abacus reported. The survey found that the Conservatives led with all age groups across the country; interestingly, the Liberal vote rose as the age of voters rose, implying young people are more inclined to see the error of Trudeau’s ways. Only one in four voters thought Canada was headed in the right direction.

59% of voters disapproved of the job Trudeau is doing as prime minister. 58% of voters had a negative impression of Trudeau with only 24% having a positive view, leaving him 34 points underwater, while 38% had a positive view of Poilievre and 34% had a negative impression, leaving him four points to the good. Only a paltry 15% of voters thought Trudeau and his party should be reelected. 52% of voters thought it was time for a change.

61% of voters thought Trudeau was focused on the wrong priorities; 48% thought him ineffective, and 53% thought he was not transparent about his actions.

The poll also discovered that Conservative voters were more likely to vote than Liberal or NDP supporters. A near majority of voters, 46%, thought Conservatives would win the next election; only 21% thought the Liberals would win.

“In evaluating the Trudeau government, Canadians expressed concerns about its focus and effectiveness, with a majority viewing the government as distracted, focused on the wrong priorities, and closed. These perceptions are closely tied to vote intention, suggesting any path back to competitiveness for the Liberals will require it to address these public perceptions,” stated Abacus Data CEO David Coletto.

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