<p>Donald Trump loves to cite polls, but he&#8217;s been noticeably quiet lately, which makes sense. Even the leftist <em><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/04/28/donald-trump-is-a-much-weaker-candidate-against-hillary-clinton-than-ted-cruz/">Washington Post</a></em>, which would love nothing better than Hillary Clinton as the next president of the United states, was forced to admit that Ted Cruz has a far better chance of defeating Clinton than Donald Trump.</p>
<p>The <em>Post </em>was not relying on any of its own estimates, but rather what they termed the <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/">polling gurus at Real Clear Politics</a>. The RCP average showed Clinton with a massive 8.5 point lead over Trump. That was based on six different polls: USA Today/Suffolk showed Clinton up by a whopping 11 points, as did the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. CBS News showed Clinton up by 10; McClatchy/Marist showed her up by 9. The more right-leaning Fox News showed her up by 7; GWU/Battleground showed her up by 3.</p>
<p>Conversely, Clinton had only a 3-point average lead against Cruz. Even the biggest margin was less than Clinton&#8217;s average lead against Trump. The biggest margin was in the USA Today/Suffolk poll with a seven-point differential. IBD/Tipp showed Clinton up by 5; CBS News gave her a three-point lead, while NBC News/Wall Street Journal showed a bare two-point margin. Fox News showed Cruz trailing by a single percentage point, and McClatchy/Marist showed the candidates tied.</p>
<p>The <em>Post </em>pointed out that Cruz led Clinton earlier this year in a head-to head-poll, something Trump has not done. The Post concluded: &#8220;As of today, Cruz has a better chance of beating Hillary Clinton in the fall election than does Trump.&#8221;</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not surprising that Trump&#8217;s chances against Clinton look so dismal; earlier this month, an <a href="http://ap-gfkpoll.com/featured/ap-gfk-poll-americans-overwhelmingly-view-trump-negatively">Associated Press-GfK poll</a> showed him with historically unprecedented high unfavorable numbers. 70% of the electorate viewed Trump unfavorably, and even more astonishingly, almost half of GOP voters. The majority of men, women, younger voters, older voters, conservatives, moderates, liberals whites, Hispanics and blacks all viewed Trump unfavorably. The poll noted that even in the South, where Trump won primaries but never achieved a majority of voters, almost 70% of voters viewed him unfavorably.</p>
<blockquote>
<p>It&#8217;s not surprising that Trump&#8217;s chances against Clinton look so dismal.</p>
</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Even more tellingly, as the poll noted, &#8220;The number of Americans who view him unfavorably has risen more than 10 percentage points since mid-February.&#8221;</p></p>

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Polls Show Cruz Has Far Better Chance Of Beating Clinton Than Trump

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<p style="font-weight: 400;">On Monday, shortly after Planned Parenthood sued the Trump administration over a provision in the “big, beautiful bill&#8221; that would have cut federal funding for the abortion giant, a leftist federal judge in Massachusetts blocked the provision outright.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">U.S. District Judge Indira Talwani, an Obama appointee, approved Planned Parenthood&#8217;s request to halt the provision, which freezes Medicaid funding for Planned Parenthood for one year.</p>
<p>Talwani&#8217;s restraining order, which will last for two weeks, <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mad.286600/gov.uscourts.mad.286600.18.0.pdf">holds</a> that &#8220;defendants, their agents, employees, appointees, successors, and anyone acting in concert or participation with Defendants are hereby enjoined from enforcing, retroactively enforcing, or otherwise applying&#8221; the relevant provision of the bill.</p>
<p>&#8220;&#8216;Defendants shall take all steps necessary to ensure that Medicaid funding continues to be disbursed in the customary manner,&#8221; Talwani added.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Talwani’s ruling still allows the administration to enforce the provision against other providers, but Planned Parenthood says it comprises almost the entirety of the impacted entities,” <a href="https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/5388912-judge-temporarily-blocks-planned-parenthood-defunding-megabill/">The Hill</a> noted.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In 2024, Planned Parenthood’s annual report noted the organization had performed 392,715 abortions between Oct. 1, 2021, and Sept. 30, 2022. That represented a 5% increase over the year before, when 374,155 abortions were performed. <em>Roe v. Wade</em> was overturned by the Supreme Court in June 2022.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“The document says that locations in states ‘where abortion is protected’ saw a 700% increase in demand,” the <a href="https://www.catholicnewsagency.com/news/257428/planned-parenthood-reports-record-number-abortions-latest-annual-report">Catholic News Agency</a> reported. “The report also said that Planned Parenthood helped to refer and coordinate travel for over 33,000 abortions.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In late June, the Supreme Court ruled that lower courts do not have the unilateral authority to block presidential orders. Justice Amy Coney Barrett, who wrote the <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a884_8n59.pdf">opinion</a> for the majority, stated, “federal courts do not exercise general oversight of the Executive Branch; they resolve cases and controversies consistent with the authority Congress has given them.”</p>

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Leftist Judge Blocks Trump From Defunding Planned Parenthood With Big Beautiful Bill

<p style="font-weight: 400;">In a staggering turnaround, Argentina’s libertarian president, Javier Milei, has reversed the country’s free-fall into the economic abyss and led a recovery that is simply astonishing.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In November 2023, Argentina’s inflation rate had soared to 211.4% and the country had a poverty rate of 41.7%; 19.5 million people lived below the poverty line. Ironically, just before the November election, The Guardian <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/08/argentina-election-javier-milei-economists-warning">wrote</a> about a letter signed by more than 100 economists warning that electing Milei would bring “devastation” to Argentina.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Through an aggressive program of public spending cuts, eliminating bureaucracy, and reducing public sector jobs, he erased Argentina’s massive fiscal deficit, paving the way for a historic economic recovery,” Emmanuel Rincon noted in <a href="https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/mileis-economic-miracle-how-argentina-slashed-inflation-to-1-5/">The Daily Economy</a>.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">By May 2025, the inflation rate had plummeted to 43.5%, and the consumer price index rose 1.5%, marking the lowest levels in five years. Wholesale prices dropped by 0.3% in May, the best number in 17 years.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“These achievements were no fluke,” Rincon wrote. “They stemmed from a clear strategy: fiscal balance, reduced public spending, ending monetary expansion as a financing tool, and economic deregulation.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Alberto Cavallo, professor at Harvard Business School, pointed out:</p>
<blockquote>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><em>The PriceStats PPP index, which compares thousands of identical products (electronics, food, and fuels), shows a sharp decline: the basket is now 1% cheaper than in the USA. &#8230; The relative costs with Brazil dropped by more than 20 points since January, due to the combined effect of the peso&#8217;s depreciation and the real&#8217;s appreciation against the dollar. Today, the basket of identical products is 3% cheaper in Argentina, below the average since 2016.</em></p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
<p lang="es" dir="ltr">1/¿Qué está pasando con los precios relativos de bienes en Argentina desde la liberación parcial del cepo? El índice PPP de PriceStats, que compara miles de productos idénticos (electrónica, comida y naftas), muestra una fuerte caída: la canasta es hoy 1% más barata que en USA. <a href="https://t.co/uF3ljmuAz3">pic.twitter.com/uF3ljmuAz3</a></p>
<p>&mdash; Alberto Cavallo (@albertocavallo) <a href="https://twitter.com/albertocavallo/status/1941957958352716058?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 6, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
<p lang="es" dir="ltr">3/🇧🇷 Los costos relativos con Brasil bajaron más de 20 puntos desde enero, por el efecto combinado de la depreciación del peso y la apreciación del real frente al dólar. Hoy, la canasta de productos idénticos es 3% más barata en Argentina, por debajo del promedio desde 2016. <a href="https://t.co/5TQ6qG6JzP">pic.twitter.com/5TQ6qG6JzP</a></p>
<p>&mdash; Alberto Cavallo (@albertocavallo) <a href="https://twitter.com/albertocavallo/status/1941957989520507253?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 6, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Milei, like President Donald Trump, wants to open up his nation&#8217;s economy by utilizing its oil resources through drilling in the Vaca Muerta, a geologic formation located in the Neuquen Basin in northern Patagonia, where major deposits of shale oil and gas are found. “The libertarian leader wants to transform Argentina into a major oil producer and reshape an economy <a href="https://archive.is/o/MdqKE/https:/www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-10/on-argentina-s-pampas-farmers-are-all-in-on-libertarian-milei">built on farming</a>. It’s an existential project for all involved: Should Milei succeed in generating new oil wealth, he might manage to heave Argentina from its economic quagmire and persuade voters to keep backing his vision,” <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-07-02/argentina-shale-oil-boom-helps-javier-milei-push-economic-reforms">Bloomberg</a> reported.</p>

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Milei Defies Critics, Working Economic Miracles In Argentina

<p style="font-weight: 400;">The Texas pediatrician who mocked Trump voters after violent Texas floods, posting that victims deserve to “get what they voted for,” no longer works for her pediatric group.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Over the weekend, Dr. Christina B. Propst , who had been employed by Blue Fish Pediatrics, posted on Facebook in a now-deleted message that she wished for the safety only of people who didn&#8217;t vote for MAGA.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"> “May all visitors, children, non-MAGA voters and pets be safe and dry,&#8221; she posted under Facebook user name, Chris Tina. &#8220;Kerr County MAGA voted to gut FEMA. They deny climate change. May they get what they voted for. Bless their hearts.”</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">This is the sort of pediatric clinician employed at <a href="https://twitter.com/BlueFishMD?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@BlueFishMD</a> in Houston. The ethics, humanity and empathy illustrated here is unfathomable. <a href="https://t.co/yW0TbEMGN7">pic.twitter.com/yW0TbEMGN7</a></p>
<p>&mdash; Dr. Lynn Fynn-derella🐭 (@Fynnderella1) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fynnderella1/status/1941567217155571958?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 5, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">At least 80 people, including 28 children, have been declared dead from the raging flood that struck Central Texas on July 4. 10 girls from the all-girls Camp Mystic are still missing. “Two sisters, 13-year-old Blair and 11-year-old Brooke Harber, were killed in the Texas Hill Country floods and found with rosaries and their ‘hands locked together,’ their family said.” <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/central-texas-flooding-sisters-found-holding-hands-2095335">Newsweek</a> reported.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">On Sunday, Blue Fish Pediatrics issued the <a href="https://bluefishmd.com/announcements/the-2025-summer-newsletter-is-here/">following statement</a>:</p>
<blockquote>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><em>This past weekend, we were made aware of a social media comment from one of our physicians. The individual is no longer employed by Blue Fish Pediatrics. As we previously mentioned in our original statement, we strongly condemn the comments that were made in that post. That post does not reflect the values, standards, or mission of Blue Fish Pediatrics. We do not support or condone any statement that politicizes tragedy, diminishes human dignity, or fails to clearly uphold compassion for every child and family, regardless of background or beliefs.</em></p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><em>We continue to extend our full support to the families and the surrounding communities who are grieving, recovering, and searching for hope.</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Meanwhile, Democrats tried to seize upon the tragedy to impugn the Trump administration. Arch-leftist Connecticut senator Chris Murphy posted on X, “Accurate weather forecasting helps avoid fatal disasters. There are consequences to Trump’s brainless attacks on public workers, like meteorologists.”</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">Accurate weather forecasting helps avoid fatal disasters. There are consequences to Trump’s brainless attacks on public workers, like meteorologists. <a href="https://t.co/CRteXdFvL0">https://t.co/CRteXdFvL0</a></p>
<p>&mdash; Chris Murphy 🟧 (@ChrisMurphyCT) <a href="https://twitter.com/ChrisMurphyCT/status/1941571878105297216?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 5, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
<p>There is no indication that the weather service failed ahead of the floods.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">As the <a href="https://apnews.com/article/texas-floods-hill-country-weather-warnings-238d4325bb58f0b410015f74684738b6">Associated Press</a> noted, “The National Weather Service sent out a series of flash flood warnings in the early hours Friday before issuing flash flood emergencies — a rare alert notifying of imminent danger.&#8221;</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">According to Jason Runyen, a meteorologist in the National Weather Service office, the local weather service office had extra staff on duty when the storms hit. They normally have two forecasters when the weather is clear but had up to five when the storms came.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“There were extra people in here that night, and that’s typical in every weather service office — you staff up for an event and bring people in on overtime and hold people over,” Runyen said.</p>

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Texas Pediatrician Fired After Saying ‘MAGA’ Flood Victims Got ‘What They Voted For’

<p style="font-weight: 400;">President Donald Trump<span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"> <a href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114809528606729733" target="_blank" rel="noopener">warned</a> on Sunday that any countries considering alignment with the BRICS intergovernmental organization would face an additional 10% tariff, with</span> no exceptions.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The BRICS group was initially founded in 2009 by Brazil, Russia, India, and China as a forum for discussing coordinated policies, much like the G7 countries, which include the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom. Other countries that have joined BRICS include South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Any Country aligning themselves with the Anti-American policies of BRICS, will be charged an ADDITIONAL 10% Tariff,” Trump posted on Truth Social. “There will be no exceptions to this policy. Thank you for your attention to this matter!”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Last December, as president-elect, Trump <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cgrwj0p2dd9o">warned</a> the BRICS countries against developing a currency to challenge the American dollar, stating, &#8220;The idea that the BRICS Countries are trying to move away from the Dollar while we stand by and watch is OVER.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“China and Russia see BRICS as a way to challenge the United States’ influence on geopolitics and decision-making, and have pushed the group to grow in size,” The New York Times has <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/05/world/americas/iran-brics-summit-rio-de-janeiro.html">noted</a>.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Meanwhile, at the BRICS summit on Sunday in Brazil, representatives of the Iranian government, seeking allies, attended the meeting. On Sunday, the BRICS group issued a statement condemning President Trump’s strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, <a href="https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3317159/brics-leaders-set-condemn-strikes-iran-avoid-direct-mention-us-israel">calling</a> them a “violation of international law.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In January, nine countries <a href="https://geopoliticaleconomy.com/2024/10/26/brics-13-partner-countries-summit-kazan-russia/">became</a> “partner states” with BRICS, a first step toward joining and becoming official members. Those countries included Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Thailand, Uganda, and Uzbekistan. Last month, Vietnam became another “partner state,” a designation that <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/china/vietnam-admitted-brics-partner-country-brazil-says-2025-06-13/">permits</a> a country to participate in BRICS summits and other discussion sessions.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">At the meeting in Brazil, Dilma Rousseff, the chair of the New Development Bank (NDB), which was established by the BRICS nations, boasted, “Today we have strong credit ratings, including a AAA grade from the Japanese agency JCR, and we are expanding into new markets, such as yen-denominated instruments and the Middle East,” then warned against economies relying on the U.S. dollar for external financing, as she declared,  “Any business or government that borrows in foreign currency becomes subject to decisions made by the Federal Reserve or other central banks in developed nations.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“As a concrete example of this alternative approach, she pointed to a project in Brazil funded directly in renminbi, without the need for dollar conversion,” the BRICS portal <a href="https://infobrics.org/en/post/51428/">reported.</a></p>

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Trump Threatens Tariffs For Countries Backing ‘Anti-American’ Global Alliance

<p style="font-weight: 400;">On Sunday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent revealed that President Trump is intent on reviving tariffs that were paused if countries don’t “move along” by August 1.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Bessent appeared on CNN‘s “State of the Union” with host Dana Bash, who asked what was going to happen when the initial 90-day pause on foreign tariffs expired in three days.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“I&#8217;m not going to give away the playbook, because we&#8217;re going to be very busy over the next 72 hours,” Bessent answered. “President Trump&#8217;s going to be sending letters to some of our trading partners, saying that, if you don&#8217;t move things along, then, on August 1, you will boomerang back to your April 2 tariff level. So I think we&#8217;re going to see a lot of deals very quickly. “</p>
<p>“So there&#8217;s basically a new deadline?” Bash asked.</p>
<p>“It’s not a new deadline,” Bessent replied. “We are saying this is when it&#8217;s happening. If you want to speed things up, have at it. If you want to go back to the old rate, that&#8217;s your choice.</p>
<p>Bessent explained that the “playbook” is “to apply maximum pressure. We saw that the E.U. was very slow in coming to the table. Three weeks ago, on a Friday morning, President Trump threatened 50 percent tariffs, and, within a few hours, five of the European national leaders had called him. And Ursula von der Leyen, the head of the E.U., was on the phone.”<br />
“We are close to several deals,” Bessent continued. “As always, there&#8217;s a lot of foot-dragging on the other side. And so I would expect to see several big announcements over the next couple of days.”</p>
<p>“The thing about being the deficit country, Dana, is, when you are the deficit country, you have the leverage,” Bessent asserted. “These are surplus countries that they have exported more to us than we export to them. So we have the leverage in this situation.”</p>
<p>When Bash posited that small business owners have told her they are living with uncertainty because of the tariffs, Bessent replied, “I&#8217;d say two things, is, the other thing they would probably have been telling you is, it was the uncertainty around taxes. So, with the One Big Beautiful Bill, they now have great certainty on taxes. &#8230; When I&#8217;m out talking to businesses, they want trade and taxes. So we have certainty on taxes now. All businesses know that they will be getting 100 percent expensing for new plant and equipment. On tariffs, again, it is the 18 important trading relationships. And we&#8217;re moving through those.”</p>

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Bessent: Trump Will Revive Foreign Tariffs If Countries Don’t ‘Move Along’ By August 1

<p style="font-weight: 400;">After his key role in getting President Trump’s “big, beautiful” budget bill passed, House Speaker Mike Johnson <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/johnson-says-megabill-jet-fuel-economy-teases-2-future-bills-within-next-year">outlined his plans</a> for the future, with more reconciliation bills on the way, and offered a succinct, caustic response to Democrats claiming they were happy to run against the bill in 2026.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“What deals were made?” Fox News Sunday&#8217;s Shannon Bream asked Johnson on Sunday. “There a couple of members who’ve said they were given assurances outside of this bill of other things  that they would get down the line.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“I don’t make deals,” Johnson replied bluntly. “Never have since I became Speaker, which is why I’m still surviving with the gavel. You have to find out where people’s red lines are and navigate through that, with what we’ve had is the smallest margin in US history at most points along the way, but we got it done.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“No side deals,” he reiterated. “What the extra time was, we needed that for people to process. Remember, we got the Senate bill on a Tuesday. They modified a lot of what we did in the House. We worked on it for over a year, so we needed a couple of days there or everybody to process what all those changes were and ensure that they knew exactly how that was gonna be implemented by the administration.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Dean referred to rumored “promises” that had been made outside the bill. Johnson explained, “We’ve been talking about that publicly and privately for a year and a half. We had always planned to do the first big reconciliation bill, which is the big beautiful bill — now it’s done, a huge leap forward for our priorities — but then also we’ve been planning a second reconciliation bill for the fall — it would be attached to the next fiscal year — and then potentially one in the spring. That’s my plan: three reconciliation bills before this Congress is over. I think we can do that, and so you’ll see more of us advancing these common sense principles to deliver that America First agenda for the people. That’s what they elected us to do. This was a huge leap forward.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Democrats say they are excited to run on this bill,” Bream said, prompting Johnson to gibe, “Yeah, right.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Bream then quoted a DCCC memo saying that Republicans would lose the majority in 2026 because of the big, beautiful bill and the more people knew about it, the less popular it became. “They’re also talking about Democrats holding rallies outside of rural hospitals  and nursing homes this summer to tell people they are going to lose their care,” she stated.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“As I said on the House floor the other day, it takes a lot longer to build a lie than to tell the simple truth,” Johnson said. “Our Republicans are going to be out across the country telling the simple truth, and guess what? It will be demonstrated. Everyone will have more take home pay. They’ll have more jobs and opportunity. The economy will be doing better. And we will be able to point to that as the obvious result of what we did.”</p>

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‘Yeah, Right’:  Johnson Drags Dems Who Claim They’re Happy To Run Against Big Beautiful Bill

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Today, I want to talk about the recent flooding in Kerr County, Texas. In addition to covering what happened over the past weekend, I’d also like to share some uplifting stories of heroism and hope that emerged from the aftermath.

Hour 1

The Comments Section with Reagan Conrad

The Devastating Tragedy in Texas

The Devastating Tragedy in Texas [Member Exclusive]

Auburn head coach Hugh Freeze is receiving some backlash for "playing too much golf." We break down what is going on with Auburn and Alabama's football recruiting, and what we think you can expect this season.

Crain & Company

Alabama Is DOMINATING Auburn In Football Recruiting

Auburn head coach Hugh Freeze is receiving some backlash for "playing too much golf." We break down what is going on with Auburn and Alabama's football recruiting, and what we think you can expect this season.

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Alabama Is DOMINATING Auburn In Football Recruiting [Member Exclusive]

Sparked by French’s recent New York Times article, “The Democrats’ $20 Million Man Problem,” he and Jordan Peterson discuss the societal failures contributing to male alienation—fatherlessness, loss of purpose, overmedication, and a culture that increasingly pathologizes masculinity. French shares personal insights as a father, veteran, and conservative commentator (Who is regularly published in Liberal outlets), and the two expand on themes of demoralization, the need for intentional rites of passage, and the psychological appeal of figures like Andrew Tate. The conversation closes with a stark agreement—we urgently need to reach young men with empathy, structure, and a meaningful vision for life.

This episode was filmed on July 2nd, 2025


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For David French:

On X https://x.com/davidafrench?lang=en 

Read David’s work on the New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/by/david-french#latest 

Read David’s most recent book, “Divided We Fall: America's Secession Threat and How to Restore Our Nation” https://a.co/d/1Ne3VBS 


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