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A new report reveals that the Democrat Party’s internal polling shows them getting blown out in November’s congressional elections.
At a meeting last week with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) Chair Sean Patrick Maloney, Democrats who are on the bubble in the upcoming election were informed that in battleground districts, the generic Republican is beating the generic Democrat by a whopping eight points, 47-39.
“Given that Democrats generally have a three or four-point built-in advantage on the generic ballot, this is a particularly concerning development for Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s majority,” Punchbowl News noted.
The news of the huge swing toward Republicans was buttressed by polling from the Congressional Leadership Fund (CLF), a GOP super-PACT, which stated, “Biden +8 districts are now ‘tossups.’ CLF polled 16 districts that Joe Biden won an average of 8 points. In those districts, the generic ballot was TIED and Joe Biden’s approval was -8%.”
“The average incumbent Democrat was at only 44% on the ballot in these districts — perilous shape, especially for deep blue districts — and had a 38% favorable rating and 25% unfavorable rating,” CLF reported, adding that some of the Democrats threatened with defeat included California’s Mike Levin, Connecticut’s Jahana Hayes, Minnesota’s Angie Craig, Virginia’s Abigail Spanberger, and Washington’s Kim Schrier.
If Republican representatives flip a paltry five seats in Congress in November they will gain the majority in the House of Representatives, according to Reuters.
More often than not, the party with their president in the White House loses seats in a non-presidential election year. Barack Obama and the Democrats were wiped out in 2010, losing a staggering 63 seats; in 2018, Donald Trump and the Republicans lost 41 House seats. Both times control of the House flipped to the other party.
Only once in nineteen times since the end of World War II in 1945 has a president’s party gained seats in the House of Representatives during his first midterm: in 2002, when George W. Bush was president and the Republicans gained eight House seats.
In one recent NBC poll, President Biden’s approval stood in the high thirties. If it remains there, it would leave Biden at the lowest level at the time of the midterm election of any president since Democrat Harry Truman in 1946.
“30 House Democrats have announced they are retiring or seeking other office, the most for the party since 1992,” Reuters pointed out. “Fewer than 20 House races are viewed by election analysts as true tossups — and only 32 races can be considered competitive, according to an aggregate of leading election analysts.”