<p>Wednesday afternoon, Nate Silver, widely regarded as the mathematician with his finger squarely on the pulse of the American electorate, released a post in which he <a href="http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/wisconsin-republican/#polls-only">favored</a> Ted Cruz to win the Wisconsin primary. Silver gave Cruz a 60% chance of winning the primary, with Donald Trump following at 39% and John Kasich a paltry 1%.</p>
<p>Silver has a natural distrust of polls, and noted, &#8220;Not all polls are created equal, so our forecasts are calculated based on weighted polling averages.&#8221; Still, this was his estimate as a polls-only forecast, rather than a polls-plus forecast, so given that Cruz has won key endorsements in the state, notably the Club for Growth PAC, Milwaukee radio host Charlie Sykes, and Assembly Majority Leader Jim Steineke, Cruz&#8217;s chances may be even better that 60%. The group Right Wisconsin <a href="http://host.madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/the-presidential-election-has-arrived-in-wisconsin/article_92ce6bc7-00b3-55b1-8fa0-3f8b72f389f7.html">endorsed</a> Cruz on Monday.</p>
<p>Cruz&#8217;s chances will likely improve even more if Governor Scott Walker endorses him. Walker hinted on Wednesday he may do just that, <a href="http://host.madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/scott-walker-ted-cruz-only-viable-alternative-to-donald-trump/article_ff954945-1fcf-58a9-a4e8-ca530b69695a.html">saying</a>, &#8220;If you&#8217;re someone who is uneasy with the front-runner right now, there&#8217;s really only one candidate. Ted Cruz is the only one who&#8217;s got a chance other than Donald Trump to win the nomination statistically, and my friend Gov. (John) Kasich cannot.&#8221;</p>
<p>According to the <em><a href="http://www.texastribune.org/2016/03/22/wisconsin-anti-trump-firewall-captures-cruzs-atten/">Texas Tribune</a></em>, Cruz&#8217;s campaign has a county chair in virtually every county in Wisconsin.</p>

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Nate Silver: Cruz Favored To Win Wisconsin

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<p style="font-weight: 400;">Over a dozen Muslim imams from Europe defied the anti-Israel sentiments of much of the Muslim world and met in Jerusalem with Israeli President Isaac Herzog this week.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The imams came from France, Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, and the U.K., The Jerusalem Post <a href="https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-860380">reported</a>. “We are all children of Abraham, and I believe the historic progress in our region is a progress of dialogue between Muslims and Jews, and Jews and Muslims,” Herzog said, The Times of Israel <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/group-of-europe-based-imams-visits-israel-bearing-message-of-peace/">noted</a>. “What you’re doing on this visit, and in your courageous work, reflects the silent majority in the Middle East and around the world who yearn for this kind of shared life.”</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">“You represent the world of brotherhood, humanity, and liberty”. The words of Imam Hassen Chalghoumi from France to me today.  </p>
<p>I was moved and inspired to meet him and a delegation led by <a href="https://twitter.com/elnet_global?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@elnet_global</a> of Imams and Muslim community leaders from across Europe. They stand bravely… <a href="https://t.co/gpJja2tQne">pic.twitter.com/gpJja2tQne</a></p>
<p>&mdash; יצחק הרצוג Isaac Herzog (@Isaac_Herzog) <a href="https://twitter.com/Isaac_Herzog/status/1942178750319186206?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 7, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">🇮🇱 It was a great pleasure to meet the President of Israel <a href="https://twitter.com/Isaac_Herzog?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Isaac_Herzog</a> along with European Muslim religious leaders led by <a href="https://twitter.com/Imam1chalghoumi?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Imam1chalghoumi</a> and organised by <a href="https://twitter.com/elnet_global?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@elnet_global</a>. </p>
<p>It was a peace journey from European Muslim Imams to Israel. We want peace between both nations and… <a href="https://t.co/oMiDsHhnLs">pic.twitter.com/oMiDsHhnLs</a></p>
<p>&mdash; Noor Dahri &#8211; نور ڈاہری ‎ 🇬🇧 (@dahrinoor2) <a href="https://twitter.com/dahrinoor2/status/1942202717981585737?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 7, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Herzog noted that on October 8, 2023, the day after the Hamas massacre of 1200 Israelis, he visited the Soroka Medical Center in Beersheba — which was struck by an Iranian ballistic missile on June 19 —  where Jewish and Arab staff worked beside one another to treat the wounded and the injured.</p>
<p>Imam Hassen Chalghoumi, the chairman of the Conference of Imams of France and the chair of People for Peace, led the group of imams; he stated that the group prayed for the hostages taken by Hamas on October 7. “He introduced each of the members of the delegation to Herzog and explained that they all love, respect, and admire Israel, believe in its right to defend itself, applaud its resilience, and are opposed to terrorism, violence, and the atrocities perpetrated by Hamas and Iran,” the Jerusalem Post noted.</p>
<p>Imam Youssef Masbeh, who came from the Bilal Mosque in the northern Dutch city of Alkmaar, chanted a song of praise for Herzog and suggested everyone sing HaTikvah (The Hope), Israel’s national anthem. Masbeh sang the same lyrics as the anthem but in Arabic and used a different melody.</p>
<p>“Here in Israel, we want peace,” Herzog told the group. “We want to see all our hostages back home, and we want to see an end to the suffering of the people in Gaza, too. We want to see better lives for everyone.” He said he hoped “peace will come with Syria, with Lebanon, <em style="font-weight: inherit;">inshallah</em> even with Saudi Arabia, and that we will continue moving forward.”</p>
<p>“When they finished, they all rose and individually and collectively embraced Herzog,”  the Jerusalem Post reported.</p>
<p>The day after the imams met with Herzog, Masbeh’s mosque in Alkmaar suspended him. “Following recent political statements by the imam, the board has decided to suspend him with immediate effect,” the mosque <a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/dutch-imam-suspended-after-meeting-isaac-herzog-delegation-israel">stated</a> on Instagram. “As of this moment, the institution has no relationship with him.”</p>

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Muslim Imams From Europe Meet With Israeli President. The Next Day, One Is Suspended By His Mosque

<p style="font-weight: 400;">In his latest attempt to disguise his immeasurable leftism, California Democrat Governor Gavin Newsom insisted that he was “not anti-gun at all” after being given a gun by former Navy SEAL Shawn Ryan on the veteran’s podcast. California Democrat governor Gavin Newsom insisted that he was “not anti-gun at all.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Ryan handed Newsom a “California-compliant” Sig Sauer P365 X-Macro pistol, prompting Newsom to respond, “The last thing people would expect is that I respect this gift.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“I’m not anti-gun at all,” Newsom protested. “I’m for just some gun-safe, common sense. I’m challenged by large capacity magazine clips in urban centers, weapons of war, sometimes outgunning the police, but otherwise, man, people have the right to bear arms, and I got no ideological opposition to that at all.”</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">Shawn Ryan gifts Gavin Newsom a California compliant SIG Sauer P365 X-Macro. <a href="https://twitter.com/GavinNewsom?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@GavinNewsom</a><a href="https://twitter.com/sigsauerinc?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@sigsauerinc</a> <a href="https://t.co/Cv5DJ1rsFt">pic.twitter.com/Cv5DJ1rsFt</a></p>
<p>&mdash; Shawn Ryan Show (@ShawnRyanShow) <a href="https://twitter.com/ShawnRyanShow/status/1943705669980364872?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 11, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Let’s take a look at Newsom’s record on guns.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In June 2021, Newsom <a href="https://www.gov.ca.gov/2021/06/04/governor-newsom-statement-on-assault-weapons-court-decision/">bashed</a> a federal judge after the judge ruled that California’s assault weapons ban was “unconstitutional” and violated the Second Amendment.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“The fact that this judge compared the AR-15 – a weapon of war that’s used on the battlefield – to a Swiss Army Knife completely undermines the credibility of this decision and is a slap in the face to the families who’ve lost loved ones to this weapon,” Newsom claimed. “We’re not backing down from this fight, and we’ll continue pushing for common sense gun laws that will save lives.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">But the AR-15 is not a “weapon of war,” and it is not “used on the battlefield” by modern militaries. The AR-15 is the civilian version of the U.S. military’s M4 rifle. The M4 is able to fire in a fully automatic mode, while the AR-15 is a semi-automatic rifle.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In December 2021, after the Supreme Court decided to leave a Texas anti-abortion law in place, Newsom responded by threatening gun sellers and manufacturers with fines of “at least $10,000,” posting on X, “SCOTUS is letting private citizens in Texas sue to stop abortion?! If that’s the precedent then we’ll let Californians sue those who put ghost guns and assault weapons on our streets. If TX can ban abortion and endanger lives, CA can ban deadly weapons of war and save lives.”</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">SCOTUS is letting private citizens in Texas sue to stop abortion?!</p>
<p>If that&#39;s the precedent then we&#39;ll let Californians sue those who put ghost guns and assault weapons on our streets.</p>
<p>If TX can ban abortion and endanger lives, CA can ban deadly weapons of war and save lives. <a href="https://t.co/N5Iur9PEUZ">https://t.co/N5Iur9PEUZ</a></p>
<p>&mdash; Gavin Newsom (@GavinNewsom) <a href="https://twitter.com/GavinNewsom/status/1469865185493983234?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">December 12, 2021</a></p></blockquote>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In July 2022, Newsom signed a law permitting lawsuits to be filed against gun makers. The law, <a href="https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=202120220AB1594">AB 1594</a>, created a “firearm industry standard of conduct,” including the requirement to “[e]stablish, implement, and enforce reasonable controls” and “[t]ake reasonable precautions to ensure that the firearm industry member does not sell, distribute, or provide a firearm-related product to a downstream distributor or retailer of firearm-related products who fails to establish, implement, and enforce reasonable controls.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In June 2023, Newsom <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2023/06/08/newsom-gun-control-amendment-00100954">proposed</a> a 28th Amendment to the Constitution that would ban “assault weapons,” implement universal background checks for gun purchases, raise the federal minimum age for buying a firearm from 18 to 21, and impose a mandatory “reasonable” waiting period for all gun purchases.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In September 2023, Newsom signed into law a bill that “specifically bans people from carrying guns in 26 places, including public parks and playgrounds, public demonstrations and gatherings, amusement parks, churches, banks, zoos and ‘any other privately owned commercial establishment that is open to the public’ unless the owner puts up a sign saying guns are allowed,” the AP <a href="https://apnews.com/article/california-guns-ammunition-tax-school-safety-0870a673a3d4e85c78466897cfd7ff6f">noted</a>.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">He’s not anti-gun at all.</p>

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‘Not Anti-Gun At All’: Newsom’s Latest Attempt To Disguise His Rampant Leftism

<p style="font-weight: 400;">Ken Martin, the chair of the Democratic National Committee, celebrated the fact that people in his party embrace “Globalize the Intifada,” contending that you “win through addition” and the party should “celebrate” the difference of opinion.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Globalize the Intifada” <a href="https://www.ajc.org/news/what-does-globalize-the-intifada-mean-and-how-can-it-lead-to-targeting-jews-with-violence">is</a> a “phrase used by pro-Palestinian activists that calls for aggressive resistance against Israel and those who support Israel. The most prominent expressions of intifada have been through violence so this phrase is often understood by those saying and hearing it as encouraging violence against Israelis, Jews, and institutions supporting Israel,” according to the American Jewish Committee.</p>
<p>During the most recent terrorist intifada, over a thousand Israelis were killed, predominantly civilians. During an interview on PBS Newshour, host Amna Nawaz asked the Democratic chairman about New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani refusing to condemn the incendiary phrase: “What about concerns from some of your Jewish colleagues in particular about him not outright condemning the phrase ‘Globalize the Intifada’ in a recent interview? Some of your Jewish colleagues have said that that could be very disturbing, potentially dangerous. Do you agree with that?”</p>
<p>Martin said he&#8217;s happy to have that point of view in the Democratic coalition.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“There’s no candidate in this party I agree 100% of the time with, to be honest with you,” Martin answered. “There’s things that I don’t agree with Mamdani that he said. But at the end of the day, I always believe, as a Democratic Party chair in Minnesota for the last 14 years and now the chair of the DNC, that you win through addition. You win by bringing people into your coalition.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“We have conservative Democrats. We have centrist Democrats. We have labor progressives like me, and we have this new brand of Democrat, which is the leftist,” he stated. “And we win by bringing people into that coalition. And at the end of the day, for me, that’s the type of party we’re going to lead. We are a big-tent party. Yes, it leads to dissent and debate and there’s differences of opinions on a whole host of issues, but we should celebrate that as a party and recognize at the end of the day, we’re better because of it.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Yet prior to that statement in which Martin spoke of including all perspectives, he made it clear that political positions were secondary to the need to regain power, declaring, “We can’t just be in a perpetual state of resisting Donald Trump. Of course, we have to resist Donald Trump. There’s no doubt about it for all the reasons we just talked about, but we also have to give people a sense of what we’re for, what the Democratic Party is fighting for, and what we would do if they put us back in power. And that’s really critical.”</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="YouTube video player" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/mVDCmXwqDDY?si=BNyC3PT1U5TYXQcS&amp;start=313" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></p>
<p>The First Palestinian Intifada lasted from 1987-1990, and the Second Intifada from 2000-05.</p>
<p>According to the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Institute_for_Counter-Terrorism">International Institute for Counter-Terrorism</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civilian_casualties_in_the_Second_Intifada">during</a> the Second Intifada, 887 of the 1,137 Israelis murdered in attacks from September 2000 – 2005 were civilians.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Just between May 2001 and May 2002, prior to the bombing at Hebrew University, there were these massacres: five Israelis murdered by a suicide bomber at the HaSharon Mall in May 2001; 21 Israelis murdered by a suicide bomber at the Dolphinarium Discotheque in June 2001; 15 Israelis murdered by a suicide bomber at Sbarro’s Pizza in August 2001, including six children and a 31-year-old woman who was the only child of her parents and was five months pregnant; 11 Israelis murdered in a bus bombing on Ben Yehuda Street in Jerusalem on December 1, 2001; 15 more Israelis murdered the very next day in a Haifa suicide bombing; 11 more Israelis murdered in a bus attack 10 days later in Immanuel; six Israelis murdered in an attack at a bat-mitzvah in January 2002; 11 more Jews killed in an attack on a yeshiva in March 2002, including a five-month-old child; 11 Jews murdered in a bombing at Café Moment in March 2002; 30 Israelis killed as they celebrated Passover in Netanya on March 27, 2002; 16 Israelis murdered in a suicide bombing four days later at the Matza restaurant, and 16 Israelis murdered in Rishon LeZion in May 2002.</p>

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DNC Chair: Dems Win By Welcoming Leftists Who Refuse To Condemn ‘Globalize The Intifada’

<p style="font-weight: 400;">Rep. Ritchie Torres (D-NY) who is unfailingly left on political issues but is also a fervent supporter of the State of Israel, admitted this week that the reason allies of hard-Left New York mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani want to primary him is because of his support for Israel.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The conversation stemmed from CNN’s Abby Phillip noting that Mamdani’s allies have a list of congressional representatives they want to challenge in primaries and Torres is on the list.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Torres is not the only Democrat to be pilloried by members of his party for supporting Israel; Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) has been <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/as-fetterman-defends-israel-dems-suddenly-question-his-mental-health">targeted for the same reason</a>.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“I want to ask you this,” CNN’s Ana Navarro said. “How the hell does the first openly gay Afro-Puerto Rican congressperson from the Bronx, end up being establishment? What — what does establishment mean these days in the Democratic Party?”</p>
<p>“For me, the lesson learned from Mamdani&#8217;s victory is that there is no Democratic establishment,” Torres replied, alluding to Mamdani&#8217;s recent win in the Democratic Party&#8217;s primary for New York City mayor.</p>
<p>“What do you mean by that? What do you mean by that?” Phillip interjected.</p>
<p>“Are you being honest when you say you don&#8217;t know why they&#8217;re targeting you?” CNN conservative political commentator Scott Jennings asked bluntly. “ You know why they&#8217;re targeting you.</p>
<p>“Oh, no, I&#8217;m not — I know why they&#8217;re targeting —” Torres managed.</p>
<p>“But you know why they&#8217;re targeting you,” Jennings persisted.</p>
<p>“But I don&#8217;t — I don&#8217;t care that they&#8217;re targeting me,” Torres protested.</p>
<p>“So, why don&#8217;t you say it?” Jennings challenged. “You know why they&#8217;re targeting you.”</p>
<p>“I think they&#8217;re targeting me because I&#8217;m pro-Israel,” Torres admitted.</p>
<p>“That&#8217;s 100 percent correct,” Jennings agreed.</p>
<p>“That&#8217;s the issue,” Torres finished, adding, “I am specifically targeted because of my position on Israel.”</p>
<p>“And by the way he&#8217;s been courageous on this issue and he&#8217;s had a backbone and he stood up to the wacko radicals in his party on this, and he deserves all the credit in the world for it,” Jennings declared. “But that&#8217;s why he&#8217;s on the list, because these people have a burning hatred for Israel. It&#8217;s one of their main pieces of their platform and that&#8217;s why they put them on the list and it&#8217;s terrible.”</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en">Often, my main function is to get to the heart of the matter 👇</p>
<p>In NYC, Mamdani’s radical, socialist, anti-Semitic supporters are trying to primary <a href="https://twitter.com/RepRitchie?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@RepRitchie</a> for one reason only: because of his courageous stance on Israel. Let’s not pretend there’s any other reason. <a href="https://t.co/M66fhAbkrf">pic.twitter.com/M66fhAbkrf</a></p>
<p>— Scott Jennings (@ScottJenningsKY) <a href="https://twitter.com/ScottJenningsKY/status/1943166021025616070?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 10, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Three months after the Hamas massacre of roughly 1,200 people in Israel on October 7, 2023, Torres gave <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/ritchie-torres-gives-impassioned-speech-denouncing-those-cheering-celebrating-october-7-massacre" target="_blank" rel="noopener">impassioned</a> response to those who had cheered and celebrated the attack.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Like all of you, I was profoundly shaken, not only by October 7, but by its aftermath. I found it utterly horrifying to see fellow Americans openly cheering and celebrating the deadliest massacre of Jews since the Holocaust,” he stated at the annual Martin Luther King sermon at Central Synagogue in Manhattan.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“And for me, the aftermath of October 7 revealed the barbarity of the American heart that reminded me of an earlier and darker time in our nation’s history; a time when the public mobs of Jim Crow would openly celebrate the lynching of African-Americans or the lynching of a Jewish-American like Leo Frank,” he continued.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“And so words cannot express the overwhelming outrage that I felt at the barbaric reaction to the barbarism of October 7. You know, people often ask me, ‘Why do you care so deeply? Why do you speak out so frequently and forcefully against antisemitism?’ And I simply reply, ‘You are asking the wrong question. The question is not why have I chosen to be outspoken; the question is why have others chosen to be silent amid the deadliest day for the Jews since the Holocaust.’”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Dr. King once said that history will record that the greatest tragedy is not the strident clamor of the bad people, but it’s the appalling silence of the good people,” Torres recalled. “Elie Wiesel once said that the opposite of love is not hate; it is indifference. And what we’ve seen in the aftermath of October 7 is appalling silence and indifference and cowardice from so-called leaders in our society; from institutions that we once respected and admired. And if we as a society cannot bring ourselves to condemn the murder of innocents with moral clarity, then we must ask: What are we becoming as a society? What does that reveal about the depth of anti-Semitism in the American soul?”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“October 7 has been an awakening for the Jewish community, but it must be a reckoning for all of America,” he declared. “We must confront the deepening rot of anti-Semitism; on social media platforms, on college campuses, and elsewhere in America. We must ask ourselves: What kind of society do we wish to be? Do we wish to be a society that affirms that every life, every Jewish life, every black life, every life, has inherent dignity and value and worth? That each of us is a child of God, that each of us is an equal creation in the image of God?”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Or do we wish to be a society that affirms that violence and terror, no matter how barbaric, can be justified and even glorified, under the guise of ‘resistance,’” he asked pointedly.</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en">I had the honor of delivering the annual MLK sermon at Central Synagogue.</p>
<p>My speech touches on a range of topics and themes: October 7th, Jim Crow, Leo Frank, MLK, Elie Wiesel, silence, indifference, moral clarity, nonviolence, Israel, Am Yisrael Chai, Hatikvah, and hope. <a href="https://t.co/stxqxzgyLi">pic.twitter.com/stxqxzgyLi</a></p>
<p>— Ritchie Torres (@RitchieTorres) <a href="https://twitter.com/RitchieTorres/status/1747065334467584292?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 16, 2024</a></p></blockquote>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Related: <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/as-fetterman-defends-israel-dems-suddenly-question-his-mental-health">As Fetterman Defends Israel, Dems Suddenly Question His Mental Health</a></strong></p>

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Dem Leftist Congressman Admits He’s Targeted By Mamdani Allies Because He Supports Israel

<p style="font-weight: 400;">The former President of the International Court of Justice (ICJ), who, serving as a judge, gave the preliminary ruling in South Africa’s genocide case against Israel, took issue with the media claiming the International Criminal Court (ICC) had accused Israel of genocide, saying, “I’m correcting what’s often said in the media.” The ICJ is the principal judicial entity of the United Nations.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Judge Joan Donoghue appeared on the BBC’s “HARDtalk” with host Stephen Sackur.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Would it be fair to say, and I’m no lawyer, and many people watching and listening will not be lawyers, but would it be fair to say that the key point that you made your initial order and ruling upon, was whether or not there was a plausible case that should be taken on by the court of genocide in the case of Israel’s actions in Gaza after October 7, and you quite clearly decided that there was a plausible case?” Sackur asked. “Is it right to say that’s at heart what you decided?”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Contending directly with Sackur’s supposition, Donoghue replied, “You know, I’m glad I have a chance to address that because the court’s test for deciding whether to impose measures uses the idea of plausibility, but the test is the plausibility of the rights that are asserted by the applicant, in this case, South Africa. So the Court decided that the Palestinians have the plausible right to be protected from genocide and that South Africa had the right to present that claim in the Court.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“It then looked at the facts as well, but it did not decide — and this is something where I’m correcting what’s often said in the media — it didn’t decide that the claim of genocide was plausible,” she continued. “It did emphasize in the order that there was a risk of irreparable harm to the Palestinian right to be protected from genocide, but the shorthand that often appears — which is there’s a plausible case of genocide —  isn’t what the court decided.”</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en">The president of the ICJ stated unequivocally that the ICJ did NOT find that there was a Genocide in Gaza.</p>
<p>She even specified that there is not even a “plausible” genocide.</p>
<p><a href="https://t.co/MgbBDIldqd">pic.twitter.com/MgbBDIldqd</a></p>
<p>— Eyal Yakoby (@EYakoby) <a href="https://twitter.com/EYakoby/status/1943154628750684271?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 10, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Left-wing groups such as <a href="https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2024/12/amnesty-international-concludes-israel-is-committing-genocide-against-palestinians-in-gaza/">Amnesty International</a> and <a href="https://www.hrw.org/news/2024/12/19/israels-crime-extermination-acts-genocide-gaza">Human Rights Watch</a>, among others, have launched the claim that Israel has committed genocide in Gaza.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“International law is clear on the need for ‘specific intent’ to accompany any acts falling within the <em>actus reus</em> of the crime of genocide, that is the <em>intent to destroy in whole or in part</em> one of the protected groups, as such,” the European Journal of International Law, arguing against the claim of genocide by Israel, <a href="https://www.ejiltalk.org/rebutting-allegations-of-genocide-against-israel/">stated</a>. “Simply intending to kill or to otherwise harm individual members of that group would not be sufficient to reach this very high threshold of intent.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The Journal continued:</p>
<blockquote>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><em>With respect to humanitarian aid, despite initial statements to the contrary, Israel later on allowed humanitarian aid to enter the Gaza Strip during its military operation, <a href="https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/israel-hamas-war-biden/card/israel-says-it-will-allow-humanitarian-aid-into-gaza-N8P2H1SSRK9vhWZmn3Sa">clarifying</a> that its main concern after the 7 October 2023 attacks was that the aid would end up in the hands of Hamas. It has also taken steps to prevent harm to the civilian Palestinian population, including by: (i) encouraging civilians to move out of the line of fire through disseminating fliers, publishing information online, making thousands of individual phone calls, and communicating instructions and directions in Arabic via radio and other forms of media to guide Gazans to safer areas (see <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-army-publishes-map-it-says-advises-gazans-safe-evacuation-areas-2023-12-01/">here</a>); (ii) holding fire to enable Gazans to safely move through humanitarian corridors (see <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-16/israel-announces-another-safe-passage-for-gazans-to-move-south">here</a>); (iii) delivering incubators, baby food and medical supplies to Al-Shifa Hospital during a raid (see <a href="https://twitter.com/IDF/status/1724678643010404446">here</a>); and (iv) carrying out assessments and verifications that any strikes are directed at military targets.  </em></p>
</blockquote>

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<p style="font-weight: 400;">A <a href="https://isc.independent.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Intelligence-and-Security-Committee-of-Parliament-Iran.pdf">report</a> from Great Britain’s Intelligence and Security Committee of Parliament stated clearly that they saw Iran as a “significant threat to the UK.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“The Iran threat should not be underestimated: it is persistent and  — crucially  — unpredictable,” the report — which was completed before the October 7 Hamas massacre of Israelis and subsequent events occurred — declared. “Iran has a high appetite for risk when conducting offensive activity, which means it poses a dynamic and erratic threat. &#8230; it can escalate action sharply with little warning. This was seen following the 2022 protests in Iran, when there was a significant increase in the threat of a physical attack to individuals in the UK and the Middle East whom Iran perceives to be a threat to the regime.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Iran often operates through proxy groups — including criminal networks, militant and terrorist organizations, and private cyber actors. This provides it with a deniable means of attacking its adversaries with minimal risk of retaliation,” the report continued.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“The threat to the opponents of the Iranian regime residing in the UK is the greatest level of threat we currently face from Iran.’ It is on a broadly comparable level to that posed by Russia,” the report asserted. “Iran uses assassination as an instrument of state policy — targeting dissidents is a high priority for both the Ministry of Intelligence and Security and the IRGC.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Iran proceeding with its nuclear weapons programme represents a critical threat to the UK’s national security,” the report warned. “The Supreme Leader of Iran (Ayatollah Ali Khamenei) wields tremendous power — he is the ultimate decision-maker, setting the direction of Iranian foreign and domestic policy. In terms of the threat posed by Iran to the UK and its interests, the Supreme Leader is therefore key.”</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Iran is there across the full spectrum of all the kinds of threats we have to be concerned with,” the committee chair, Kevan Jones, said.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">“Last year, the head of Britain’s domestic spy agency MI5 said since January 2022, his service and British police had responded to 20 Iran-backed plots to kidnap or kill British nationals or individuals based in the United Kingdom regarded by Tehran as a threat,” The Times of Israel <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/iran-poses-significant-threat-to-united-kingdom-british-lawmakers-say-in-new-report/">noted</a>. “In May, UK police<a style="font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit;" href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/report-arrested-iranian-nationals-were-planning-attack-on-israeli-embassy-in-london/"> arrested</a> eight Iranian men who were reportedly suspected of plotting to attack the Israeli Embassy in London.”</p>

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British Parliament: Iran Poses ‘Significant Threat To The UK’

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