The prospect of a Trump-Biden rematch in 2024 has a surprising number of voters considering casting their ballots for a third-party candidate, according to a new poll.
A stunning 49% of Americans would consider voting for a third party presidential candidate if the 2024 election pits President Biden and former President Trump against each other once again, according to the NewsNation/DDHQ (Decision Desk Headquarters) poll, which was conducted on May 25-26 among 1,000 registered voters.
“If President Biden and former President Trump are renominated by their parties for President of the United States, how likely would you be to consider voting for a 3rd party candidate in the 2024 presidential election?” the poll asked.
Some 23.38% of voters said they would “very likely” consider such an option, along with 25.67% who said they were “somewhat likely” to.
An April Yahoo News/YouGov poll found that 38% of those surveyed said they would feel “exhaustion” over a Trump/Biden rematch while 29% would feel “fear” and 23% “sadness” or “anger.” Only 23% felt “hope.” Some 28% of respondents said inflation was the primary issue they were concerned about, more than double any other issue.
An NBC poll conducted April 14-18 among 1,000 Americans found 70% of Americans believed Biden should not run for re-election and 60% of Americans said Trump should not run for president.
A December 2022 CNBC survey found 61% of respondents thought Trump should not seek the presidency and 70% agreeing that Biden should not run for a second term.
The NewsNation/DDHQ poll also found that roughly 43% of respondents disapproved of the way Biden is handling his job as president and a majority of 55% thought inflation was a more pressing concern than unemployment, crime or immigration.
Asked what was their greatest concern related to public schools, roughly 19% of respondents said recovering from learning loss due to the pandemic, closely followed by 18% expressing concern about limiting discussions of sexual orientation and gender identity and 17% being concerned about giving parents a bigger say in school decisions.
No third-party candidate of the last 100 years has posed a serious threat to winning the presidency. H. Ross Perot won 19% of the vote in 1992, likely siphoning enough votes away from former President George H. W. Bush so that Bill Clinton could win the presidency with only a plurality of the vote. Clinton received 43% of the vote while Bush won 38% of the vote.
In 1980, John Anderson won 6% of the vote, but his presence was not decisive, as Ronald Reagan defeated Jimmy Carter by a whopping 10 percentage points.