According to the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), it outraised the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee by $4 million in May and has a $6.1 million cash advantage. The NRCC stated on Friday that it has $42.1 million cash on hand while the DCCC has $36 million.
NRCC Chairman Tom Emmer stated, “Americans are ready to do whatever is necessary to stop Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats’ socialist agenda. May’s record-breaking fundraising numbers are just the latest indication that House Republicans are primed to retake the majority.”
“Currently, the Democrats hold just a 219-211 lead in the House, a margin that would be 222-213 if the five currently vacant seats remain with the same party after they’ve been filled in special elections this year,” U.S. News and World Report noted, adding, “An analysis by Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics characterized 19 Democratic-held House seats as toss-ups for 2022, compared to just two held by Republicans.”
The party of the president usually loses seats in midterm elections; that was the case in 17 of the 19 midterm elections since World War II, the report notes. By average, the president’s party lost 27 seats.
“The Brennan Center has found that the GOP will enjoy complete control of drawing new boundaries for 181 congressional districts, compared with a maximum of 74 for Democrats, though the final numbers could fluctuate once the pandemic-delayed census is completed,” radio host Hugh Hewitt wrote.
The GOP nearly took back the House in 2020, despite having lost the White House, with the Congressional Leadership Fund spending $140 million in the effort. That group is now poised to lead the effort again in 2022, Axios reports.
Politico reported in February that the NRCC was targeting 47 House Democrats, including “Democrats from once-Republican suburban areas where the GOP has suffered in the Trump era, like Reps. Carolyn Bourdeaux (D-Ga.) and Andy Kim (D-N.J.); lawmakers in more GOP-friendly white, working-class regions, such as Reps. Cheri Bustos (D-Ill.), Ron Kind (D-Wis.) and Peter DeFazio (D-Ore.); and members in heavily Latino districts along the Texas-Mexico border where Trump saw a surprising surge, like Reps. Filemón Vela, Henry Cuellar and Vicente Gonzalez.”
An analysis by Cook Political Report’s David Wasserman indicates that Republicans might be able to gain control of the House through redistricting in just four states (Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas), NY Mag notes.
Another element that might be factored into GOP chances is the fact that President Biden is becoming less and less popular. The Daily Wire reported on Friday:
Democrat President Joe Biden’s approval rating plummeted to below 50% in a new Monmouth University poll this week, the first time Biden has ever fallen below 50% in the poll since taking office in January. “Biden currently holds a job rating of 48% approve and 43% disapprove,” Monmouth University said in a poll released on Wednesday. “This is down from his 54% approve and 41% disapprove rating in April.” The poll found that barely one-third of Independents approve of Biden’s job performance while less than one-fifth of Republicans approve of Biden’s job performance.