Can Donald Trump win? It’s possible, but certainly a long shot. On the morning of the election, Hillary Clinton holds the edge over Trump, though her once commanding national lead now stands at 3 points and she’s lost the advantage in several key battleground states. Once hopelessly behind in the electoral count, Trump has pulled within striking distance over the last two weeks, but will need a last-minute miracle to pull off the win. Real Clear Politics’ electoral map based on state poll averages shows Clinton barely edging Trump 272 to 266.
After suffering a bloody October, where all of the business mogul’s positive momentum from September was undone, he climbed again in the national polls over the last two weeks of the campaign, while Clinton faltered following a series of deeply damaging headlines, most notably the reopening of the FBI’s investigation into her private email server. Trump goes into election day edging out Clinton in some key battleground states, including Nevada and North Carolina, and leads by 3 or more points in Iowa, Arizona and the traditional swing state of Ohio. The tightly contested swing state of Florida is a virtual dead heat, with Trump barely edging Clinton by 0.2%. He has also closed the gap significantly in Pennsylvania, Colorado and Michigan, but remains down by 2, 3 and 3.4 points in the states, respectively.
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