An artificial intelligence system that correctly predicted the results of the last three US presidential elections believes Donald Trump will be elected president.
The AI system, called MogIA, takes 20 million data points from sites such as Google, Facebook, Twitter and YouTube and then analyzes them, according to CNBC.
Trump has surpassed the social media engagement numbers of Barack Obama’s peak in 2008 by 25 percent. MogIA creator Sanjiv Rai explained, “If Trump loses, it will defy the data trend for the first time in the last 12 years since internet engagement began in full earnest.”
Yet Rai admitted that even if a person interacted with a Trump tweet, it didn’t mean they would vote for him. He added, “If you look at the primaries, in the primaries, there were immense amount of negative conversations that happen with regards to Trump. However, when these conversations started picking up pace, in the final days, it meant a huge game opening for Trump and he won the primaries with a good margin.”
Here’s how Trump’s chances looked to statistician Nate Silver as the news broke of the FBI looking into Anthony Weiner’s emails:
Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump is now 5.7 percentage points in our polls-only model, down from 7.1 points on Oct. 17. And Trump’s chances of winning the election have recovered to 18 percent from a low of 12 percent. Trump’s chances in our polls-plus forecast are 21 percent, improved from a low of 15 percent.
