<p>A model heavily relied upon by the White House task force responding to the China-originated novel coronavirus, or COVID-19, has again been updated.</p>
<p>On Sunday night, a model from the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington <a href="https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections">dropped</a> its estimated death projection for the first wave of the pandemic to 81,766 deaths, down from 93,531.</p>
<p>&#8220;The 11,765 fewer deaths would mark a 14% decrease for the model’s target projection, and a 30% decrease for the worst-case scenario,&#8221; <a href="https://dailycaller.com/2020/04/06/white-house-coronavirus-projections-model-fatalities-deaths/">The Daily Caller</a> noted Monday.</p>
<p>The estimates are based off the implementation of &#8220;full social distancing through <span class="_2dPspwRD_pEbKGja1xyEPT">May 2020&#8243; and do not factor in another wave of the virus post-August 1. </span></p>
<p>At an impromptu press briefing on Sunday, slightly before the revisions were made public, President Donald Trump told the nation that we are using fewer beds than the relied upon models have projected, specifically highlighting hard-hit New York.</p>
<p>“It’s turning out that we need less hospital beds,” the president said, as reported by The Daily Caller. “We may have models, but we’ve been sort of saying that. In New York, we were saying we think you’re gonna need less.”</p>
<p>The models reflected Trump&#8217;s remarks, dropping estimates on number of hospitalizations and needed ICU beds, too.</p>
<p>&#8220;The model had projected that hospitals across the U.S. would reach an ICU capacity of 39,727 beds by April 15. The revised model now projects that 29,210 ICU beds will be needed at the peak of the pandemic,&#8221; The Daily Caller highlighted.</p>
<p>Based on the IHME model, Drs. Deborah Birx and Anthony Fauci, leaders in the White House coronavirus response task force, earlier this month estimated between <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/04/02/grim-death-toll-projections-white-house-offered-monday-have-already-been-revised-upward/">100,000-240,000</a> deaths related to COVID-19, The Washington Post reported. (Revisions to the model made on Wednesday dropped the best-estimate to 93,531, and now 81,766.)</p>
<p>&#8220;Our model suggests that, with social distancing, the end of the first wave of the epidemic could occur by early June,&#8221; the government <a href="http://www.healthdata.org/covid/faqs">website</a> for the model explains. &#8220;The question of whether there will be a second wave of the epidemic will depend on what we do to avoid reintroducing COVID-19 into the population.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;By the end of the first wave of the epidemic, an estimated 97% of the population of the United States will still be susceptible to the disease and thus measures to avoid a second wave of the pandemic prior to vaccine availability will be necessary,&#8221; the site continues. &#8220;Maintaining some of the social distancing measures could be supplemented or replaced by nation-wide efforts such as mass screening, contact tracing, and selective quarantine.&#8221;</p>
<p>Aside from the IHME model, Dr. Birx has specifically highlighted a model from <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/epidemiologist-behind-highly-cited-coronavirus-model-admits-he-was-wrong-drastically-revises-model">Imperial College London</a> as a guide for nationwide policy on fighting the novel coronavirus. The model initially estimated up to a stunning 2.2 million COVID-19 associated deaths in the United States with no mitigation. Neil Ferguson, the epidemiologist behind the Imperial model, predicted a whopping 500,000 COVID-19 associated fatalities in the U.K. without mitigation, but now estimates far fewer than 20,000 deaths, citing the nation&#8217;s lockdowns.</p>
<p><strong>Related: <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/coronavirus-hospitals-across-nation-lay-off-tens-of-thousands-of-healthcare-workers">Coronavirus: Hospitals Across Nation Lay Off Tens Of Thousands Of Healthcare Workers</a></strong></p>

<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<script async src="https://www.tiktok.com/embed.js"></script>
<script async src="https://www.instagram.com/embed.js"></script><div data-widget-host="revcontent" data-pub-id="165152" data-widget-id="290588"></div><script src="https://delivery.revcontent.com/165152/290588/widget.js"></script>

White House Coronavirus Model Gets Another Update, Downgrading Estimated Deaths

CONTINUE READING

Mom Of Slain Teen Says One Thing Democrats Don’t Want America Hearing

EXCLUSIVE: Trump Breaks Silence After Midterm Night, Calls Massie A ‘Low Life’

Mom Believes Her Son Is The Real Victim After He Dominates Girls At Track Tournament

Leftist Talk Show Hosts Absolutely Livid That Trump’s Dropping Drug Prices

WATCH: Pete Hegseth Recreates Trump Pep Talk Word-For-Word

Vivek Vows To Tackle Medicaid Fraud ‘By The Billions’ After Bombshell Daily Wire Investigation

News and Commentary

Anthony Fauci

COVID

Donald Trump

Dr. Deborah Birx

A video goes viral showing a baby being refused his mother by two gay "dads". This is just the tip of the iceberg, which is why we will have an important discussion today about surrogacy. 

Hour 1

The Matt Walsh Show

Ep. 1765 - This Video Is One Of The Worst Things I've Seen In A Long Time 

The Strait of Hormuz officially opens for business (kind of), the Pope makes “shocking” comments on immigration, and President Trump promises UFO disclosure at TPUSA. 


The Michael Knowles Show

Ep. 1956 -  Pope Leo's "SHOCKING" Immigration Comments EXPLAINED

A false miscreed has corrupted our leadership class.


The Andrew Klavan Show

Ep. 1275 - Dumb, Dumber and Progressive

President Trump announces a 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, a murder-suicide involving former Democratic Lieutenant Governor Justin Fairfax shakes Virginia, and France and Britain hold a conference to secure the Strait of Hormuz – after the Iranian conflict ends. Get the facts first with Morning Wire.

- - -

Ep. 2738

- - -

Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3

- - -

Today's Sponsors:

Alliance Defending Freedom - Visit https://JoinADF.com/WIRE or text 'WIRE' to 83848 to learn more.

Pocket Hose - Text MORNING to 64000 to get a FREE pocket pivot and their 10-pattern sprayer with the purchase of ANY size Copper Head hose. Message and data rates may apply.

Morning Wire

U.S. Expands Hormuz Blockade & VA Fairfax Deaths Investigated | 4.17.26

U.S. Expands Hormuz Blockade & VA Fairfax Deaths Investigated | 4.17.26 [Member Exclusive]

A ceasefire goes into effect between Israel and Lebanon, a tragic murder-suicide rocks Virginia, and Dairy Queen deploys AI in the drive-thru. Get the facts first with Evening Wire.
- - -
Ep. 2737
- - -
Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3 
- - -
Today’s Sponsor:

Alliance Defending Freedom - Visit https://JoinADF.com/WIRE or text “WIRE” to 83848 to learn more.


Evening Wire: Lebanon Ceasefire Begins & Murder-Suicide Rocks VA | 4.16.26

The Pendragon Cycle

Menu

— News and Commentary —

White House Coronavirus Model Gets Another Update, Downgrading Estimated Deaths