<p>A new poll shows that the Republican candidate for governor in the traditionally deep-blue state of Oregon holds a slight lead in the upcoming election.</p>
<p>The poll of 516 likely voters, conducted between May 25-27 by Oregon-based polling firm <a href="https://oregoncatalyst.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/OR-STATE_Governor_6.1.22_TOPLINE.pdf">Nelson Research</a>, found that former Oregon House Minority Leader Christine Drazan, the Republican nominee in the governor’s race, holds a 2-point advantage, 29.5%-27.5%, over Democratic nominee and former Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives Tina Kotek. Independent candidate Betsy Johnson, a former Democratic State Senator running as a non-party affiliated candidate, came in third with 19.4% of the vote. The remaining 23.6% of voters were undecided.</p>
<p>Drazan&#8217;s lead is currently within the poll&#8217;s 4-point margin of error, but the poll&#8217;s <a href="https://oregoncatalyst.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/OR-STATE_Governor_6.1.22_CROSSTAB.pdf">crosstabs</a> show that Drazan has several factors working in her favor. Drazan garners more support from her own party than Kotek does: 68.2% of Republicans supported Drazan, while 57% of Democrats supported Kotek. Drazan garnered more support from Independents as well: 19.1% of independents backed Drazan, while 14.7% backed Kotek. Johnson siphoned off a significant chunk of voters from both parties, but took more votes away from Kotek than Drazan: 18.4% of Democrats backed Johnson, compared to just 13.9% of Republicans.</p>
<p>The poll also presented some findings that may spell trouble for Democrats in other races in the state in 2022. A plurality of the voters surveyed, 40.1%, identified as Democrats, while 33.5% identified as Republicans, and 26.4% identified as Independents or non-affiliated voters. Despite those margins, Drazan maintains the edge, and Republicans also hold a 1-point advantage in the generic ballot, 40.0%-39.0%.</p>
<p>Republicans also hold a slight advantage in voters who are more likely to vote for them in November: 31.2% of respondents said they were &#8220;strongly&#8221; likely to vote for a Democratic candidate in the general election, while 35.9% of respondents were strongly likely to vote for a Republican. Republicans also held a strong advantage among Independents, the poll found.</p>
<p>In the generic ballot, Independents favored Republicans by a nearly 10-point margin, 33.1%-23.6%. Among voters who were &#8220;strongly likely&#8221; to support a party, Republicans held an even bigger advantage: 25.7% of Independents said they were &#8220;strongly likely&#8221; to support a Republican candidate, while just 14% said they were &#8220;strongly likely&#8221; to back a Democrat.</p>
<p>Drazan is basing her campaign on fixing the issues brought on by Democratic leadership, including outgoing governor Kate Brown, as well as Kotek. Drazan&#8217;s priority issues include reversing Brown&#8217;s COVID-19 mandates, as well as addressing the ongoing crises of crime and homelessness in the Beaver State. She also lists education, election integrity, the cost of living, gun rights, and pro-life as other key issues on her <a href="https://www.christinefororegon.com/issues/">website</a>.</p>
<p>Oregon has not elected a Republican governor since 1982, but recent political trends might favor Republicans in 2022. Kate Brown won a special election in <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/results/oregon">2016</a> by just 7.2 points, then won election to a full term in <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-oregon-elections.html">2018</a> by just 6.4 points. President Joe Biden&#8217;s approval rating is underwater by 5 points, 46% disapprove-41% approve, according to <a href="https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_biden?uncertainty=true&amp;annotations=true&amp;zoomIn=true&amp;map=true">Civiqs</a>.</p>
<p>On top of that, the Cook Political Report&#8217;s <a href="https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/house-rating-changes-eight-races-move-republicans-direction">Dave Wasserman</a> notes that, at least at the Congressional level, &#8220;the political environment has deteriorated for Democrats&#8221; so much that &#8220;no Democrat in a single-digit Biden (or Trump-won) district is secure, and even some seats Biden carried by double-digit margins in 2020 could come into play this fall.&#8221;</p>

<script async src="https://www.instagram.com/embed.js"></script>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<script async src="https://www.tiktok.com/embed.js"></script><div data-widget-host="revcontent" data-pub-id="165152" data-widget-id="290588"></div><script src="https://delivery.revcontent.com/165152/290588/widget.js"></script>

Republican Candidate Holds Lead In Traditionally Blue Oregon Governor’s Race: Poll

CONTINUE READING

Comer Says He ‘Can’t Track Down The Informant’ In Biden Family Investigation

Autistic Grocery Clerk Fired From California Supermarket After He Was Violently Assaulted Three Separate Times: Report

Justice Is…Bovine? Herd Of Cows Helps Round Up Criminal In North Carolina

Gavin Newsom’s Revised Budget Will Make California’s Budget Deficit Worse, Even As State Mulls Enormous Reparations Package

Oklahoma Police Run Toward To Cries For ‘Help’, Coming From A Very Upset Goat

California’s Reparations Committee Wants State To Apologize For Ronald Reagan Coining ‘Welfare Queens.’ Except, He Didn’t.

News

2022 Election

Democratic Party

Kate Brown

Oregon

Poll

Republican Party

A video goes viral showing a baby being refused his mother by two gay "dads". This is just the tip of the iceberg, which is why we will have an important discussion today about surrogacy. 

Hour 1

The Matt Walsh Show

Ep. 1765 - This Video Is One Of The Worst Things I've Seen In A Long Time 

The Strait of Hormuz officially opens for business (kind of), the Pope makes “shocking” comments on immigration, and President Trump promises UFO disclosure at TPUSA. 


The Michael Knowles Show

Ep. 1956 -  Pope Leo's "SHOCKING" Immigration Comments EXPLAINED

A false miscreed has corrupted our leadership class.


The Andrew Klavan Show

Ep. 1275 - Dumb, Dumber and Progressive

President Trump announces a 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, a murder-suicide involving former Democratic Lieutenant Governor Justin Fairfax shakes Virginia, and France and Britain hold a conference to secure the Strait of Hormuz – after the Iranian conflict ends. Get the facts first with Morning Wire.

- - -

Ep. 2738

- - -

Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3

- - -

Today's Sponsors:

Alliance Defending Freedom - Visit https://JoinADF.com/WIRE or text 'WIRE' to 83848 to learn more.

Pocket Hose - Text MORNING to 64000 to get a FREE pocket pivot and their 10-pattern sprayer with the purchase of ANY size Copper Head hose. Message and data rates may apply.

Morning Wire

U.S. Expands Hormuz Blockade & VA Fairfax Deaths Investigated | 4.17.26

U.S. Expands Hormuz Blockade & VA Fairfax Deaths Investigated | 4.17.26 [Member Exclusive]

A ceasefire goes into effect between Israel and Lebanon, a tragic murder-suicide rocks Virginia, and Dairy Queen deploys AI in the drive-thru. Get the facts first with Evening Wire.
- - -
Ep. 2737
- - -
Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3 
- - -
Today’s Sponsor:

Alliance Defending Freedom - Visit https://JoinADF.com/WIRE or text “WIRE” to 83848 to learn more.


Evening Wire: Lebanon Ceasefire Begins & Murder-Suicide Rocks VA | 4.16.26

The Pendragon Cycle

Menu

— News —

Republican Candidate Holds Lead In Traditionally Blue Oregon Governor’s Race: Poll