<p>Popular oddsmaker Polymarket announced on Tuesday that Governor Tim Walz (D-MN) is 30 times more likely to be charged with a crime than he is to be elected the next President of the United States.</p>
<p>The betting site shared that information along with additional data showing that he had a 23% chance of being charged within one year — by December 31, 2026 — and there was a 9% chance that he could be facing charges in as little as 90 days, by March 31, 2026.</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en">JUST IN: Tim Walz is now 30x more likely to be criminally charged than be the next President of the United States. <a href="https://t.co/l5MrzbdAEO">pic.twitter.com/l5MrzbdAEO</a></p>
<p>— Polymarket (@Polymarket) <a href="https://twitter.com/Polymarket/status/2006011126102814837?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">December 30, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
<p>Related predictions show that there is a 52% chance that someone — although no one was named specifically — will be charged in the recently-revealed daycare fraud largely connected to the Somali community by January 31, 2026. The chances were much greater (89%) that charges will come by June 30, 2026, and still greater  (94%) that they will come by December 31, 2026.</p>
<p>As far as Walz&#8217;s political aspirations, the site showed a <a href="https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027?tid=1767133877076">5% chance</a> that he would announce a presidential run before 2027, a <a href="https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028?tid=1767133960150">1% chance</a> that he&#8217;d win the 2028 Democratic nomination, and a <a href="https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028?tid=1767133978958">1% chance</a> that he&#8217;d ultimately be successful in winning the presidency. Vice President JD Vance still tops the odds in that last category, with a 31% chance of winning the presidency in 2028.</p>
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<p>Should things not go Walz&#8217;s way, however, Polymarket puts the odds of him resigning as Governor of Minnesota before 2027 at 52%. The odds that he will resign by June 30, 2026, are set at 15%, and the odds that he will resign prior to January 31, 2026, are set at 3%.</p>
<p>Walz has been under fire for weeks as <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/trumps-ice-director-blames-sanctuary-laws-for-minnesota-fraud">layer after layer of fraud</a> has been uncovered in the state of Minnesota — and much of it took place on his watch or was made easier due to policies he put into place while serving as governor.</p>

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Oddsmaker: Tim Walz Is 30x More Likely To Be Charged With A Crime Than Be The Next President

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Oddsmaker: Tim Walz Is 30x More Likely To Be Charged With A Crime Than Be The Next President