<p>The chances of a building-sized asteroid hitting the Earth in the next decade has risen in small increments multiple times since it was first detected months ago.</p>
<p>AFP <a href="https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250218-city-killer-asteroid-now-has-3-1-chance-of-hitting-earth-nasa" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> on Tuesday that new data from NASA gave the asteroid known as 2024 YR4 a 3.1 percent chance of striking the planet in December 2032.</p>
<p>It was only last week that NASA was saying there was a 2.3% chance the asteroid would slam into the Earth, up from a 1.2% estimation in late January, <a href="https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250218-city-killer-asteroid-now-has-3-1-chance-of-hitting-earth-nasa" target="_blank" rel="noopener">per</a> NBC News.</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">While still an extremely low possibility, asteroid 2024 YR4&#39;s impact probability with Earth has increased from about 1% to a 2.3% chance on Dec. 22, 2032. As we observe the asteroid more, the impact probability will become better known. More: <a href="https://t.co/VWiASTMBDi">https://t.co/VWiASTMBDi</a> <a href="https://t.co/Z1mpb4UPaC">pic.twitter.com/Z1mpb4UPaC</a></p>
<p>&mdash; NASA Asteroid Watch (@AsteroidWatch) <a href="https://twitter.com/AsteroidWatch/status/1887962600148988215?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">February 7, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
<p>NASA <a href="https://science.nasa.gov/solar-system/asteroids/2024-yr4/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">says</a> 2024 YR4 is believed to be roughly 130-300 feet wide, large enough to &#8220;cause localized damage in the unlikely event that it should impact Earth.&#8221;</p>
<p>Media reports have been published over the past week branding the asteroid, which was first detected by a station in Chile last December, as a potential &#8220;city killer.&#8221;</p>
<p>However, Royal Astronomical Society Deputy Executive Director Robert Massey <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/nasa-city-killer-asteroid-update-earth-collision-2032546" target="_blank" rel="noopener">told</a> Newsweek that he is &#8220;not really concerned at all&#8221; about 2024 YR4.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s the kind of thing that should concern policymakers and astronomers, particularly, whose job it is to track these things and refine orbits,&#8221; Massey said.</p>
<p>He added, &#8220;The odds are very, very low and as observations get better, it&#8217;s very likely that the probability will drop to zero, so I don&#8217;t think the public should be unduly concerned.&#8221;</p>
<p>Ground-based telescopes will continue observations &#8220;while the asteroid is still visible through April, after which it will be too faint to observe until around June 2028,&#8221; NASA says.</p>
<p>The agency says its James Webb Space Telescope, launched in 2021 and <a href="https://science.nasa.gov/mission/webb/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">orbiting</a> the Sun a million miles away, &#8220;will also observe the asteroid in March 2025 to better assess the asteroid’s size.&#8221;</p>
<p>With more study, NASA notes it is possible 2024 YR4 will be &#8220;ruled out as an impact hazard&#8221; like other objects that previously appeared on its asteroid risk list, or the probability will rise.</p>
<p>Humanity has been working on ways to stave off asteroids to avoid devastating impacts, such as the Tunguska event in which one <a href="https://www.nasa.gov/history/115-years-ago-the-tunguska-asteroid-impact-event/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">exploded</a> over Siberia in 1908.</p>
<p>In 2022, NASA <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/nasas-test-crash-into-asteroid-was-25x-more-successful-than-benchmark-objective" target="_blank" rel="noopener">conducted</a> a test in which it directed a spacecraft to crash into a target asteroid, Didymos. A data analysis showed the kinetic impact successfully altered its orbit.</p>

<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<script async src="https://www.tiktok.com/embed.js"></script>
<script async src="https://www.instagram.com/embed.js"></script><div data-widget-host="revcontent" data-pub-id="165152" data-widget-id="290588"></div><script src="https://delivery.revcontent.com/165152/290588/widget.js"></script>

Odds Of Asteroid Hitting Earth In 2032 Keep Ticking Up

DOJ To Start Giving Congress Epstein Docs By Week’s End, House Oversight Chair Says

Trump Weaponization Czar Puts January 6 Committee Associates On Notice

Critics Of Trump’s Ukraine-Russia Peace Effort Have Been ‘Wrong’ For Decades, GOP Senator Says

Rubio Reveals The ‘Only Way’ To Achieve Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal

GOP Proposal Gives Trump Authority To Extend D.C. Police Takeover

Bessent Targets ‘Eye-Popping’ Stock Gains Made By Members Of Congress

News

Asteroid

NASA

Natural Disaster

Space

World

A video goes viral showing a baby being refused his mother by two gay "dads". This is just the tip of the iceberg, which is why we will have an important discussion today about surrogacy. 

Hour 1

The Matt Walsh Show

Ep. 1765 - This Video Is One Of The Worst Things I've Seen In A Long Time 

The Strait of Hormuz officially opens for business (kind of), the Pope makes “shocking” comments on immigration, and President Trump promises UFO disclosure at TPUSA. 


The Michael Knowles Show

Ep. 1956 -  Pope Leo's "SHOCKING" Immigration Comments EXPLAINED

A false miscreed has corrupted our leadership class.


The Andrew Klavan Show

Ep. 1275 - Dumb, Dumber and Progressive

President Trump announces a 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, a murder-suicide involving former Democratic Lieutenant Governor Justin Fairfax shakes Virginia, and France and Britain hold a conference to secure the Strait of Hormuz – after the Iranian conflict ends. Get the facts first with Morning Wire.

- - -

Ep. 2738

- - -

Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3

- - -

Today's Sponsors:

Alliance Defending Freedom - Visit https://JoinADF.com/WIRE or text 'WIRE' to 83848 to learn more.

Pocket Hose - Text MORNING to 64000 to get a FREE pocket pivot and their 10-pattern sprayer with the purchase of ANY size Copper Head hose. Message and data rates may apply.

Morning Wire

U.S. Expands Hormuz Blockade & VA Fairfax Deaths Investigated | 4.17.26

U.S. Expands Hormuz Blockade & VA Fairfax Deaths Investigated | 4.17.26 [Member Exclusive]

A ceasefire goes into effect between Israel and Lebanon, a tragic murder-suicide rocks Virginia, and Dairy Queen deploys AI in the drive-thru. Get the facts first with Evening Wire.
- - -
Ep. 2737
- - -
Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3 
- - -
Today’s Sponsor:

Alliance Defending Freedom - Visit https://JoinADF.com/WIRE or text “WIRE” to 83848 to learn more.


Evening Wire: Lebanon Ceasefire Begins & Murder-Suicide Rocks VA | 4.16.26

The Pendragon Cycle

Menu

— News —

Odds Of Asteroid Hitting Earth In 2032 Keep Ticking Up