Helmut Norpoth, a political science professor at Stony Brook University in New York State, is defying seemingly all national polling data by predicting Republican nominee Donald Trump has an 87-99 percent chance of taking the White House.
Norpoth, who is strongly cautioning against our current “bunk” polling measures, has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1996. Further, his election model has predicted every presidential election winner since 1912, save the 1960 election.
.png)
.png)
