As of approximately 7 p.m. Eastern time on Saturday, more than 90 million Americans have voted in the 2020 presidential election, according to the University of Florida’s <a href="https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html">U.S. Elections Project</a>.
The exact number: 90,604,711. That’s a combined 57.6 million mail-in ballots returned and 33.4 million in-person early votes cast.
While several states have come close to matching their 2016 “total turnout,” two states have exceeded those totals. Voters in Texas have cast 9.6 million votes, and voters in Hawaii have cast 484,000 votes—107.7% and 110.6% of their 2016 totals, respectively.
Other states that have come close to matching their 2016 totals are Montana (95.8%), Washington (93.8%), Georgia and New Mexico (both at 93.2%), and North Carolina (91.1%).
Some states, however, appear to be holding back, possibly waiting for Election Day proper. Pennsylvania (of particular note as a swing state) has only hit 38.4% of their 2016 total, while Ohio, also considered a swing, stands at 48.8% as of Saturday.
The three states that have racked up the most early votes are California (9.7 million), Texas (9.6 million), and Florida (8.2 million).
Looking at the polls in battleground states, it appears to be an increasingly tight race, though incumbent Republican Donald Trump lags slightly behind in key areas.
According to the RealClearPolitics (RCP) polling averages, Democratic nominee Joe Biden is up by small margins in several classic and newer swing states:
<ul>
<li>Pennsylvania: +3.7 points</li>
</ul>
&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>North Carolina: +2.1 points</li>
</ul>
&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Florida: +1.6 points</li>
</ul>
&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Iowa: +1.2 points</li>
</ul>
&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Georgia: +0.8 points</li>
</ul>
&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Arizona: +0.1 points</li>
</ul>
In three swing states, Biden has a more substantial polling lead:
<ul>
<li>Michigan: +7.3 points</li>
</ul>
&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Wisconsin: +5.7</li>
</ul>
&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Minnesota: +4.7</li>
</ul>
&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Nevada: +4 points</li>
</ul>
In Ohio, RCP has Trump and Biden tied.
The polls, however, have increasingly been called into question, with some pollsters and commentators citing an alleged contingent of “shy Trump voters” who are either afraid to reveal their pro-Trump position to pollsters on the phone, or who simply lie about it when asked.
A survey released in August by <a href="https://www.cloudresearch.com/resources/blog/election-2020-poll-respondent-honesty/">CloudResearch</a> sought to detect if there truly is an undercurrent of alleged shy voters who are going unnoticed. Their results were intriguing.
According to the survey:
<blockquote>Instead of simply asking voters whom they will vote for — and then ask whether they just lied — we centered our research around a general question: “Are you comfortable in truthfully disclosing the presidential candidate you intend to vote for in a telephone poll?”</blockquote>
CloudResearch found that “10.1% of Trump supporters said they were likely to be untruthful on phone surveys — double the number of Biden supporters (5.1%) reticent to share their true intentions.”
Additionally, a few polling firms have been countering the mainstream polling-advantage narrative.
Appearing on Fox News, Trafalgar Group Chief Pollster <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/pollster-who-correctly-predicted-2016-says-trump-on-track-to-win-again">Robert Cahaly said</a> that he expects a Trump Electoral College win, adding:
<blockquote>There is a clear feeling among conservatives and people that are for the president that they’re not interested in sharing their opinions so readily on the telephone. We’ve seen people be beat up, harassed, doxed, have their houses torn up because they expressed political opinions that are not in line with the politically correct establishment. And so, these people are more hesitant to … participate in polls. So if you’re not compensating for this, if you’re not trying to give them a poll that they can participate in … you’re not going to get honest answers.</blockquote>
Susquehanna Polling and Research’s Jim Lee <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/pollster-predicts-trump-win-trashes-garbage-polls-in-bidens-favor-as-attempt-at-voter-suppression">expressed a similar sentiment</a> recently, saying: “There are a lot of voters out there that don’t want to admit to a live telephone agent they’re voting for a guy that’s been called a racist; so that submerged Trump factor is very real—and we’ve been able to capture it, and I’m really disappointed others in our industry have not.”
Some, however, have dismissed the notion of the “shy Trump voter” as nothing more than wishful thinking on the part of the president’s supporters.

<script async src="https://www.tiktok.com/embed.js"></script>
<script async src="https://www.instagram.com/embed.js"></script>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script><div data-widget-host="revcontent" data-pub-id="165152" data-widget-id="290588"></div><script src="https://delivery.revcontent.com/165152/290588/widget.js"></script>

More Than 90 Million Americans Cast Early Vote; Texas Shatters Record

CONTINUE READING

Ilhan Omar Comes Under Financial Scrutiny — Now Husband’s Winery Suddenly Goes Dark

Trump Stokes UFO Frenzy With New Promise

Astronauts Reveal Something No Human Has Ever Seen On Far Side Of Moon

Israeli Ambassador Reacts To Iran Strike With Message That Raises Stakes

Tom Homan Lays Out What Americans Can Expect As ICE Moves Into Airports Monday

VIDEO: Iranian Missile Screams Over Israel, Explosion Injures Dozens, Including Children

News and Commentary

2020 Election

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Mail-In Voting

Texas

A video goes viral showing a baby being refused his mother by two gay "dads". This is just the tip of the iceberg, which is why we will have an important discussion today about surrogacy. 

Hour 1

The Matt Walsh Show

Ep. 1765 - This Video Is One Of The Worst Things I've Seen In A Long Time 

The Strait of Hormuz officially opens for business (kind of), the Pope makes “shocking” comments on immigration, and President Trump promises UFO disclosure at TPUSA. 


The Michael Knowles Show

Ep. 1956 -  Pope Leo's "SHOCKING" Immigration Comments EXPLAINED

A false miscreed has corrupted our leadership class.


The Andrew Klavan Show

Ep. 1275 - Dumb, Dumber and Progressive

President Trump announces a 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, a murder-suicide involving former Democratic Lieutenant Governor Justin Fairfax shakes Virginia, and France and Britain hold a conference to secure the Strait of Hormuz – after the Iranian conflict ends. Get the facts first with Morning Wire.

- - -

Ep. 2738

- - -

Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3

- - -

Today's Sponsors:

Alliance Defending Freedom - Visit https://JoinADF.com/WIRE or text 'WIRE' to 83848 to learn more.

Pocket Hose - Text MORNING to 64000 to get a FREE pocket pivot and their 10-pattern sprayer with the purchase of ANY size Copper Head hose. Message and data rates may apply.

Morning Wire

U.S. Expands Hormuz Blockade & VA Fairfax Deaths Investigated | 4.17.26

U.S. Expands Hormuz Blockade & VA Fairfax Deaths Investigated | 4.17.26 [Member Exclusive]

A ceasefire goes into effect between Israel and Lebanon, a tragic murder-suicide rocks Virginia, and Dairy Queen deploys AI in the drive-thru. Get the facts first with Evening Wire.
- - -
Ep. 2737
- - -
Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3 
- - -
Today’s Sponsor:

Alliance Defending Freedom - Visit https://JoinADF.com/WIRE or text “WIRE” to 83848 to learn more.


Evening Wire: Lebanon Ceasefire Begins & Murder-Suicide Rocks VA | 4.16.26

The Pendragon Cycle

Menu

— News and Commentary —

More Than 90 Million Americans Cast Early Vote; Texas Shatters Record