<p>U.S. Representative Michael McCaul (R-TX) said Sunday the odds of a conflict with China by 2025 &#8220;are very high&#8221; after a four-star Air Force General warned officers that he sees a war on the horizon over Taiwan.</p>
<p>McCaul, who chairs the House Foreign Affairs Committee, told &#8220;<a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/rep-mccaul-air-force-generals-prediction-2025-war-china-hope-wrong-think-right">Fox News Sunday&#8221;</a> he agreed with the recent <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/u-s-general-predicts-war-with-china-by-2025-i-hope-i-am-wrong">statement</a> made by Air Force General Mike Minihan, which noted the military official believes U.S. forces &#8220;will fight in 2025.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;I hope he&#8217;s wrong . . .&#8221; McCaul said. &#8220;I think he&#8217;s right, though, unfortunately.&#8221;</p>
<p>The top GOP lawmaker said China could look at a military invasion of Taiwan if President Xi Jinping of the Chinese Communist Party fails to influence Taiwan&#8217;s presidential election in 2024, which takes place a year from today, and further China&#8217;s efforts on its so-called &#8220;reunification&#8221; with the island.</p>
<p>Taiwan, officially the Republic of China, has been independently governed by China since 1949. China holds a “One China” policy, asserting that Taiwan is a part of China.</p>
<p>&#8220;We have to be prepared for this,&#8221; McCaul said. &#8220;And it could happen &#8230; as long as Biden is in office — projecting weakness as he did with Afghanistan that led to Putin invading Ukraine — that the odds are very high we could see a conflict with China and Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific.&#8221;</p>
<p>Seth Jones of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) published a report last week, which follows a CSIS wargame scenario that pointed out that in a conflict with China, U.S. arms, including long-range, precision-guided munitions, could run empty in one week.</p>
<p>Jones explained his assessment to The Wall Street Journal, which noted the U.S. support for Ukraine in its war with Russia had drained the U.S. stockpile of weapons. As a result, Pentagon officials reassessed its quantity of munitions in December, illustrating the underinvestment in munitions that had been going on for years.</p>
<p>&#8220;The bottom line is the defense industrial base, in my judgment, is not prepared for the security environment that now exists,&#8221; Jones told Journal, adding that the defense industry is currently &#8220;better suited to a peacetime environment.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;How do you effectively deter if you don&#8217;t have sufficient stockpiles of the kinds of munitions you&#8217;re going to need for a China-Taiwan Strait kind of scenario?&#8221; Jones said.</p>
<p>Rep. McCaul agreed the CSIS scenario had left him feeling &#8220;very&#8221; worried.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our defense industrial base is broken,&#8221; he said, adding he signed off on all foreign military weapons sales three years ago that have yet to go into Taiwan.</p>
<p>Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA) countered his colleague&#8217;s possible war with China narrative on &#8220;Fox News Sunday,&#8221; saying the conflict is &#8220;highly unlikely.&#8221;</p>
<p>Smith further suggested that generals take caution by not signaling to the world &#8220;the U.S. is going to war with China.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Anything is possible,&#8221; Smith said. &#8220;I&#8217;m really worried when anyone starts talking about war with China being inevitable.&#8221;</p>
<p>Smith agreed with McCaul that the U.S. military stockpile of supplies puts the military forces in a vulnerable position in the face of a possible conflict with China.</p>
<p>&#8220;This is a huge problem,&#8221; Smith said. &#8220;We don&#8217;t have the industrial base, and we don&#8217;t have the ability to ramp up that industrial base.&#8221;</p>
<p>U.S. Department of Defense officials told <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/us-air-force-general-predicts-war-china-2025-memo-rcna67967?cid=sm_npd_nn_tw_ma">NBC</a>, who first published the memo from the Air Force General, that such comments &#8220;are not representative of the department&#8217;s view on China.&#8221;</p>
<p>Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin disregarded speculation that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan was imminent.</p>
<p>&#8220;What we&#8217;re seeing recently, is some very provocative behavior on the part of China&#8217;s forces and their attempt to re-establish a new normal,&#8221; Austin said. &#8220;But whether or not that means that an invasion is imminent — I seriously doubt that.&#8221;</p>
<p><i data-stringify-type="italic">Virginia Kruta and Hank Berrien contributed to this report.</i></p>

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‘I Think He’s Right’: Top House Foreign Affairs Republican Agrees With U.S. General’s War With China Prediction

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‘I Think He’s Right’: Top House Foreign Affairs Republican Agrees With U.S. General’s War With China Prediction