On Monday, CNN revealed that its polling showed a significant drop in support for Democrats among black voters, which could cost Democrats the U.S. Senate.
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten opined that blacks were the core part of the Democratic Party, but slippage there may spell doom for some Democratic senatorial candidates.
“Look, they’re still getting 74 percent support in the pre-election polling right now but compare that to the final polling for 2020 President and 2018 Congress,” he stated. “In 2020 it was 84 percent, 85 percent in 2018.”
Meanwhile, black support for Republicans has risen from 9% in 2018 and 2020 to 12% now.
Among black adults, Joe Biden’s approval rating was soaring at 87% between January and June 2021, but now it has plunged to 64%.
“That’s a huge drop,” CNN’s Brianna Keilar commented,
Enten noted certain battleground states vis-à-vis the U.S. Senate could be profoundly affected by even a small percentage of black voters voting for Republicans. Those states included Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Nevada.
The burgeoning black vote favored Democrats in Georgia in 2020 as FiveThirtyEight reported, “Most suburbs in Atlanta have shifted toward Democrats by 31 points or so in 20 years and have gained, on average, more than 315,000 voting-age Black Americans, far outpacing the growth of the white voting-age population by 200,000.”
But the tight race between incumbent Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock and GOP challenger Herschel Walker could hinge on the large black vote in the state.
In Nevada, the closely contested race between incumbent Democratic Senator Catherine Cortez Masto and GOP challenger Adam Laxalt could be swayed by a small difference in the black vote, especially with many voters concerned over high inflation.
In Pennsylvania, the tight race between GOP candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz and Democrat John Fetterman could also be profoundly affected by the black vote. In 2010, when he was was mayor of Braddock, Pennsylvania, Fetterman reportedly vandalized a sign of a local business. Additionally as The Daily Wire has reported, he had another incident on his record that could cause anger among black voters:
Fetterman garnered controversy in 2013 after he responded to what he believed was gunfire by pulling a firearm on an African-American and detaining him until police arrived — an incident that has generated unease among black voters.