A liberal enclave on the western edge of the deep-red state of Montana is pushing LGBT &#8220;Pride&#8221; to new heights.
The Missoula, Montana, City Council voted 9-2 on Monday night to make the &#8220;Pride&#8221; flag the city&#8217;s official flag. The move flies in the face of a recent bill signed into law in Montana that bans &#8220;Pride&#8221; flags from being flown on government property and schools.
&#8220;Currently, there is only one official flag for the City of Missoula, and that&#8217;s the Pride flag adopted last night. There was no prior official flag,&#8221; Missoula City Attorney Ryan Sudbury <a href="https://nbcmontana.com/news/local/missoula-approves-pride-flag-as-official-city-flag-in-opposition-of-new-law">told</a> NBC Montana.
Missoula&#8217;s &#8220;Pride&#8221; flag designation is already reflected on the Wikipedia page about the city.
<div id="attachment_928849" style="width: 414px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-928849" class="wp-image-928849 size-large" src="https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2025/06/Screenshot-2025-06-03-at-3.31.38%E2%80%AFPM-404x576.png" alt="" width="404" height="576" srcset="https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2025/06/Screenshot-2025-06-03-at-3.31.38%E2%80%AFPM-404x576.png 404w, https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2025/06/Screenshot-2025-06-03-at-3.31.38%E2%80%AFPM-210x300.png 210w, https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2025/06/Screenshot-2025-06-03-at-3.31.38%E2%80%AFPM.png 666w" sizes="(max-width: 404px) 100vw, 404px" />Screenshot: Wikipedia</div>
Montana Republican Gov. Greg Gianforte blasted the city council&#8217;s move in a statement shared with The Daily Wire.
&#8220;Last night, nine members of the Missoula City Council made clear their top priority is flying a divisive pride flag over government buildings and schools &#8212; all while ignoring the city&#8217;s housing affordability crisis, raising taxes by 17% because of over spending, and refusing to take firm action to end encampments in the city,&#8221; Gianforte said. &#8220;Missoulians deserve better, and fortunately, two council members voted against imposing this divisive, far-left agenda on their community.&#8221;
The sponsor of the resolution, Jennifer Savage — who identifies as queer — pointed to her daughter as a reason she pursued designating the &#8220;Pride&#8221; flag the city&#8217;s official flag.
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“When I see the Pride flag, I breathe a little sigh of relief and think my kid is safe here,” Savage said.
Last month, Montana Republican Gov. Greg Gianforte signed HB 819 into law, prohibiting the display of flags on state property that represent a &#8220;political viewpoint, including but not limited to flags or banners regarding a political party, race, sexual orientation, gender, or political ideology.&#8221; Missoula, however, appears to have found a loophole in the law that allows cities to fly an official municipal flag, according to <a href="https://www.kpax.com/news/missoula-county/missoula-city-council-adopts-pride-flag-as-official-city-flag">KPAX</a>. With the city council&#8217;s vote on Monday night, the &#8220;Pride&#8221; flag now meets that designation.
“Leave it to Missoula to try and turn a city flag into a pride flag. Nothing says ‘unity’ like politicizing public property,&#8221; <a href="https://nbcmontana.com/news/local/missoula-approves-pride-flag-as-official-city-flag-in-opposition-of-new-law">said</a> Republican state Rep. Braxton Mitchell. &#8220;The ultra far left Missoula City Council and their mayor are completely out of touch with reality and the values of the vast majority of Montanans. Taxpayer owned property should represent everyone, not just the loudest political movements of the moment.&#8221;
Missoula County <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-montana.html">voted</a> overwhelmingly for Kamala Harris over Donald Trump in 2024, 59% to 38%, while former Democratic Sen. John Tester received 66% of the vote in Missoula to just 32% for Republican Tim Sheehy. Trump and Sheehy went on to win the state.
Missoula is also represented at the state level by Zooey Zephyr, a man who identifies as a woman. In 2023, Zephyr was <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/montana-house-votes-to-punish-transgender-member-who-said-colleagues-have-blood-on-your-hands">censured</a> by the Republican-controlled Montana House of Representatives for an outburst over a ban on gender procedures on minors.
“The only thing I will say is if you vote yes on this bill and yes on these amendments, I hope the next time there’s an invocation when you bow your heads in prayer, you see the blood on your hands,” Zephyr said.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
Rep Zooey Zephyr of Missoula said the following when debating SB99 Amendments.
“The only thing I will say is if you vote yes on this bill and yes on these amendments I hope the next time there’s an invocation when you bow your heads in prayer, you see the blood on your hands.” <a href="https://t.co/wuhlympbLq">pic.twitter.com/wuhlympbLq</a>
&mdash; Montana Freedom Caucus (@MTFreedomCaucus) <a href="https://twitter.com/MTFreedomCaucus/status/1648441274868043777?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 18, 2023</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Montana banned gender procedures on children in 2023, but the law was blocked by a state district court judge in Missoula, and the state&#8217;s Supreme Court upheld that preliminary injunction in December.

Pride Flag

‘Divisive, Far-Left Agenda’: City In Deep-Red State Adopts ‘Pride’ Flag As Official City Banner

LGBTQ

Liberals

Montana

Social Issues

U.S.

Red states throughout the country are considering employment verification legislation that experts say could be one of the most effective ways to encourage illegal alien self-deportations.
The states are considering bills that would mandate that employers use E-Verify, a system run by the Department of Homeland Security that ensures workers are in the country legally and eligible for employment.
Ira Mehlman, the media director for the Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR), previously <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/the-one-simple-trick-that-could-lead-illegal-immigrants-to-self-deport?author=Spencer+Lindquist&amp;category=News&amp;elementPosition=23&amp;row=0&amp;rowType=Vertical+List&amp;title=The+One+Simple+Trick+That+Could+Lead+Illegal+Immigrants+To+Self-Deport">told</a> The Daily Wire that E-Verify mandates eliminate the “biggest incentive” for illegal aliens to enter or stay in the United States.
“If employers were mandated to use E-Verify and the government demonstrated the resolve to hold employers accountable, that would go a long way toward drying up the supply of jobs for illegal aliens, thereby eliminating the biggest incentive to come or remain here illegally,” Mehlman explained.
A recent estimate from FAIR found that there are <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/illegal-alien-population-surges-to-record-high-bombshell-study-finds">18.6 million illegal aliens</a> currently present in the United States, with experts like Mehlman and Center for Immigration Studies Executive Director Mark Krikorian saying that self-deportations are key to reducing America’s illegal alien population.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-media-max-width="560">
.<a href="https://twitter.com/SpencerLndqst?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@SpencerLndqst</a> on the latest logistical issue the Trump administration is facing:
&#8220;There are 18.6 million illegal aliens present in the US currently. If they had their own state, not only would it always go to the Democrats, it would also be the fifth largest in the country.&#8221; <a href="https://t.co/qyvTkyOO4P">pic.twitter.com/qyvTkyOO4P</a>
— Daily Wire (@realDailyWire) <a href="https://twitter.com/realDailyWire/status/1915060538348130408?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 23, 2025</a></blockquote>
Now, states across the country are considering legislation to implement or expand E-Verify mandates. Idaho’s House of Representatives is <a href="https://idahocapitalsun.com/2025/02/14/idaho-legislature-introduces-new-bill-requiring-employers-e-verify-all-new-employees/">considering</a> an E-Verify proposal that would require all businesses in the state to verify the employment status of new employees. Republican Representative Jordan Redman, the sponsor of the legislation, says that the bill “adds to Idaho employment law to prohibit employment of illegal aliens and require employers to use E-Verify for each new hire to verify legal employment status as a condition of their employment.”
The effort has faced opposition from Rep. Stephanie Mickelsen, a Republican from Idaho Falls and a potato farmer, as well as from the Idaho Dairyman’s Association, which cited labor shortage concerns.
Montana is currently <a href="https://legiscan.com/MT/bill/HB226/2025">considering legislation</a> that would require employers to use E-Verify or the I-9 employment verification form and maintain eligibility documentation for workers. Companies that fail to abide by the law could face civil penalties, including fines and even the revocation of business licenses after multiple violations. The bill was sent to the governor after passing through the state House and Senate.
“By leveraging verification systems already in place, we can promote lawful employment practices while protecting the integrity of our labor market,” said Rep. Courtenay Sprunger, the House bill’s sponsor.
The Florida State House <a href="https://floridaphoenix.com/2025/04/23/florida-house-passes-e-verify-measure-but-bill-looks-dead-in-the-senate/">just passed</a> legislation that would expand the state’s current E-Verify laws and require all businesses to use the system. But even though the bill was passed with unanimous support from Republicans and garnered support from seven Democrats, the corresponding effort hasn’t gained any traction in the Senate and has not been assigned to a committee.
Texas is also considering legislation to expand its existing E-Verify mandate, which currently only applies to government workers. The <a href="https://capitol.texas.gov/BillLookup/History.aspx?LegSess=89R&amp;Bill=SB324">new legislation</a> would require all employers in the state to use E-Verify, which Sen. Lois Kolkhurst <a href="https://texasscorecard.com/state/senate-committee-advances-legislation-requiring-use-of-e-verify/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">called</a> “the most functional and cost-effective method the state of Texas can implement to stem the flow of illegal immigration.”
The America First Policy Institute (AFPI) has <a href="https://americafirstpolicy.com/issues/ensuring-a-legal-workforce-in-texas">endorsed</a> the Texas bill, asserting that it could help unemployed Americans in the Lone Star state get back into the workforce while disincentivizing illegal immigration. “The largest pull factor for illegal aliens is the ability to make money in the U.S.,” AFPI explained. “Mandatory use of E-Verify would significantly reduce the ability of illegal aliens to work, and over time, this action will help reduce the pull factor of employment for those who enter the country unlawfully.”

Illegal alien sign

Red States Consider Bills To Push Illegals To Self-Deport

E-Verify

Florida

Idaho

Illegal Immigration

Politics

Texas

Last Tuesday, voters in six states decisively rejected ballot measures that would have brought ranked choice voting to future elections. In Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, and Oregon, RCV <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Results_for_ranked-choice_voting_(RCV)_and_electoral_system_ballot_measures,_2024" target="_blank" rel="noopener">went down in flames</a>. National groups spent millions on campaigns promising RCV would enhance democracy and empower the people, angling for an election day triumph. Instead, the voters handed them a rout.
Adding insult to injury, Alaska appears on track to repeal RCV after using it for just two years. Missouri, meanwhile, became the first state to ban it at the ballot box, and the eleventh state overall to bar RCV. In fact, the number of states to <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Ranked-choice_voting_(RCV)" target="_blank" rel="noopener">ban</a> RCV more than doubled this year.
Ranked choice voting, a complex scheme, seems better suited to a laboratory than a voting booth. It eliminates the “one person, one vote” principle and asks voters to rank multiple candidates for each race. If no candidate gets a majority, the one with the fewest votes is eliminated, and their ballots are redistributed to the voter’s next choice. This process repeats until someone claims a majority.
Voting takes longer with RCV. Voters must learn about and rank numerous candidates in multiple contests on each ballot. Counting ballots also takes longer, as final tabulations can’t begin until all ballots are received, and some states allow mail ballots to arrive after Election Day. Some states lack voting systems that can handle this process; Idaho’s secretary of state estimated the cost to replace the state’s <a href="https://idahofreedom.org/a-40-million-drain-on-taxpayers-ranked-choice-voting-comes-at-a-heavy-price-for-idahoans/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">equipment</a> at $40 million.
The results are difficult to audit and just as hard to explain, especially when ranked choice voting catapults candidates who got the second- or third-most votes into office after numerous rounds of elimination. In fact, RCV is so confusing that the wrong winner can be certified. That actually happened in Oakland, California in 2022.
The one thing RCV does reliably is push politics to the left, particularly when this scheme is paired with California-style jungle primaries. That’s the system Alaska uses, and in the special congressional election of 2022, more voters cast ballots for Republicans but Democrat Mary Peltola went to Congress. 
Small wonder, then, that left-wing megadonors decided to push RCV nationwide despite its obvious flaws. They <a href="https://honestelections.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/HEP-RCV-Factsheet_v2.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">built up an array</a> of organizations to lobby, petition, and ultimately to campaign for ranked choice voting. Those efforts culminated in ballot measures in six states, <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Results_for_ranked-choice_voting_(RCV)_and_electoral_system_ballot_measures,_2024" target="_blank" rel="noopener">fueled</a> by an astonishing $99 million, or nearly $30 for every $1 spent in opposition.
Nearly half of that extraordinary sum came from groups tied to liberal billionaire John Arnold and his wife, Laura. The pair <a href="https://www.wsj.com/opinion/ranked-choice-voting-ballot-measures-election-863d52ff" target="_blank" rel="noopener">spent</a> at least $39 million propping up ranked choice voting measures this year alone.
What did these donors get for their millions? Not much. Nearly 70% of Idahoans voted against RCV. Colorado and Oregon, both liberal states, rejected the measures by double-digit margins. And in the presidential battlegrounds of Arizona and Nevada, ranked choice voting went down harder and faster than Kamala Harris.
Meanwhile, nearly 69% of Missourians voted to proactively ban ranked choice voting. In Alaska, the Arnolds and other RCV megadonors poured in almost $15 million to defend the scheme against a repeal effort. Despite that, the repeal vote is winning as ballots continue to come in.
Washington, D.C., was the only bright spot for RCV advocates, where a citywide ballot measure passed by wide margins. That may not be the win proponents imagine. After all, “they use it in the swamp” isn’t much of a rallying cry.
<h3><a href="https://www.amiracist.com/?_gl=1*jtghwp*_gcl_au*ODQ1NjYzNTg2LjE3Mjg5MDk3OTE.*_ga*MTc2NzM0NDQ2NS4xNzI4OTA5Nzkx*_ga_CZKR9ZYKJP*MTczMDEyMDgwOS40OS4xLjE3MzAxMjA4MzkuMzAuMC4w" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MATT WALSH&#8217;S &#8216;AM I RACIST?&#8217; NOW STREAMING ON DAILYWIRE+</a></h3>
Is this the end of ranked choice voting? It should be. But with the left, there is no such thing as a permanent defeat. In fact, RCV has endured expensive, high-profile failures before—a $10 million <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Massachusetts_Question_2,_Ranked-Choice_Voting_Initiative_(2020)#Campaign_finance" target="_blank" rel="noopener">loss</a> in Massachusetts in 2020, for instance—only to rebrand the scheme as “instant runoffs” and “open primaries,” and spend 10 times as much this year.
RCV <a href="https://subscriber.politicopro.com/newsletter/2024/11/election-reformers-try-to-pick-up-the-pieces-00188355" target="_blank" rel="noopener">backers</a> are already <a href="https://x.com/NickTroiano/status/1854313594785018148" target="_blank" rel="noopener">promising</a> they will be back, even <a href="https://subscriber.politicopro.com/newsletter/2024/11/election-reformers-try-to-pick-up-the-pieces-00188355" target="_blank" rel="noopener">telegraphing</a> they will focus instead on lobbying state legislatures to impose the scheme that voters just decisively rejected. So much for all their talk about “democracy.” Lawmakers would be wise to head that effort off by <a href="https://stoprcv.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">banning</a> ranked choice voting next year, instead.
Left-wing billionaires spent millions trying to buy a new form of democracy that would cater to their politics and interests. Fortunately, the American people spoke loud and clear: our election system is not for sale.
* * *
Jason Snead is the executive director of Honest Elections Project Action.
The views expressed in this piece are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of The Daily Wire.

TOPSHOT-US-VOTE-POLITICS-ELECTION

Ranked Choice Voting Goes Down In Flames

2024 Election

Arizona

Colorado

Democrats

Elections

Nevada

Opinion

Oregon

Ranked Choice Voting

Voting

Control of the Senate is on the ballot today, and while Republicans have a straightforward path to flipping the upper chamber, Democrats need to pull off some upsets to maintain control.
Fifty-one senators, including four independents, are in the Democratic caucus in the Senate, compared to 49 Republicans. That breakdown will likely change as numerous Senate races are decided on Tuesday night, and possibly in the days after.
Here are 10 races to watch.
<h4>Arizona — Open Seat</h4>
After Sen. Kyrsten Sinema announced earlier this year that she was retiring from the Senate, the race for her seat was blown wide open. While Sinema became an independent in 2022, she still caucuses with the Democrats, meaning her seat would be a big flip for Republicans if they can win on Tuesday.
Republican candidate Kari Lake, who lost the gubernatorial election in 2022, is currently trailing in the polls against Democrat Rep. Ruben Gallego. Gallego enjoyed a nearly eight-point lead in the <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/arizona/lake-vs-gallego" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RealClearPolitics</a> polling average in early October, but Lake has cut into that lead, trailing by less than 3 points as of Tuesday afternoon.
Much of the Arizona Senate race has centered on the border crisis, as Lake has hammered Gallego over his <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/dem-arizona-senate-candidate-supported-amnesty-flip-flopped-on-illegal-aliens-voting" target="_blank" rel="noopener">support for amnesty</a> and his vote against House Joint Resolution 24, which sought to prevent illegal immigrants from voting in local elections in Washington, D.C.
Cook Political Report rates the race as <a href="https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings" target="_blank" rel="noopener">lean Democrat</a>.
<h4>Maryland — Open Seat</h4>
Former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan is hoping to give the GOP a Senate seat in one of the most unlikely of states as he faces off against Democrat Angela Alsobrooks. Hogan was a popular governor in the blue state, winning two terms as a Republican. He has campaigned as a moderate willing to reach across the aisle, focusing on addressing economic issues and taxes.
Alsobrooks, a former county executive for Prince George County, Maryland, is pushing for pro-abortion policies and a ban on so-called assault weapons, claiming that &#8220;gun violence is the number one killer of children in America.&#8221; The Democrat leads Hogan in almost every recent <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/maryland/hogan-vs-alsobrooks" target="_blank" rel="noopener">poll</a>, and Cook Political Report rates the race as likely Democrat. But if Republicans have a strong night on Tuesday, it could be evidenced by how well Hogan performs in deep-blue Maryland.
<h4>Michigan — Open Seat</h4>
Similar to Arizona, Michigan&#8217;s 2024 Senate race will decide who will replace a retiring senator — in this case, 74-year-old Democrat Debbie Stabenow. Both of Michigan&#8217;s Senate seats have been controlled by Democrats since Republican Spencer Abraham lost his re-election bid to Stabenow in 2000. The party&#8217;s nearly-25 years of controlling Michigan&#8217;s Senate seats, however, is up for grabs as Republican Mike Rogers is running in a tight race against Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin.
Slotkin was the clear favorite to win the race early on, but Rogers has <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/mi-republican-senate-candidate-gains-ground-on-dem-opponent-new-polls" target="_blank" rel="noopener">cut into</a> the Democrat&#8217;s lead in the polls. Both Slotkin and Rogers have focused heavily on the economy, with Rogers accusing Slotkin of supporting a controversial Chinese-owned electric vehicle plant being built in Big Rapids, Michigan. Slotkin, meanwhile, has attempted to tie Rogers to Big Pharma and has touted her support of abortion.
Slotkin currently leads in the RealClearPolitics average by 2.3 points, and Cook Political Report rates the race as a toss-up.
<h4>Montana — Democrat Seat</h4>
Longtime Democrat Sen. Jon Tester is in an uphill battle to keep his Senate seat, which he&#8217;s held since 2007. Republican candidate Tim Sheehy, a retired Navy SEAL, is challenging Tester, focusing on the border crisis that has exploded under the Biden-Harris administration.
Montana represents one of the Republican Party&#8217;s best chances to flip a seat in the Senate with Cook Political Report rating the race lean Republican. Tester winning re-election could be vital to the Democratic Party&#8217;s narrow path to keeping control of the Senate. Polling on the Montana race has shown Sheehy leading Tester by nearly 8 points on average, according to <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/montana/sheehy-vs-tester" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RealClearPolitics</a>.
<h4>Nebraska — Republican Seat</h4>
Republican Sen. Deb Fischer is running for re-election against independent candidate Dan Osborn, a Navy veteran. Fischer has served in the Senate since 2013 and has won each of her elections by wide margins. But polling from this year&#8217;s race shows a much closer contest than what Fischer is used to.
Osborn reportedly asked the Democratic Party to keep a candidate off the ballot to form a coalition behind him, but then said he would <a href="https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/05/15/dan-osborn-spurns-democrats-other-parties-whose-help-he-sought-in-senate-race/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">not accept</a> the Democratic Party&#8217;s endorsement following the primaries. While an Osborn upset in Nebraska wouldn&#8217;t help push the Democrats closer to a majority, it could potentially hurt the GOP&#8217;s numbers and its path to taking control of the Senate.
Fischer leads in the polls by just over 2 points, according to FiveThirtyEight&#8217;s average. Cook Political Report rates the race as lean Republican.
<h4>Nevada — Democrat Seat</h4>
Nevada Democrat Sen. Jacky Rosen is in a close race against Republican Sam Brown in what would be a huge pick-up for Republicans if Brown can pull off the upset. Rosen won her first term as senator in the 2018 election after serving as a congresswoman from Nevada&#8217;s 3rd District for one term.
Brown, a U.S. Army veteran who was wounded while serving in Afghanistan in 2008, a political outsider is hoping to burst onto the scene with a victory over Rosen. An upset for Brown seemed far from reach just two months ago when Rosen led in the <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/nevada/brown-vs-rosen" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RCP average</a> by 10 points, but Brown has chipped away at the Democrat&#8217;s lead, now trailing by just four points. In one recent poll, Brown was tied with Rosen, and in another, he was leading by 1 point.
Cook Political Report rates the race as lean Democrat.
<h4>Ohio — Democrat Seat</h4>
In what Cook Political Report is rating as another toss-up race, Democrat Sherrod Brown has been <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/ohio/brown-vs-moreno" target="_blank" rel="noopener">losing ground</a> in the polls against Republican Bernie Moreno. Brown, who has been in office since 2007, has attempted to present himself as a moderate, especially on energy, vowing that he “will not turn my back on Ohio’s rural electric co-ops, Ohio energy workers, and Ohio families whose energy bills are already too high.” In September, however, <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/ohio-dem-senator-to-hold-event-with-group-pushing-to-close-states-largest-coal-plant" target="_blank" rel="noopener">participated in a campaign event</a> alongside a radical environmentalist group pushing to close the state’s largest coal plant.
Moreno, a Colombian-born businessman, supports stronger border security and <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bernie-moreno-touts-historically-powerful-trump-endorsement-after-ohio-primary-win-previews-day-1-agenda" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> that &#8220;energy dominance&#8221; will be one of his top issues if he is elected. Moreno has also pushed to abolish the Department of Education, arguing that it has a &#8220;stranglehold on our kids.&#8221;
Moreno leads by just 1.7 points in the RealClearPolitics average.
<h4>Pennsylvania — Democrat Seat</h4>
In Pennsylvania, Democrat Sen. Bob Casey is running for his fourth term against Republican businessman Dave McCormick. The battleground state Senate race is another chance for Republicans to steal a seat from the Democrats. McCormick has recently surged in the polls, saying that Pennsylvanians “can see now it’s between a seventh-generation Pennsylvanian, an outsider, a business guy, someone who went to West Point and served in combat, versus a guy who’s been in elected office for 30 years and has been weak in a 99% vote for these liberal policies.&#8221;
In recent weeks, Casey has attempted to tie himself to former President Donald Trump, dropping a campaign that says “Casey bucked Biden to protect fracking and he sided with Trump to end NAFTA and put tariffs on China to stop them from cheating.”
Casey leads McCormick by <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/pennsylvania/mccormick-vs-casey" target="_blank" rel="noopener">1.8 points</a> in the RCP average of polls, and Cook Political Report rates the race as a toss-up.
<h4>Texas — Republican Seat</h4>
Republican Sen. Ted Cruz is seeking to fend off an upset bid from Democrat Rep. Colin Allred and keep the Texas Senate seat in the GOP&#8217;s hands. Allred, a former NFL linebacker, has gone along with the Biden-Harris agenda <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-congress-votes/colin-allred/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">100%</a> of the time. During a recent debate, Cruz <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/ted-cruz-blasts-his-dem-opponents-radical-and-extreme-record-during-debate" target="_blank" rel="noopener">blasted</a> Allred&#8217;s &#8220;radical and extreme&#8221; record, pointing out that the Democrat voted in favor of the leftist “Equality Act,” a bill that prohibited discrimination based on “sexual orientation” or “gender identity.”
For Democrats to maintain control of the Senate, they would likely have to pull off a win in Montana or a major upset over Cruz in Texas. Cook Political Report rates the Cruz-Allred race as lean Republican.
<h4>Wisconsin — Democrat Seat</h4>
The fourth and final Senate toss-up race, according to Cook Political Report, is the Wisconsin contest between incumbent Democrat Tammy Baldwin and Republican Eric Hovde. Baldwin, a senator since 2013, has seen the <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/wisconsin/hovde-vs-baldwin" target="_blank" rel="noopener">polls</a> grow closer in recent weeks. Hovde, like many Republicans, is focused on immigration and the economy and is hoping to ride some momentum from Trump, who has been focusing on the battleground state.
Baldwin leads Hovde by just 1.8 points, according to the RealClearPolitics average.
<a href="https://election.dailywire.com/?_gl=1*1ekafg9*_gcl_au*ODQ1NjYzNTg2LjE3Mjg5MDk3OTE.*_ga*MTc2NzM0NDQ2NS4xNzI4OTA5Nzkx*_ga_CZKR9ZYKJP*MTczMDY4ODI4NC44NC4xLjE3MzA2OTQwMDYuNTkuMC4w" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CHECK OUT THE DAILY WIRE&#8217;S ELECTION HUB FOR SENATE FORECASTS AND POLLING</a>

Dave McCormick sign

10 Senate Races To Watch On Election Day

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Former President <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/donald-trump" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Donald Trump</a> ripped Democrat senators on Wednesday for attempting to tie themselves to some of his policies as they seek re-election.
Sens. Bob Casey (D-PA), Tammy Baldwin (D-WI), Sherrod Brown (D-OH), and Jon Tester (D-MT), who are all running against Republicans in tight races, have released ads promoting their support of certain Trump administration policies, Axios <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/10/18/senate-democrats-campaign-ads-trump-2024" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a>. Trump slammed the senators in a post on Truth Social, saying they &#8220;only pretend&#8221; to support his policies &#8220;when Elections roll around.&#8221;
&#8220;Kamala Harris’ sinking Campaign has become so TOXIC, that Democrat Senators in four different States are using me in their advertisements, and stating that they are with President Trump on Tariffs, and numerous other things. While it is a great compliment, it is not fair to those Republican Senate Candidates, Bernie Moreno, Dave McCormick, Eric Hovde, and Sam Brown, who are with me all the time,&#8221; Trump wrote. &#8220;These Democrats have voted with Crooked Joe Biden almost 100% of the time. They only pretend to be on my side when Elections roll around. OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA, WISCONSIN, NEVADA: VOTE FOR BERNIE MORENO, DAVE MCCORMICK, ERIC HOVDE, AND SAM BROWN &#8211; THEY ARE THE ONES WHO ARE WITH US!&#8221;
In a Casey ad that was released last week, the narrator <a href="https://x.com/TimMurtaugh/status/1847285213681832131?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1847285213681832131%7Ctwgr%5E67d3ade8793216f8e9b2d8d6fc9719483f8b1402%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&amp;ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailywire.com%2Fnews%2Fpa-senate-race-moves-from-lean-dem-to-toss-up" target="_blank" rel="noopener">says</a> that &#8220;Casey bucked Biden to protect fracking and he sided with Trump to end NAFTA and put tariffs on China to stop them from cheating.&#8221; A Baldwin ad states, &#8220;Tammy Baldwin got President Trump to sign her Made in America bill.&#8221;
An ad released earlier this year says that Brown &#8220;wrote a bill that Donald Trump signed to crack down on drugs at the border.&#8221; Tester, meanwhile, has been featured in ads that feature Republicans who will be voting for Trump and backing Tester.
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Michigan Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin, who is running for retiring Sen. Debbie Stabenow&#8217;s seat, also <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BLHhTdq52yA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">boasts</a> in a recent ad that she &#8220;wrote a law signed by President Trump forcing drug companies to show their actual prices.&#8221;
Trump and Republican Senate candidates have recently gained ground in the polling. In Pennsylvania, Casey&#8217;s lead over Dave McCormick has been cut from 5 points at the end of September to just 1.9 points as of Wednesday afternoon, according to the <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/pennsylvania/mccormick-vs-casey" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RealClearPolitics</a> average. In <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/wisconsin/hovde-vs-baldwin" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Wisconsin</a>, Baldwin leads Republican Eric Hovde by just 1.5 points, and in <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/ohio/brown-vs-moreno" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ohio</a>, Brown is ahead of Bernie Moreno by less than 1 percentage point per the RCP average. Republican Tim Sheehy is favored to take Tester&#8217;s seat in Montana as he leads the Democrat by an average of <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/montana/sheehy-vs-tester" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7 points</a> in the polls.

Donald Trump

Trump Blasts Dem Senators’ Attempts To Tie Themselves To Him Days Before Election

Trump Blasts Dem Senators' Attempts To Tie Themselves To Him Days Before Election

Bob Casey

Jon Tester

Sherrod Brown

<a href="https://www.foxnews.com/video/6363606392112">Video</a> obtained by Fox News appears to show a Democrat operative tampering with an election ballot drop box in Montana, prompting an accusation by local election officials to the Montana Secretary of State.
The operative, identified by authorities as Laszlo Gendler, has been paid by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), according to <a href="https://www.opensecrets.org/political-parties/dscc/2024/expenditures-details?name=democratic-senatorial-campaign-cmte&amp;recip=Gendler%2C+Laszlo" target="_blank" rel="noopener">OpenSecrets.org</a>, as <a href="https://montanatalks.com/dem-busted-tampering-with-ballot-dropbox-in-montana/?trackback=twitter_mobile" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Montana Talks</a> reported. The DSCC is working to help incumbent Democrat Senator Jon Tester against GOP senatorial candidate Tim Sheehy.
Richie Melby, the Communications Director for Secretary of State Christi Jacobsen, told Montana Talks, “The Glacier County election administrator contacted our office expressing serious concern over surveillance footage that appeared to show an individual &#8216;tampering&#8217; with a ballot box. Our Elections Director contacted the election administrator, who confirmed that the individual in the footage is Laszlo Gendler. The name of the suspect and details were turned over to Glacier County law enforcement. Our Elections Director was pleased that the individual was not able to remove the ballot box from the wall, although the activity was obviously highly suspicious and concerning.&#8221;
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Crystal R. Cole, the Election Administrator for Glacier County, had emailed the Montana Secretary of State this notice:
<blockquote>
Glacier County has put up two Official Mail Ballot Drop Boxes, one at our Satellite Office in Browning and one at the Glacier County Detention/Dispatch Entrance, both under 24/7 surveillance. Yesterday, on October 20th, at 10:25:05, Laszlo with the MT Democratic Party was on camera tampering with the Box. I did call him to ask him what his reasoning was, he stated “they” sent him to the location to see how secure the box was. The MT Democratic party did not notify the Elections office in any way to state they would be sending someone to the Ballot Box to see how secure it was, so on camera it looks like he was tampering with the box.
</blockquote>
The Montana Secretary of State Christi Jacobsen issued a statement on the video that, &#8220;Footage has emerged of a D.C. Democratic staffer tampering with a ballot drop box in Glacier County.&#8221;
&#8220;This isn’t speculation — it is on camera…we are currently investigating this matter with the help of law enforcement and will continue to observe the actions of the Democratic Party of Montana under close watch.”
After the initial publication of this story, it was reported by <a href="https://www.krtv.com/news/montana-and-regional-news/ballot-box-video-in-glacier-county-stirs-controversy">KRTV</a> that Gendler was brought in for questioning by law enforcement but released. Glacier County Attorney Terryl Matt said after an investigation, it was not a &#8220;legitimate attempt to tamper with the ballot box or the electoral process.&#8221;
“After a review of the evidence, including the footage, we have determined that the issue is unsubstantiated,&#8221; the attorney said. &#8220;The behavior captured in the video does not constitute a legitimate attempt to tamper with the ballot box or the electoral process. Glacier County takes all potential instances of election tampering seriously and investigate them to ensure the integrity of our democratic process.”
The DSCC said its operative was checking to make sure the ballot box was &#8220;secured to the wall,&#8221; and that it has relieved the employee of his services after the incident.
&#8220;Poll observers are not instructed to touch ballot boxes,&#8221; a spokesperson told KRTV. &#8220;Gendler was attempting to ensure a new ballot box was secured to the wall.&#8221;
An October New York Times/Siena poll showed Sheehy leading Tester 52-44; the <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/montana/sheehy-vs-tester" target="_blank" rel="noopener">last five polls</a> of the race show Sheehy winning by between six and eight points. Republicans currently hold 49 seats in the Senate; a gain of two seats would give them the majority, which is crucial in many votes, including the confirmation of any Supreme Court judges.
This piece has been updated with new information on the local investigation into Gendler to make clear that he was not found to have made a legitimate attempt to tamper with the ballot box.

EARLY VOTING MT

Montana Dem Operative Accused Of ‘Tampering’ With Ballot Box, Cleared By Authorities

ballot box

Democratic Party

Tim Sheehy

Pro-life activists are warning about “deceptive” ballot initiatives that could pave the way for unlimited abortion in red states if approved by voters in November. 
The ballot initiatives employ deceptive language, like saying a measure would allow abortion up to the point of “viability&#8221; — but lets pro-abortion doctors determine what “viability” means. Other ballots would permit abortions for &#8220;mental health&#8221; reasons, another broad category that could be interpreted to expand abortion.
“A lot of deception on the side of the [abortion] proponents because they know that if they were honest about their ultimate goal, which is to repeal not just the gestational limit but all these other laws like no taxpayer funding for abortion, like parental consent, like informed consent, that voters would never support that,” SBA Pro-Life America policy director Katie Glenn Daniel told The Daily Wire. 
Pro-life activists face a massive funding disadvantage in the 10 states where abortion is on the ballot, including New York, Florida, and Arizona. The <a href="https://initiativepetitions.elections.myflorida.com/InitiativeForms/Fulltext/Fulltext_2307_EN.pdf">language</a> on the Florida ballot says that there can be no pro-life protections “before viability or when necessary to protect the patient&#8217;s health, as determined by the patient&#8217;s healthcare provider.” 
In Montana, the language would block protections before “viability,” which is defined as “the point in pregnancy when, in the good faith judgment of a treating health care professional and based on the particular facts of the case.”
Dr. Ingrid Skop, a researcher with the pro-life Charlotte Lozier Institute, said that allowing the doctor to define viability was dangerous. She said that since the abortionist’s goal is to end the life of the unborn baby, he will decide that the “baby will never be viable because I am going to end his life.” 
“So we can see that this very ambiguous wording is going to lead to many abortions long after the time of viability for reasons most Americans would not consider to be a compelling reason for ending human life,” Skop told The Daily Wire.
Other ballot initiatives de-emphasize abortion, to make voters think they&#8217;re only deciding on less controversial components. Missouri&#8217;s abortion ballot measure includes guarantees to things like miscarriage care and fertility treatments, which are not prohibited by any state law. This strategy paid off for pro-abortion activists in Ohio last year, where voters passed a ballot measure expanding abortion rights thanks in part to ambiguous language.
“By making these ballot initiatives worded in such a deceptive way people think to themselves, ‘Oh I must have to vote for this in order to allow a mom to get emergency care,” Skop said. 
Skop added that many of the ballot initiatives also include vague provisions on abortions that are necessary for &#8220;health of the mother,&#8221; once a defined medical category that has now grown to include mental, financial, social, and familial factors. Abortions measures in states including Missouri and and Nevada have &#8220;mental health&#8221; as a justification for an abortion. 
“Many abortions way past the age of viability were performed with the excuse that this was needed for a woman’s health,” Skop said. 
Abortion is <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/heres-where-abortion-is-on-the-ballot-this-november" target="_blank" rel="noopener">on the ballot</a> in Florida, Arizona, Missouri, Colorado, Nevada, Nebraska, Montana, South Dakota, New York, and Maryland. So far, the pro-abortion side has <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/Health/wireStory/abortion-rights-groups-outraising-opponents-8-1-november-114488948" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reportedly</a> raised around $108 million, while the pro-life side has raked in just $14 million. 
Daniel said it made sense that the pro-abortion side was spending so much money on the races, as they were essentially making a business investment. 
“The abortion industry has no guard rails on how much money they will spend on this because it&#8217;s an investment in their ability to run their business without any limits,” she said. “So of course they are going to open the wallets to spend money to lie to voters.”
The pro-abortion groups have also used language typically associated with more conservative voters, with many talking about limiting government and using names like &#8220;Missourians for Constitutional Freedom&#8221; and &#8220;Floridians Protecting Freedom.&#8221;
But pro-life groups are working to make their voice heard as Election Day nears. Live Action announced on Thursday a six-figure digital ad campaign to urge voters in Missouri and Florida to vote &#8220;no&#8221; on the abortion amendments. 
“Abortionists and their collaborators are pouring tens of millions of dollars into propaganda to try to mislead voters and conceal the fact that these amendments would legalize abortions on babies through all nine months of pregnancy,” Live Action founder Lila Rose said. “Lives are on the line in Florida and Missouri like never before in state history.”
Pro-lifers have seen a number of setbacks at the ballot box from Kansas to Kentucky to Ohio, but believe they can be successful if more Americans knew the full extent of the abortion agenda being pushed by Democrats. For example, pro-abortion activists in Michigan are suing to force taxpayer funding for abortion, which has long been banned by state law. 
“The other side knows they have to be deceptive to get this across the finish line,” Daniel said. “What we see is that when voters are informed they reject that extremism.”

Arizona’s Supreme Court Revives 1864 Law Banning Abortions, Causing Backlash

Pro-Life Advocates Warn Of ‘Deceptive’ Abortion Measures On The Ballot In Red States

Abortion

Pro-Life Movement

A conservative elections watchdog organization released a report on election laws in 2024 battleground states, warning that the Left has a “massive operation” in place ready to engage in litigation “lawfare.”
The Honest Elections Project released its <a href="https://honestelections.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/HEP-2024-Battleground-Voting-Laws-Spreadsheet.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">guide to voting laws</a> in battleground states on Wednesday, surveying the varying state laws on mail-in voting, early voting, drop boxes, ballot receipt deadlines, voter registration deadlines, voter ID laws, and other measures. The states included in the report included Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
&#8220;As we head toward a presidential election that appears it will be decided by a razor thin margin yet again, election integrity policies could have major implications on the outcome. While some states’ election safeguards are better than others, it is important for the public to be aware of the status of these laws as we get closer to election day,” Honest Elections Project Executive Director Jason Snead said. 
States like Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania are all expected to be close and determine the winner between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.
In a press call on Wednesday, Snead said that some of the states surveyed, like Georgia and Ohio, had “substantially better” election laws in place while he raised concerns about election administration in Michigan and Nevada. 
He said that election security of Georgia and Ohio stood out, praising their tight restrictions on ballot drop boxes. 
”A lot of the credit for improving the upcoming election goes to state lawmakers who have passed elections laws in Florida, Georgia, Texas, Arizona before the change in power in 2022, and others,” he said during the call. “They passed laws often in the face of incredibly stiff opposition when the Left was hurling invectives.”
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In contrast, he criticized Michigan over its passage of Proposition 2 last election cycle, which overhauled the state’s election laws. One portion allowed a person to sign an affidavit instead of presenting an ID when voting. 
Snead also warned that the Left had a massive private &#8220;get out the vote&#8221; infrastructure in place that was more lacking by the Right. 
“They have a massive, massive operation. It’s sort of a perpetual machine at this point,” he told The Daily Wire. “The Left has outsourced most of those activities whether you&#8217;re talking about litigation lawfare, voter registration, GOTV, to nonprofit groups that operate 24/7 365 and they have access to enormous sums of money to do what they are doing.” 
Additionally, Snead urged Congress to pass the SAVE Act, which would add protections to ensure that only American citizens will be able to vote in elections.

North Carolina Board Of Elections Test Voting Machines Ahead Of Election

Watchdog Warns Of ‘Massive’ Leftwing Infrastructure Prepared For Election ‘Lawfare’

Georgia

Kamala Harris

Mail-In Voting

North Carolina

The <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/national-rifle-association-nra" target="_blank" rel="noopener">National Rifle Association</a> on Tuesday launched a more than $2 million ad campaign targeting Senator Jon Tester (D-MT), whose seat is one of the most hotly contested going into November. 
The seven-figure ad buy will target Tester over his stance on the Second Amendment and feature a TV spot that will air throughout <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/montana" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Montana</a> on satellite and cable networks. The NRA said the campaign was part of the gun rights group&#8217;s effort to influence competitive battleground races.  
Tester, who has been in the Senate since 2007, faces a<a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/new-poll-indicates-longtime-senate-democrat-could-be-toast-in-november" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> tough challenge</a> from Republican Tim Sheehy. The outcome could determine control of the Senate, as the Democrats have a slim two-seat majority. 
&#8220;This November gun owners can&#8217;t afford to sit on the sidelines,” said NRA Political Victory Fund Chair Randy Kozuch. “The NRA is mobilizing considerable resources to support strong pro-Second Amendment candidates for Congress and the White House to ensure that Americans will be able to continue to exercise their right to keep and bear arms.”
The ad features a woman living in rural Montana preparing to defend herself as robbers break into her home. 
“Where I live you can&#8217;t wait for 911. My family&#8217;s safety is in my hands alone but gun grabbers who&#8217;ve never been to Montana let alone out here want to take my rights away. My gun is in my pocket but my Senator is in theirs. Jon Tester failed to protect my right to self-defense and that&#8217;s why moms like me can&#8217;t wait to fire him in November,” the woman says in the ad. 
&nbsp;
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
🚨NEW AD🚨
Democrat Jon Tester supports radical gun control and failed to protect Montanans’ right to self-defense.
The NRA is launching a $2 million ad buy in Montana to warn of the danger <a href="https://twitter.com/jontester?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@JonTester</a> poses to the Second Amendment and our essential liberties. <a href="https://t.co/3ZflAy0xHl">pic.twitter.com/3ZflAy0xHl</a>
— NRA (@NRA) <a href="https://twitter.com/NRA/status/1833482214912213005?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 10, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Tester, who has <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/democrat-jon-tester-campaigns-against-his-own-record-in-montana" target="_blank" rel="noopener">attempted to distance</a> himself from the Biden-Harris administration, has <a href="https://www.tester.senate.gov/about/issues/civil-liberties/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> that he “strongly” supports the Second Amendment and doesn’t support banning AR-15-style rifles. In 2022, Tester backed a bill called the “Bipartisan Safer Communities Act, the <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/biden-signs-most-expansive-gun-control-bill-in-decades-into-law-following-republican-support" target="_blank" rel="noopener">most expansive gun</a> control law passed in decades and signed by President Joe Biden.
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Kozuch questioned Tester’s positions on the Second Amendment, pointing to his record in the Senate. 
“Though Tester likes to portray himself as a friend of gun owners, his voting record in the Senate makes clear he is not on the side of Montanans who support the 2nd Amendment,” he said. “He has voted to spend taxpayer dollars to promote state-level red flag laws, which are ripe for abuse, and deny gun owners basic due process protections. And he&#8217;s voted multiple times to criminalize private firearms transfers while supporting government blacklists.”
According to the average of polls taken in the state so far, Tester is trailing Sheehy by about five points.

2023 JDRF Children’s Congress, Senate Appropriations Committee Hearing

NRA Launches 7-Figure Campaign To ‘Fire’ Vulnerable Senate Democrat

National Rifle Association (NRA)

The latest poll from the <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/montana" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Montana</a> Senate race shows Democrats are in danger of losing the Senate, even if Vice President Kamala Harris wins the presidency.
The latest poll, <a href="https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/montana-older-voter-survey-2024.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.034.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">from AARP</a>, shows Republican challenger Tim Sheehy with 49% of the vote and incumbent Sen. Jon Tester (D) with just 41% when all third-party candidates are included. In a head-to-head matchup, Sheehy leads 51-45%.
The poll of likely voters was conducted between August 25 and 29 and has a margin of error of +/-4% with the total sample and a margin of error of +/-3.5% with voters over 50. The survey was answered by twice as many Republicans than Democrats, as well as Independents, but it is in line with other polls being conducted in this race.
Democrats need to win Montana in order to keep control of the Senate if Harris is elected president. According to Axios, they are likely to lose the Senate race in West Virginia and therefore need to win all eight other competitive seats. If they do so, the Senate will be split 50-50 and Gov. Tim Walz, as vice president, would be able to cast the tie-breaking vote, as Harris did under President Joe Biden.
But if Democrats lose Montana, Republicans will hold 51 seats to Democrats’ 49, meaning they would have control of the Senate even if Harris wins.
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As The Daily Wire has previously <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/vulnerable-democrat-senator-skips-dnc-refuses-to-endorse-harris-in-bid-to-save-senate-seat" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a>, Tester’s poll numbers haven’t been favorable for a while, and likely played a role in him skipping the Democratic National Convention and refusing to endorse Harris for president.
The RealClearPolitics <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/montana/sheehy-vs-tester" target="_blank" rel="noopener">polling average</a> has Sheehy up 5.2 points.
Former President Donald Trump also leads in Montana, a state he won by 16 points in 2020. Tester is also the only Democrat in Montana’s congressional delegation.
He won his previous elections by less than four points (3.1 percentage points in 2018 and 3.7 percentage points in 2012), so if Sheehy is helped even a little by the state’s favor of Trump, Tester could lose his seat.
Polling is also tight in several other Senate races Democrats need to win, including Ohio and Pennsylvania, but Montana appears to be the most likely one for Democrats to lose at this point.
In late August, Tester told reporters he wouldn’t endorse Harris for president.
“Two reasons — because I’m focused on my race, and number two, people want to nationalize this race, and this isn’t about national politics,” Tester <a href="https://www.nbcmontana.com/news/local/tester-says-no-endorsement-for-presidential-race-discusses-medicare-reduction" target="_blank" rel="noopener">told</a> NBC Montana. “This is about Montana.”

Latest Montana Poll Spells Disaster For Democrat Senate Chances

A Democrat senator worrying about his re-election campaign says he won’t endorse Vice President Kamala Harris for president.
Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) has previously refused to endorse Harris, but last week, he specifically <a href="https://www.nbcmontana.com/news/local/tester-says-no-endorsement-for-presidential-race-discusses-medicare-reduction" target="_blank" rel="noopener">told</a> NBC Montana why.
“Two reasons &#8212; because I’m focused on my race, and number two, people want to nationalize this race, and this isn’t about national politics,” Tester told the outlet. “This is about Montana.”
NBC Montana said it had previously asked Tester about Harris running for president, as he hadn’t said anything about it throughout August. But Tester wouldn’t respond, and his staff told the outlet he was too busy harvesting to answer the question.
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The outlet was finally able to pin him down at an event last week following Tester’s <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/vulnerable-democrat-senator-skips-dnc-refuses-to-endorse-harris-in-bid-to-save-senate-seat" target="_blank" rel="noopener">decision to skip</a> the Democratic National Convention. The senator was asked why it was so crucial for him to be in Montana right now and whether the “energy” from the DNC had made him reconsider if he would endorse Harris.
Tester’s refusal to tie himself to Harris has been seen as an effort to save his own job. Former President Donald Trump leads the polls in Montana, which Trump won by 16 points in 2020. Tester is also the only Democrat in Montana’s congressional delegation.
He won his previous elections by less than four points (3.1 percentage points in 2018 and 3.7 percentage points in 2012), so if his GOP opponent, Sheehy, is helped even a little by the state’s favor of Trump, Tester could lose his seat.
All recent polls of the Montana Senate race put Sheehy in the lead, and the Real Clear Politics <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/montana/sheehy-vs-tester" target="_blank" rel="noopener">polling average</a> has him up five points.
The most recent poll, from Rasmussen, gives Sheehy a 7-point lead, and the three polls before that, conducted between June 29 and August 12, also showed the challenger leading by a comfortable margin: +5 in the latest Remington poll, +2 in the latest poll from Emerson, and +6 in <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/new-poll-indicates-longtime-senate-democrat-could-be-toast-in-november" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a poll</a> taken by KULR-TV between August 10 and 12.
<a href="http://www.amiracist.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://www.amiracist.com/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1724211156439000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2xQ8bdTcpfdrPBAzczIuck">WATCH THE TRAILER FOR ‘AM I RACIST?’ — A MATT WALSH COMEDY ON DEI</a>
Tester also appears to be <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/democrat-jon-tester-campaigns-against-his-own-record-in-montana" target="_blank" rel="noopener">running against his own record</a>, including attacks on President Joe Biden’s handling of the border – when just last year, Tester was praising Biden’s policies.
“I think the big issue here is we need to make sure the southern border is secure and I think the President has helped do that,” Tester said last year on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.”
Tester now claims that he is “working with Republicans to do whatever it takes to finally secure the border,” according to a <a href="https://x.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/1788197174309781961">campaign ad</a> that ran in May.

Democrat Senator Says He Won’t Endorse Kamala Amid Tough Re-Election

Democrat Senator Says He Won’t Endorse Kamala Harris Amid Tough Re-Election

Senate Democrats

A vulnerable Democrat senator facing a tough re-election has refused to endorse Kamala Harris for president and won’t be attending the Democratic National Convention this week.
Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT), appears to have fallen behind his opponent, Republican challenger Tim Sheehy, in the latest polls, and the senator’s refusal to endorse Harris or attend the DNC appear to be calculated moves to try and save his seat.
In the three most recent polls, conducted between June 29 and August 12, Sheehy appears to be leading by a comfortable margin, +5 in the latest Remington poll, +2 in the latest poll from Emerson, and +6 in <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/new-poll-indicates-longtime-senate-democrat-could-be-toast-in-november" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a poll</a> taken by KULR-TV between August 10 and 12. The Real Clear Politics average has Sheehy sitting at 4.4. points ahead of Tester.
The election is still several months away, but the latest polls show the three-term senator could be heading for defeat. He’s won his previous two re-elections by small but decisive margins (3.1 percentage points in 2018 and 3.7 percentage points in 2012) and may see Harris as a net negative to his campaign.
Tester has refused to endorse Harris, NPR <a href="https://www.npr.org/2024/08/16/g-s1-17155/why-the-last-democrat-standing-in-montana-is-skipping-the-dnc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a>, and claimed he won’t be attending the DNC because it’s harvest time and he’ll be busy on his farm. Tester was a superdelegate at the 2016 Democratic National Convention in 2016 and spoke remotely during the Democrats’ 2020 convention during the COVID-19 pandemic. It was presumably harvest time during those conventions as well.
Tester’s campaign also told NPR that he was too busy for interviews, making it appear he is taking the Harris tactic of not speaking to the media or releasing policy proposals so that they can’t be derided.
As for what Tester has done to campaign so far, he appears to be <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/democrat-jon-tester-campaigns-against-his-own-record-in-montana" target="_blank" rel="noopener">running against his own record</a>. Tester is openly running against political positions he has taken as a United States senator, including illegal immigration. Tester is now running ads showing him attacking President Joe Biden’s handling of the border – when just last year he was praising Biden’s policies.
“I think the big issue here is we need to make sure the southern border is secure and I think the President has helped do that,” Tester said last year on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.”
Tester now claims that he is “working with Republicans to do whatever it takes to finally secure the border,” according to a campaign ad that ran in May.
Tester is also attempting to claim credit for blocking a Biden administration push to pull funding from school hunting programs. Tester, however, voted for the bill that would have blocked such funding.
Former President Donald Trump won Montana by 16 points in 2020.

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Vulnerable Democrat Senator Skips DNC, Refuses To Endorse Harris In Bid To Save Senate Seat

Jon Tester Skips DNC, Refuses To Endorse Harris In Bid To Save Senate Seat

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