There is no doubt that President-elect Donald Trump has won a sweeping victory, becoming only the second U.S. president to be elected to a second, non-consecutive term in one of the most remarkable political comeback stories in American history. But his victory in the Electoral College would’ve been even bigger if two factors hadn’t cheated him out of the additional votes he should have received. 
Why do I say this? Because of the jarring errors the Census Bureau <a href="https://www.heritage.org/election-integrity/report/census-bureau-errors-distort-congressional-representation-the-states">admitted</a> it made in its population numbers for multiple states, and its unfair inclusion of aliens in the population used for congressional apportionment. That inclusion <a href="https://www.dailysignal.com/2024/05/09/a-bill-to-ensure-fair-representation-for-american-citizens/">dilutes</a> the votes of U.S. citizens, distorting representation in the U.S. House of Representatives and in the Electoral College. 
Let me explain. 
First, the costly errors. In 2022, the Census Bureau issued a report in which it announced that a post-census survey revealed that its count was wrong in 14 states. It undercounted the populations of Arkansas, Florida, Illinois, Mississippi, Tennessee, and Texas, while overcounting the populations of Delaware, Hawaii, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New York, Ohio, Rhode Island, and Utah. The errors ranged from a low of 1.49% to a high of 6.79%. 
Due to these errors, Florida did not receive two additional congressional seats it should have gotten, Texas lost out on one additional seat, and Minnesota and Rhode Island each retained a seat they should have lost. Colorado received an additional seat it didn’t deserve. 
Since Trump won Florida and Texas, he should have gotten an additional three Electoral College votes from those states. Kamala Harris should have had three Electoral College votes deducted from her total with her wins in Colorado, Minnesota, and Rhode Island. 
Second, the inclusion of aliens, both legal and illegal, in the population used for apportionment also had a significant effect on the election since they are included in the population used to determine how many votes each state is entitled to in the Electoral College. That’s a major reason why liberals fought so hard to prevent a citizenship question being reinstated on the 2020 Census form; they don’t want the citizen population available for apportionment or redistricting. 
We have had an unprecedented, intentionally engineered influx of illegal aliens in the four years of the Biden-Harris administration—at <a href="https://homeland.house.gov/2024/05/22/startling-stats-factsheet-biden-administration-on-track-to-reach-10-million-encounters-nationwide-before-end-of-fiscal-year/">least</a> 10 million. But even before this latest population explosion of illegal aliens that has made the problem even worse, the Congressional Research Service in 2015 issued a <a href="https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/R41636.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">report</a> on what would happen if apportionment were based solely on citizen population. According to the CRS, that would have shifted seven congressional seats. 
Gaining one seat each (with the 2024 winner noted): Louisiana (Trump), Missouri (Trump), Montana (Trump), North Carolina (Trump), Ohio (Trump), Oklahoma (Trump), and Virginia (Harris). California (Harris) would lose four congressional seats and thus four Electoral College Votes. 
How does all of this stack up? If you exclude the alien population from apportionment and the Electoral College as they should be, and correct the Census Bureau’s mistakes, then Donald Trump should have been awarded an additional nine Electoral College votes, while Kamala Harris should have had six votes deducted from her total. 
The final result with these corrections? As this article was being written, Trump had 295 Electoral College votes to Harris’s 226, with Arizona and Nevada still outstanding. But adjusting for the errors and inclusion of aliens means that Trump actually should have won 304 votes and Harris should only have 220 (not including Arizona’s 11 votes and Nevada’s 6 votes). In a close election, even those numbers could make a difference. 
This fundamental injustice ought to be fixed. There is no excuse for what happened at the Census Bureau. It needs a major review of its personnel, procedures and policies, to determine the cause of its mistakes. It did not make this large a substantive error in the 2010 Census, in which the Bureau’s post-census survey disclosed a mere 0.01 percent overcount. 
Second, there should be a concerted push to add a citizenship question to the 2030 Census form and to change the apportionment formula used by the Census Bureau through legislation such as <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/7109" target="_blank" rel="noopener">the Equal Representation Act</a> to exclude “individuals who are not citizens of the United States.” 
The mandate won by Donald Trump in both the Electoral College and in the popular vote gives the president the authority and the support of the American people to do the right thing when it comes to ensuring their franchise and protecting the voting rights of American citizens free from errors and foreign interference.
* * *
Hans von Spakovsky is Manager, Election Law Reform Initiative and Senior Legal Fellow, Edwin Meese III Center for Legal and Judicial Studies at The Heritage Foundation. He is an authority on a wide range of issues — including civil rights, civil justice, the First Amendment, and immigration.
The views expressed in this piece are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of The Daily Wire.

The 2024 Republican National Convention

The Two Factors That Cheated Trump Out Of Even More Electoral Votes

Biden Administration

Census Bureau

Congress

Democrats

Electoral College

Federal Government

illegal immigrants

Leftists

Obama Administration

Opinion

U.S. House of Representatives

U.S. Politics

Voters

Census data released Thursday showed Americans are less well off than they were four years ago.
Across the board, average household income was down by $1,221 after taking into account inflation, according to the Annual Community Survey, whose 2023 numbers were released by the Census Bureau on Thursday. The portion of households with income of less than $10,000 in 2023 grew by a full percentage point compared to 2019, from 4.3% to 5.3%.
Fewer American households are making $75,000 or more per year, once past earnings are put into 2023 dollars that factor in inflation spurred by massive government spending. Compared to 2019, the percentage of households making $150,000 to $200,000 has dropped 0.2%, while the share making more than that remained the same.
The Census figures deal a blow to Vice President Kamala Harris, whose presidential campaign is built on a pledge that Harris will fight inflation. Former President Donald Trump and his allies have repeatedly criticized Harris for making this pledge, noting that inflation has skyrocketed during the Biden-Harris administration, which has done little to correct the problem.
Inflation has hit those on fixed incomes particularly hard. Social Security checks don’t go as far, and retirement income averaged $31,482 —which, after adjusting for inflation, is $2,450 less than the average retirement income in 2019.
Meanwhile, significantly more Americans are reliant on government handouts, with the share of households on food stamps rising from 10.7% to 12.2% — something that didn’t improve the poverty figures, since it was counted as income.
Another Census metric that measures poverty after taking into account government assistance received, called the <a href="https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2024/09/supplemental-poverty-measure.html?utm_campaign=20240911acos1&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;supplementary poverty measure,&#8221;</a> found that the percentage of people in poverty has increased in each year of the Biden administration, rising in 2022 and 2023. In 2019&#8211;during the Trump administration and before the coronavirus pandemic&#8211;38.3 million people were in poverty.
In 2023, it was 42.8 million. The poverty rate went down in 2020 and 2021 because of a wave of massive government handouts resulting from the government shutting down the economy because of the virus, but the long-term result suggests that they didn&#8217;t help; instead, they created inflation that ultimately made more people poor. They also suggest that government giveaways that continued under the Biden-Harris administration, such as student loan forgiveness, did not contribute to a reduction in poverty.
The Census Bureau said 2023 also saw “the largest annual real increase in rental costs since at least 2011,” referring to the amount that renters paid to live in their home plus utilities. Rents went up by 3.8% last year, double the increase in 2019 and nearly four times the increase in 2017.
The figures directly contradict the Harris campaign&#8217;s <a href="https://kamalaharris.com/issues/">claim</a> that “Vice President Harris has always stood up for renters” and that rents would drop if she were elected president, while “Trump would raise rents.”
Meanwhile, families have been saddled with hefty costs, increasingly finding it necessary to pay for private school after public schools gave into union pressure to shutter during COVID and lowered standards in the name of “equity.” The percentage of K-12 students in private schools rose from 10.3% in 2017 to 12.8% in 2023.
The data also undercut figures showing a slight improvement in the employment rate. Although employment rose by 0.1% since 2019, that rate only counts those who want to work; the same amount have given up looking for work entirely, and are therefore not counted in the unemployment rate.
Additionally, the Biden-Harris administration has boosted the employment rate by creating government jobs, even though the spending that entails contributes to inflation that harms the economy. The percentage of workers who were government workers rose from 14% to 14.4% since 2019.
Related: <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/blue-states-have-worse-inequality-than-red-ones-new-census-data-shows" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Blue Vs. Red: Income Inequality Far Worse In Dem-Run States, New Census Data Shows</a>
Related: <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/in-these-places-most-kids-dont-live-with-their-dad" target="_blank" rel="noopener">In These Places, Most Kids Don’t Live With Their Dad</a>

Cash dollar bills and stock market indicators

Americans’ Incomes Are Lower Than Four Years Ago Thanks To Inflation, Census Says

Economy

Inflation

Kamala Harris

Errors in the 2020 census benefited Democrats and hurt Republicans, and these inaccuracies could make a difference on Election Day.
In 2022, a report from the U.S. Census Bureau revealed that the 2020 census incorrectly counted the American population in at least 14 states, leading some states to lose congressional representation. The report was <a href="https://www.heritage.org/election-integrity/report/census-bureau-errors-distort-congressional-representation-the-states" target="_blank" rel="noopener">highlighted</a> at the time by Heritage Foundation scholar Hans von Spakovsky, who told The Daily Wire that the errors could benefit Democrats in November.
“The result of the Census errors in Florida and Texas, two red states, should have three more electoral seats that they never got,” von Spakovsky wrote in an email. “Whereas three blue states, Minnesota, Rhode Island, and Colorado, have three congressional seats &#8211; and thus three electoral votes &#8211; they should not have. In a razor thin election, this could make the difference in victory.”
Another Heritage scholar, Stephen Moore, who is also an author and founder of the Club For Growth, brought the report back into the light over the weekend, noting, “A majority of the overcounted states were blue, while a majority of the undercounted states were red.”
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
The 2020 Census robbed Red states of electoral seats.
A majority of the overcounted states were blue, while a majority of the undercounted states were red.
According to a <a href="https://twitter.com/Heritage?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Heritage</a> analysis, the result of these errors shorted red states three seats:<a href="https://t.co/QhZcUQUz7b">https://t.co/QhZcUQUz7b</a> <a href="https://t.co/rSVIzMeqUm">pic.twitter.com/rSVIzMeqUm</a>
— Stephen Moore (@StephenMoore) <a href="https://twitter.com/StephenMoore/status/1832405763085537461?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 7, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Moore included a chart showing that overcounted states included Delaware, Hawaii, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New York, Ohio, Rhode Island, and Utah. The error size in New York resulted in a population miscount of +695,422. Minnesota and Rhode Island, whose overcounting resulted in them keeping electoral votes they should have lost, overcounted their populations by 216,971 and 55,457, respectively.
Though Rhode Island overcounted by a smaller amount than the other states (it was still a 5% increase in population, however), it managed to hold onto a congressional seat that it should have lost, the Associated Press <a href="https://turnto10.com/news/local/rhode-island-overcounted-during-the-2020-census-rhode-island-may-19-2022" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> in 2022.
<a href="https://www.amiracist.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.amiracist.com/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1724361346607000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1ZhyOQfEkxcMH_D1Ago3CQ">Tickets for “Am I Racist?” are on sale NOW! Buy here for a theater near you.</a>
If Rhode Island had counted 19,000 fewer residents – as it should have – it would have lost one of its two congressional seats. Had that happened, the AP reported, that congressional seat would have gone to New York.
As for Florida, it undercounted residents by 750,600. It only needed about 171,500 more residents to gain an extra seat. Texas, too, was undercounted by about 560,000 residents when it only needed 189,000 to gain another congressional seat.
In his analysis of the Census Bureau report, von Spakovsky noted:
<blockquote>Under the 2020 Census enumeration released on April 26, 2021, the total apportionment population of the United States was reported as 331,108,434. After application of the “method of equal proportion,” five states each gained one new congressional seat: Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon. Texas gained two new seats. Due to population decreases, seven states each lost one congressional seat: California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia.</blockquote>
These errors can’t be corrected until the 2030 census, which could bring additional, similar errors.

Electoral College Map

Blue States Benefited From 2020 Census Mistakes As Red States Suffered Losses

Blue States Benefitted From 2020 Census Mistakes As Red States Suffered Losses

2024 Election

Elections

Florida

Rhode Island

Texas

U.S.

None of the <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/house-democrats" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Democrats in the House</a> voted for a bill to add a citizenship question to the census questionnaire that passed through the GOP-led chamber on Wednesday.
The <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/7109/text" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Equal Representation Act</a>, which was <a href="https://edwards.house.gov/media/press-releases/house-representatives-passes-edwards-bill-only-include-us-citizens" target="_blank" rel="noopener">introduced</a> by Rep. Chuck Edwards (R-NC), <a href="https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/2024193" target="_blank" rel="noopener">received</a> 206 &#8220;yeas&#8221; from Republicans and 202 &#8220;nays&#8221; from Democrats. Twenty-two members, including 11 Republicans and 11 Democrats, did not vote.
The bill would require a citizenship question on the decennial census starting in 2030. It also demands the findings be reported and modify apportionment of House representatives and electoral votes to exclude noncitizens.
In a <a href="https://twitter.com/RepJamesComer/status/1788337410918539743" target="_blank" rel="noopener">statement</a>, Oversight Chairman James Comer (R-KY) said the House was &#8220;taking steps to proactively protect a fair electoral process&#8221; as he bemoaned how the &#8220;Biden Administration’s open border policies have created the worst border crisis in American history, impacting every American.&#8221;
The top Democrat on the House Oversight Committee, Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD), pointed to one of the amendments to the Constitution in making a case against passing the census questionnaire legislation.
&#8220;The Fourteenth Amendment makes the census and reapportionment apply to &#8216;all persons.&#8217; Constitutional originalists, textualists and followers of precedent must reject unlawful GOP attempts to confine the census and Congressional apportionment to citizens,&#8221; Raskin <a href="https://twitter.com/RepRaskin/status/1788242159080026605" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> in a post to X.
Another Democrat who spoke out against the bill was Rep. Delia Ramirez (D-IL), who hails from a House district created after the 2020 census that was <a href="https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/chicago-politics/illinois-3rd-congressional-district-delia-ramirez-gil-villegas-among-5-competing-to-represent-states-new-hispanic-district/2853325/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">drawn to have a Hispanic plurality</a>.
&#8220;Today, Republicans forced a vote on H.R. 7109, an unconstitutional bill intended to make people afraid and to discourage their participation in the Census,&#8221; she <a href="https://twitter.com/repdeliaramirez/status/1788371249095229932" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> on X. &#8220;H.R. 1709 ultimately undercounts, underrepresents, and underfunds communities like ours, #IL03. I VOTED NO.&#8221;
With no support across the aisle, the GOP bill&#8217;s prospects in the Democrat-controlled Senate may not be very good. Still, Republican lawmakers and their allies rallied behind the legislation to boost their messaging about the issue of illegal immigration ahead of the 2024 election.
Stephen Miller, who served as a senior adviser to former President Donald Trump, <a href="https://twitter.com/StephenM/status/1788379168981327912" target="_blank" rel="noopener">warned</a> on X that &#8220;House Seats and Electoral College votes WILL BE added to areas with the most illegals (including all Biden illegals) unless [the] Senate passes the bill.&#8221; He added, &#8220;Invasion by design.&#8221;

Rep. Jamie Raskin

‘Invasion By Design’: No Dems Back House Bill On Adding Citizenship Question To Census

No Dems Back House Bill On Adding Citizenship Question To Census

Border Crisis

Illegal Immigration

James Comer

Jamie Raskin

Politics

Redistricting

Sen. Bill Hagerty (R-TN) said on Monday that Democrats showed their true intentions late last week by voting against his amendment that would ban illegal aliens from being included in the U.S. Census for the purposes of being counted toward the apportionment of U.S. House seats and Electoral College votes.
In a 45-51 vote, not a single Democratic senator supported his amendment. Since the vote, two of the four senators who missed the vote have voted in favor of it, bringing the tally to 47-51.
Hagerty signaled that he believes the other two senators who missed the vote may also vote &#8220;yes&#8221; on it. Alaska&#8217;s Lisa Murkowski is the only Republican senator to vote against it.
&#8220;I think that this proves the motive behind the crime on our border,&#8221; Hagerty said during an interview on Fox Business. &#8220;They want these illegal migrants in here to create more electoral power for them in their blue states. They&#8217;re basically creating sanctuary cities to be a magnet so these people will disproportionately flow to these blue states.&#8221;
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&#8220;They&#8217;re shipping them there as rapidly as they can since Joe Biden came into office,&#8221; he continued. &#8220;The estimates are as high as 10 million people that have come in here. That would be 13 extra congressional districts if you allocated them the right way. This is a tremendous amount of power that the Democrats are bringing in. They&#8217;re giving their voters, the blue state voters, disproportionately more power than they are giving my voters in Tennessee.&#8221;
WATCH:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
.<a href="https://twitter.com/BillHagertyTN?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@BillHagertyTN</a>: &quot;[Democrats] want these illegal migrants in here to create more electoral power&#8230;Since Joe Biden came into office, the estimates are as high as 10 million people that have come in here — that would be 13 extra congressional districts&#8230;.&quot;
🎥 <a href="https://twitter.com/MariaBartiromo?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@MariaBartiromo</a> <a href="https://t.co/CxK6DW7b5Z">pic.twitter.com/CxK6DW7b5Z</a>
&mdash; Conservative War Machine (@WarMachineRR) <a href="https://twitter.com/WarMachineRR/status/1767212848193638766?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 11, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Congressional Lawmakers React To The Expiration Of The Title 42 Border Policy

Senator Says Democrats Use Illegals To Give Their Voters ‘Disproportionately More Power’ Than GOP Voters

A group of Republican senators led by Sen. Bill Hagerty (R-TN) introduced a bill on Thursday that would ensure that illegal immigrants are not included in the population count for the Electoral College or congressional districts. 
The bill, titled the “<a href="https://www.blackburn.senate.gov/services/files/E691A0D4-087A-443C-A338-235A1C98CC4A" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Equal Representation Act</a>,” would require the Census Bureau to ask a citizenship question so that Electoral College votes would only be apportioned based on U.S. citizens living in the state. Former President Donald Trump attempted to have the question added to the 2020 census but was blocked after he faced a bevy of lawsuits from Left-leaning groups. 
“It is unconscionable that illegal immigrants and non-citizens are counted toward congressional district apportionment and our electoral map. While people continue to flee Democrat-run cities, desperate Democrats are back-filling the mass exodus with illegal immigrants so that they do not lose their seats in Congress or their electoral votes for the presidency, hence artificially boosting their political power and in turn diluting the power of other Americans’ votes,” Hagerty said. 
According to a draft of the legislation, the bill would require a citizenship question to be asked during the decennial census, and it would ensure that representatives would be designated based on the number of citizens living in a state and not the total population. 
“Blue states may be losing citizens over their liberal policies, but they’re making up for it by welcoming illegal immigrants. Democrats have admitted the quiet part out loud as they continue to justify their open border policies: they just need a higher headcount to help them acquire more seats in Congress and more dollars from the federal government. This is wrong and un-American,” Sen. Marsha Blackburn, a co-sponsor of the bill, <a href="https://www.blackburn.senate.gov/2024/1/blackburn-hagerty-colleagues-introduce-legislation-to-end-counting-of-illegal-immigrants-in-determining-electoral-college-votes-and-congressional-district-apportionment">said</a>. 
In 2019, the Supreme Court blocked Trump&#8217;s efforts to add a citizenship question to the census in a 5-4 decision after groups claimed that the question was discriminatory.
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Other co-sponsors of the bill included Sens. Mike Braun (R-IN), Katie Britt (R-AL), Ted Budd (R-NC), Bill Cassidy (R-LA), Kevin Cramer (R-ND), Mike Crapo (R-ID), Steve Daines (R-MT), Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS), James Lankford (R-OK.), Mike Lee (R-UT), Cynthia Lummis (R-WY), Roger Marshall (R-KS), Pete Ricketts (R-NB), Jim Risch (R-ID), Mike Rounds (R-SD), Eric Schmitt (R-MO), John Thune (R-SD), Tommy Tuberville (R-AL), and J.D. Vance (R-OH).
The legislation comes as a record number of illegal immigrants have crossed the southern border under President Joe Biden.

Tennessee Senator Introduces Bill To End Counting Of Illegal Immigrants For Electoral College

Marsha Blackburn

U.S. Senate

The Census Bureau predicts that the U.S. population will decline for the first time ever by the year 2100 after peaking in 2080. 
Census Bureau <a href="https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">estimates</a> released Thursday showed that the U.S. population — which now stands at roughly 333 million — is expected to reach 370 million by 2080, but then drop off to 366 million by 2100. While fewer Americans choose to have large families and fertility rates decrease, U.S. population growth mainly relies on immigration. In each projection other than the “zero-immigration” scenario, immigration is the most significant factor in population numbers in America. 
“The U.S. has experienced notable shifts in the components of population change over the last five years,” Census Bureau Demographer Sandra Johnson said. “Some of these, like the increases in mortality caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, are expected to be short-term while others, including the declines in fertility that have persisted for decades, are likely to continue into the future. Incorporating additional years of data on births, deaths and international migration into our projections process resulted in a slower pace of population growth through 2060 than was previously projected.”
The Census Bureau’s projection took the most likely immigration scenario over the next 77 years, but in a “high-immigration scenario,” the bureau said that the U.S. population would reach 435 million by 2100. In a “low-immigration” scenario, the U.S. population drops to 319 million in 2100, significantly lower than what it is today. 
The most alarming projection came from the “zero-immigration” scenario, which “projects that population declines would start in 2024 in the complete absence of foreign-born immigration,” the Census Bureau said, adding, “The population in this scenario is projected to be 226 million in 2100, roughly 107 million lower than the 2022 estimate.”
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The median age of the U.S. population is projected to rise in each of the Census Bureau’s scenarios. In the most likely projection, 29% of Americans will be 65 or older by 2100, compared to just 16.4% of the population being under 18. Currently, <a href="https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2023/05/2020-census-united-states-older-population-grew.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">16.8%</a> of the U.S. population is 65 or older, and <a href="https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2021/08/united-states-adult-population-grew-faster-than-nations-total-population-from-2010-to-2020.html#:~:text=By%20comparison%2C%20the%20younger%20population,in%20fertility%2C%20ongoing%20since%202007." target="_blank" rel="noopener">22.1%</a> is under 18.  
Earlier this year, the Census Bureau also <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/u-s-median-age-reaches-record-high-as-americans-put-off-having-kids" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> that the U.S. median age hit a record high at 38.9 in 2022. 
“It’s simple arithmetic. Fewer kids are being born,” said Andrew A. Beveridge, the president of demographic data firm Social Explorer.
Declining fertility rates and an aging population are issues already affecting European and Asian countries whose populations are expected to dwindle in the coming decades. Europe’s median age has increased to 44, and Japan’s median age hit 48 years old, making it the oldest country in the world.
China’s population is also in <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/18/china/china-population-drop-explainer-intl-hnk/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">decline</a> as India overtook the communist country as the world’s most populous nation earlier this year. The population in China shrunk in 2022 for the first time since Mao’s famine in 1961 that killed tens of millions of people.

New York City

U.S. Population Projected To Shrink For First Time Ever By End Of Century

Immigration

Population

The <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/immigration">immigrant</a> population in the U.S. hit a record high last year as the number of both legal and illegal immigrants ramped up.
The number of U.S. residents born in another country rose by close to one million last year, reaching a <a href="https://www.npr.org/2023/09/14/1199417599/immigrant-population-us-foreign-born-census-bureau#:~:text=The%20immigrant%20population%20in%20the%20U.S.%20is%20growing%20again%20Census,gradual%20reboot%20of%20legal%20immigration." target="_blank" rel="noopener">record</a> 46.2 million people, according to new U.S. Census estimates.
Immigrants are now nearly 14% of the total U.S. population, the Census data shows.
One driver of the increase is more legal immigration through visas and taking in refugees, much of which was put on hold during the pandemic. The Biden administration has accepted tens of thousands of refugees from Afghanistan, where the Taliban regained control in 2021, and Ukraine, which is at war with Russia.
At the same time, the administration has struggled to address millions of illegal migrants flooding over the nation&#8217;s southern border over the last year.
&#8220;It&#8217;s worth pointing out that these data relate to the middle of 2022, which is before a lot of the recent surges, but some of the people who came in through the southern border are included here as well, so it&#8217;s a combination of all of these factors,&#8221; Jeffrey Passel, senior demographer at the Pew Research Center, told The Daily Wire.
The U.S. is seeing an increase of people coming from particular countries south of the border, including Venezuela, Brazil, Colombia, and Honduras, Passel said.
Meanwhile, the largest immigrant population in the U.S. came from Mexico, with almost 11 million immigrants, but the number of Mexican immigrants is decreasing, Passel said, and the number of El Salvadoran immigrants coming in has remained about the same for five years.
The U.S. is also seeing &#8220;significant growth&#8221; in immigrants from Africa and Asia, including China, Passel said, as well as a &#8220;large increase&#8221; in Afghan immigrants. Afghan immigrants were less than 200,000 last year but still double the number they were five years ago, he said.
Some states have seen more new immigrants settle within their borders than others.
Florida took in 200,000 immigrants last year, the biggest increase by far of any state, <a href="https://www.npr.org/2023/09/14/1199417599/immigrant-population-us-foreign-born-census-bureau#:~:text=The%20immigrant%20population%20in%20the%20U.S.%20is%20growing%20again%20Census,gradual%20reboot%20of%20legal%20immigration." target="_blank" rel="noopener">according</a> to the Census Bureau&#8217;s annual American Community Survey.
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Other states that experienced significant increases in new immigrants were Georgia, Maryland, New Jersey, and Iowa.
Several major U.S. cities are currently scrambling to address a migrant crisis precipitated by thousands of new illegal migrants crossing the border and showing up in need of food and shelter.
In New York City, more than 110,000 migrants have arrived since last year, and 60,000 are still being housed on the city’s dime, causing officials to open additional homeless shelters.
Mayor Eric Adams, a Democrat, announced city-wide budget cuts to deal with the issue and warned earlier this month that the migrant crisis will &#8220;destroy&#8221; New York City.
Chicago is dealing with a similar crisis as the mayor pushes for dozens of huge tent structures that could house 200 migrants each.
Critics have <a href="https://www.thecentersquare.com/national/article_37491ca0-32ff-11ee-945b-7f09d39f7aa0.html#:~:text=Federal%20data%20shows%20525%20known,all%20of%20last%20fiscal%20year." target="_blank" rel="noopener">warned</a> that an insecure border is a serious national security threat since it can allow foreign nationals with unknown intentions and even terrorists to bypass border agents undetected.

Migrants In Caravan That Travelled Through Mexico Attempt To Be Granted Asylum At U.S. Border

U.S. Immigrant Population Hit Record High Last Year

Immigrants

A record number of 40-year-olds have never been married, according to a Pew Research Center <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/06/28/a-record-high-share-of-40-year-olds-in-the-us-have-never-been-married/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">analysis</a> of Census Bureau data from 2021. 
The Pew analysis found that 25% of 40-year-old Americans have never been married before — a “significant increase” from 20% in 2010. In 1980, that number was just 6% but has been continually increasing since. The majority of the never-married 40-year-olds, 78%, also did not live with a “romantic partner,” the data found. 
“In all prior generations of American adults, less than 1 in 5 adults had not tried marriage by age 40,” Richard Fry, a senior researcher at Pew, <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/01/us/record-number-of-40-year-olds-never-married-trnd/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">told</a> CNN. 
Broken down by gender, more men than women had never been married by 40, with 28% of men and 22% of women falling under the category. This appears to be part of a larger trend of people delaying or forgoing marriage altogether. 
Earlier this year, the National Marriage Project released a <a href="https://nationalmarriageproject.org/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">report</a> titled “The Date Night Opportunity,” which revealed that the median age of marriage had been increasing over the past five decades. In 1970, the median age of marriage for men was 23, but in 2021, that number was 30. 
As for race, the Pew analysis found that black 40-year-olds were much more likely than white, Hispanic, or Asian 40-year-olds to never have been married. Forty-six percent of black people in that that age group were never married, while the numbers were 27% for Hispanics, 20% for white people, and 17% for Asians. 
Pew also broke the numbers down based on educational attainment, finding that “40-year-olds without a four-year college degree were more likely to have never married than those who had completed at least a bachelor’s degree.” Thirty-three percent of 40-year-olds with a high school degree had never married, while 26% with some college and 18% with a Bachelor’s degree had never married. 
According to 2001 data from the Census Bureau, roughly one in four of the unmarried 40-year-olds had married by age 60, indicating that most of the quarter of 40-year-olds in the 2021 census data will never tie the knot in their lives. 
Fry told CNN the data is analyzed at 40 because people “take stock of their lives at the start of a new decade of life.” He added that age 40 makes sense because fertility and marriage are related, and many women want children within a marriage. “Since fertility wanes after the age of 40, 40 is an appropriate age to document marriage outcomes,” Fry said. 
According to the National Marriage Project report, 81% of men who married early reported satisfaction in their relationship, while 71% of men who married later in life reported the same, with similar results among women.

Couple getting married in church

Number Of 40-Year-Olds Who Have Never Married Reaches Record High, Study Finds

Marriage

Polls

Recent data shows America’s residential housing market is in trouble. The <a href="https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2023/03/01/americas-property-market-suggests-recession-is-on-the-way" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Economist</a> believes that the situation in the U.S. housing market suggests that a recession is on the way. Many other economists believe the housing market is already in a <a href="https://thehill.com/business/housing/3764226-economists-a-us-housing-recession-has-already-arrived/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">recession.</a>
According to <a href="https://www.redfin.com/us-housing-market" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Redfin.com</a>, U.S. home prices were down in March “3.3% compared to last year, selling for a median price of $400,698. On average, the number of homes sold was down 19.5% year over year.” The number of homes for sale was up 7.1% year-over-year and the number of newly listed homes was down 22.5%. Houses are staying on the market longer — 44 days for homes sold in March — up 23 days year-over-year, per the same report. Fewer homes are coming on to the market and those that are for sale are remaining so for longer periods of time.
In addition, housing starts are down, indicating a future dearth of inventory. Privately-owned housing units authorized by “building permits in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,413,000. This is 8.8 percent below the revised February rate of 1,550,000 and is 24.8 percent below the March 2022 rate of 1,879,000,” per the <a href="https://www.census.gov/construction/nrc/current/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">U.S. Census Bureau</a>. Privately-owned housing starts in March were at a seasonally adjusted “annual rate of 1,420,000 … 17.2 percent below the March 2022 rate of 1,716,000,” per the same report.
A housing market collapse similar to the Great Recession is not likely. The majority of mortgages are fixed rate and are locked in at 5% interest or below, and the credit of <a href="https://www.bankrate.com/real-estate/is-the-housing-market-about-to-crash/#crash" target="_blank" rel="noopener">homeowners</a> is much stronger than that of homeowners in 2008.
But we are seeing a significant uptick in foreclosure activity. In January 2023, there were a “total of 31,557 U.S. properties with <a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/foreclosures/attom-january-2023-u-s-foreclosure-market-report/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">foreclosure</a> filings – default notices, scheduled auctions or bank repossessions – up 36 percent from a year ago,” according to property data company ATTOM.
In addition to the increasing number of foreclosures, more and more people are backing out of their contracts to purchase a home, with approximately <a href="https://www.yahoo.com/now/homebuyer-remorse-thousands-americans-backing-210000693.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">65,000</a> home purchase agreements falling through in December 2022.
However, we are seeing a tale of two housing markets. While cities like Phoenix, Seattle, San Jose, and San Francisco all saw home <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/where-to-buy-home-cities-house-prices-plummeted-2023-2#5-austin-texas-10" target="_blank" rel="noopener">prices</a> decline by double digits in 2022, a number of markets saw their housing market heat up to new record levels of pricing and activity. The top five areas with the largest <a href="https://www.fhfa.gov/Media/PublicAffairs/Pages/US-House-Prices-Rise-8pt4-Percent-over-the-Last-Year-Up-0pt3-Percent-from-Q3.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener">price increases</a> in 2022 were Florida (15.2%), North Carolina (13.4%), South Carolina (12.9%), Hawaii (12.8%), and Maine (12.2%).
A new variable that will likely have an impact on home sales is the new <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/state-treasurers-urge-biden-to-end-mortgage-policy-that-penalizes-stable-buyers-to-give-risky-buyers-a-discount" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Biden administration rule</a> that will force people with good credit and a large down payment for a home to subsidize the mortgage and fees paid by people with poor credit and a low down payment.
State treasurers and finance officials from 27 states urged the Biden administration to rescind the rule, which took effect on May 1. <a href="https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/27-states-ask-biden-end-his-disaster-policy-forcing-good-credit-borrowers-subsidize-risky-mortgages" target="_blank" rel="noopener">They wrote</a> to the administration, “the policy will take money from the people who played by the rules and did things right – including millions of hardworking, middle-class Americans who built a good credit score and saved enough to make a strong down payment. Incredibly, those who make down payments of 20 percent or more on their homes will pay the highest fees – one of the most backward incentives imaginable.”
What will happen to the U.S. housing market over the next several months? It will depend on several factors, including what the Federal Reserve does with interest rates during its May meeting. But, if we continue to see a mass migration of Americans fleeing blue states such as California, New York, and Illinois, we will see a tale of two housing markets – collapsing markets in states people leave and white-hot markets in the states to which people move.
Jim Nelles is a Navy veteran and supply chain consultant based in Chicago. His articles have appeared in The Washington Examiner, Newsweek, Foxnews.com, and The Daily Wire. He has served as a chief procurement officer, chief supply chain officer, and chief operations officer for multiple companies.
The views expressed in this piece are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of The Daily Wire.

Home For Sale Real Estate Sign and House

Housing Market Stalls As Interest Rates Remain High, Inventory Falls

Housing

Interest Rates

Readers Pass

San Francisco

Millions of people left major cities in the United States between 2020 and 2022, years dominated by government <a href="http://dailywire.com/topic/lockdowns" target="_blank" rel="noopener">lockdown</a> policies and elevated <a href="http://dailywire.com/topic/crime" target="_blank" rel="noopener">crime</a> rates, according to an <a href="https://eig.org/2022-county-population-trends/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">analysis</a> released last week by the Economic Innovation Group.
Domestic outmigration from large urban counties reached 1.2 million residents in 2021 and 861,000 residents in 2022, implying that more than two million people moved from large cities in recent years. The trend contributed to a population surge in the suburbs and exurbs, which saw 486,000 and 822,000 new residents, respectively, between 2020 and 2022.
Increased rates of immigration from outside of the United States, however, added 507,000 residents to large cities in 2022, an increase from 186,000 residents in 2021 as worldwide travel restrictions eased. “Though large urban counties have not yet rebounded from large population outflows experienced in 2020 and 2021, they did nearly halt overall population loss in 2022, buoyed by more normal rates of international migration,” the analysts summarized.
Individuals who took advantage of remote work policies appear to have accelerated the domestic migration phenomena even as constrained housing markets likely slowed the trends.
“We find work-from-home related fundamentals remained important drivers of population shifts in 2022 but less than they were in 2021. One reason may be that the shift to remote work early in the pandemic was a one-time shock and this led to a one-time, temporary change in migration patterns, which are now converging towards normal,” the analysts said. “Alternatively, remote work may have an impact on migration patterns that will take a longer time to unfold. In this case, the weaker relationship with work-from-home fundamentals may be due to housing supply becoming a more binding constraint to work-from-home-driven population shifts.”
Lockdown mandates caused low labor force participation and supply chain bottlenecks, worsening already lackluster levels of new construction for residential real estate. Median home sale prices increased from $322,600 in the second quarter of 2020 to $467,700 in the fourth quarter of 2022, according to <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MSPUS" target="_blank" rel="noopener">data</a> from the Department of Housing and Urban Development.
Data released by the Census Bureau at the end of last month <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/here-are-the-fastest-growing-and-fastest-shrinking-counties-in-america" target="_blank" rel="noopener">demonstrate</a> that counties home to major cities in California, Illinois, and New York witnessed the nation’s most stark numeric population decline last year, while those home to major cities in Arizona, Texas, and Florida saw the largest numeric population growth. Los Angeles County, California, lost more residents than any other county in the United States as the population fell by 91,000 between July 2021 and July 2022. Cook County, Illinois, whose county seat is Chicago, saw its population decrease by 68,000 over the same time horizon.
Population trends correspond with the cities and states which enforced aggressive lockdown mandates. California Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom only <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/gov-newsom-officially-ends-covid-state-of-emergency-after-three-years" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reversed</a> the state of emergency established amid the spread of COVID as late as February 2023, while Chicago Democratic Mayor Lori Lightfoot <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/chicago-mayor-lori-lightfoots-heavy-hand-vaccine-free-your-time-is-up" target="_blank" rel="noopener">informed</a> unvaccinated residents as late as December 2021 that their “time is up” and said her health mandates were “inconvenient by design.”
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Elevated violent crime and property crime rates in American cities have contributed to an exodus of businesses and residents. The phenomenon has continued into 2023: Walmart announced this week that the firm would <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/walmart-closes-four-stores-in-chicago-amid-elevated-crime-rates" target="_blank" rel="noopener">shutter</a> four stores in Chicago, while Whole Foods unveiled the forthcoming <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/san-franciscos-flagship-whole-foods-closes-after-only-one-year-due-to-high-crime-report" target="_blank" rel="noopener">closure</a> of the organic grocer’s flagship location in San Francisco.

Oakland, California

Two Million People Bolted From America’s Major Cities Since The Lockdowns

Millions Of People Bolted From America's Large Cities Between 2020 And 2022

Crime

General

Lockdowns

Counties home to major cities in California, Illinois, and New York witnessed the nation’s most stark numeric <a href="http://dailywire.com/topic/population" target="_blank" rel="noopener">population</a> decline last year, while those home to major cities in Arizona, Texas, and Florida saw the largest numeric population growth.
Los Angeles County, California, lost more residents than any other county in the United States as the population fell by 90,704 between July 2021 and July 2022, according to <a href="https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-estimates-counties.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">data</a> released on Thursday by the <a href="http://dailywire.com/topic/census-bureau" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Census Bureau</a>. Cook County, Illinois, whose county seat is Chicago, saw its population decrease by 68,315 over the same time horizon.
Dr. Christine Hartley, the assistant division chief for estimates and projections in the population division at the Census Bureau, noted in a press release that “migration and growth patterns” for the nation’s counties approached levels previously witnessed before the lockdown-induced recession. Some urban counties saw “domestic outmigration at a slower pace,” while counties with large universities saw their populations “fully rebound this year” as the schools returned to conventional instruction rather than online courses.
Queens County, Kings County, and Bronx County, New York, which constitute the New York City boroughs of Queens, Brooklyn, and the Bronx, followed the counties dominated by Los Angeles and Chicago, which are the overall largest in the nation, with respect to numeric decline.
The largest counties for numeric population growth, on the other hand, were Maricopa County, Arizona, whose county seat is Phoenix, which gained 56,831 residents between 2021 and 2022. Harris County, Texas, whose county seat is Houston, gained 45,626 residents.
Collin County and Denton County, Texas, which are home to the Dallas-Fort Worth metropolitan area, followed the counties dominated by Phoenix and Houston as the most robust in the nation with respect to numeric growth. Polk County, Florida, which is near the Orlando and Tampa metropolitan areas, and Lee County, Florida, which is home to Cape Coral and Fort Myers, likewise followed the counties in Arizona and Texas.
Census Bureau officials noted that domestic migration patterns shifted considerably between 2021 and 2022, especially with respect to the number of Americans moving between different counties. Some 60% of counties witnessed positive domestic migration last year.
“During the height of the pandemic, many small counties experienced higher levels of domestic migration, while many large counties saw lower levels of domestic migration,” the agency noted. “This pattern has reversed between 2021 and 2022, where many of the small counties that experienced increases in domestic migration saw that pattern slow down. In the meantime, many large counties, particularly in the South and West, observed an uptick in domestic migration.”
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Natural decrease, on the other hand, outpaced natural increase in more than 74% of counties; in other words, the majority of counties in the United States witnessed more deaths than births. “The incidence of natural decrease remains historically high,” the agency added. “Natural decrease counties are found nationwide but are especially prevalent in some states.”
The Census Bureau previously <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/in-2021-americas-population-grew-at-slowest-rate-since-founding-of-the-nation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> that the population of the United States expanded at the slowest pace since the American Revolution in 2021. Officials cited “decreasing fertility” and “increasing mortality due to an aging population” as two of the factors behind the phenomenon.

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