President Donald Trump’s job approval rating has rebounded to levels slightly exceeding his 2024 election performance, according to a new national survey released this week.
An InsiderAdvantage poll of 800 likely voters conducted on Wednesday found Trump’s approval rating at 50 percent, with 46 percent disapproving and 4 percent undecided. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.46 percentage points.
The findings place Trump’s approval essentially in line with, or marginally above, his national popular vote showing in the November 2024 election against Kamala Harris, a benchmark closely watched by both parties as the administration enters its second year.
InsiderAdvantage pollster Matt Towery said the numbers reflect a recovery from a softer patch earlier in the year.
“After a period of weakness in his approval ratings, President Trump has come back to the 50% level, near to or exceeding his margin of victory against Kamala Harris in 2024,” Towery said in a statement accompanying the poll release.
Towery attributed the uptick to a combination of immigration enforcement and economic sentiment, arguing that recent developments have cut against expectations of political fallout.
“Basically it is a combination of ICE raids becoming orderly and strategic and obvious evidence that the economy is actually turning to the positive,” he said. “While the last government shutdown appeared to hurt Trump’s ratings, this one appears to be actually helping his numbers.”
Towery also pointed to methodological divides in the polling industry, noting that firms with stronger historical performance measuring Trump’s support are showing similar trends.
“There are clearly two camps of pollsters who utilize different methods of data collection and weighting,” he said. “But I would note that those firms who most accurately polled President Trump’s three elections use similar methodologies.”
Other polling firms have reported a comparable rise. Rasmussen Reports, which has frequently shown Trump outperforming consensus averages, has also recorded an upward trend in the president’s approval in recent weeks.
The White House welcomed the numbers, framing them as validation of the administration’s economic and domestic agenda.
“President Trump is fighting hard every single day to make life affordable for working people — from delivering the largest middle-class working tax cuts in history, directing executive actions that made housing affordability hit a four-year high, and unleashing American energy dominance to bring the national average for a gallon of gas below $3,” Taylor Rogers, a White House spokeswoman, told The Daily Wire. “There is more to do, but President Trump is successfully delivering on his promise to Make America Affordable Again.”
Despite the improvement, the poll shows a return to a familiar political reality: a deeply polarized electorate. As Towery put it, “Basically the country is where it is when Trump was elected — highly polarized, but at the moment, more supportive of Trump than not.”
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