In early August 2016, Hillary Clinton led Donald Trump by just over 7 points in the national polls. The “inevitable” Democratic candidate’s lead would nearly evaporate by mid-September but by Oct. 18, just three weeks out from the election, she was back up by 7.1 — a lead that almost all political analysts agreed was insurmountable at that point in the contest. Until Nov. 8 proved them all wrong.
Once again, Trump is looking at a 7-point polling deficit against a previously failed presidential candidate, this time Joe Biden, and experts are saying he can’t win. So, the question that’s been haunting Democrats’ every waking moment since: Can Trump do it again? The short answer: Yes. The slightly less short answer: Yes, but, again, it’s another long shot. Below are five potential scenarios, from the most straightforward to the most difficult, that give Trump yet another Electoral College victory.
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