Sports

Everybody Has A Theory About Why 15% Of NBA Is Already Hurt. Choose Your Favorite.

What the hell is going on in the Association?

Sport & State
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Everybody Has A Theory About Why 15% Of NBA Is Already Hurt. Choose Your Favorite.
Credit: NBA.com

This article was written by Matt Foley and published on Sport & State, a new media company founded by Clay Travis that is built around sports, culture, original voices, and live conversation.* * * * *

The NBA is barely a week into its season, but its injury report is already longer than a Cheesecake Factory menu.

Seven All-Stars are out with multi-week injuries, and Wednesday’s injury report listed 79 total players — roughly 15% of the league — dealing with injuries or illnesses.

What the hell is going on in the Association? From pace of play to youth sports specialization to sneaker tech, everybody has a theory. Let’s choose our favorite.

1. Bigger, Faster, Stronger — and More Exhausted

NBA analyst Sam Vecenie, who hosts the Game Theory podcast, argues that today’s bigger, more explosive athletes are playing at a breakneck pace, putting unprecedented stress on their joints and ligaments.

Vecenie says current pace of play trends mean the average NBA player plays the equivalent of 8-10 more games annually, in terms of possessions, than their counterparts in the mid-2000s.

According to Utah Jazz radio broadcaster David Locke, NBA games now average approximately 203 combined possessions, compared with 186 just fifteen years ago. And compared to ten years ago, nearly three times as many of those possessions include full-court intensity.

2. The AAU Generation

Dr. Nirav Pandya, a sports medicine researcher and professor of orthopedic surgery at UCSF, points to youth sports specialization. He says his research shows that NBA players who participated in multiple high school sports suffered fewer major injuries than athletes who specialized in basketball only.

That 2018 study, published in the American Journal of Sports Medicine, found major injuries among 25% of multisport athletes versus 43% of single-sport athletes in its NBA sample.

Dr. Pandya also points to sudden increases in workload as a potential injury culprit, notably connected to the rise of Achilles ruptures. He agrees that the broader trend of larger, more explosive athletes covering more ground and playing faster is a key factor.

3. The Modern NBA Rulebook

Canadian basketball coach Chris Steed blames new NBA rules that emphasize freedom of movement and encourage more explosive plays.

Then there’s this theory: the NBA’s 2018 decision to reset the shot clock to 14 seconds following offensive rebounds is driving the damage.

Incentivizing more action creates exciting day-to-day gameplay, but all that extra movement is a terror on players’ knees and ankles.

4. Too Much One-Legged Basketball?

NBA agent and marketing executive Nate Jones says specialization and modern pace of play are taxing, but there’s another factor at play: the athlete’s literal play style.

Jones says modern players increasingly rely on single-leg movements and abrupt deceleration, placing additional stress on their lower bodies.

5. Blame the Sneakers?

Newsflash: The Sports Guy can still dial up his fastball. The Ringer founder Bill Simmons wonders whether modern sneaker technology enables aggressive movements that actually work against players’ bodies.

Personally, my basketball traditionalist father will be thrilled to hear Simmons besmirch the low-top sneaker.

The science remains unsettled, but all these theories share a troubling possibility: The NBA has engineered a faster, more explosive product that its athletes simply aren’t built to withstand.

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