Analysis

Election 2020: Why Florida Is The State To Watch

Ian Haworth
Election 2020: Why Florida Is The State To Watch
Joe Raedle/Getty Images

On the eve of what is being billed as the most consequential election of modern times, much of the focus has tightened on the set of battleground states which will likely decide the outcome on November 3rd. While many will be poring over data coming out of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Texas, and others, there is one must-win state which has the potential to determine whether Trump or Biden emerge victorious on November 4th. That state is Florida.

In recent years, Florida has emerged as a perennial battleground state. In 2000, it required a month of legal fighting to break the 48.8% tie between George W. Bush and Al Gore, and in 2012, Florida was the only state decided by less than 1%, with Barack Obama edging out Mitt Romney by 50% to 49.1%. In 2016, Trump won the state by just 112,911 votes, or 1.2% of the electorate.

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