A new national poll shows that GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump is down by an enormous margin against his Democratic opponent, Hillary Clinton.
The poll, conducted by Monmouth University, found that Clinton leads Trump by 13 points, 50 percent to 37 percent, among likely voters, and that's with the Libertarian and Green Party candidates, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, polling at seven percent and two percent, respectively. It doesn't get much better for Trump with registered voters, as Clinton leads 46 percent to 34 percent over Trump in that category.
When digging deeper into the results of the poll, it becomes clear that Clinton has received a sizable convention bump while Trump has not:
Specifically, Trump has a 26% favorable and 61% unfavorable rating, down from 31% favorable and 53% unfavorable last month. Clinton's rating has remained fairly stable, registering 37% favorable and 49% unfavorable in the current poll compared with 34% favorable and 52% unfavorable in July.
In the previous Monmouth poll, Clinton only had a slight lead over Trump, 43 percent to 40 percent.
Trump faces a massive gap when it comes to how voters view the candidates "temperament to be president," as only 27 percent view Trump has having the proper treatment, compared to 37 percent when the poll was last taken. By contrast, 67 percent of voters view Clinton as having the right temperament, up from 61 percent in July.
The racial demographic breakdown, unsurprisingly, shows Trump with a lead among white voters, 43 percent to 38 percent, Clinton with a massive lead among minority groups, 69 percent to 10 percent. But the most alarming part of the demographic data in the Monmouth poll for Trump is this:
Why is Trump down 50-37 in new Monmouth poll? White women with college degrees: Romney WON them by 6 point margin. Trump is LOSING by 30.— Benjy Sarlin (@BenjySarlin) August 8, 2016
FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver tweeted out further evidence of how disastrous this poll is for Trump:
Our model *really* liked that Monmouth poll for Clinton. She's now up to 79% in polls-plus and 87% in polls-only. https://t.co/LI11RV9tMe— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) August 8, 2016
Why was Monmouth a big deal?— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) August 8, 2016
- Very recent
- Likely voter screen helped Clinton (unusual for a Dem)
- Highly-rated pollster
- Clinton at 50%
The poll was conducted from August 4-7, has a margin of error of 3.5 points and has a sample size of 803 registered voters.
The Monmouth poll is among a string of recent polls that spell doom for Trump in November unless a dramatic turn of events occurs.