A new poll released by Pew Research Center that was based on over 10,000 interviews in 2017 spells trouble for the GOP: the poll found that for the first time since 2009, at least half of registered voters affiliate with or lean toward the Democratic Party. 50% of registered voters identify as Democrats or lean toward the Democratic Party; 42% identify as Republicans or lean toward that party.
The bulk of that shift comes from women and college graduates. Among women, 56% identify as Democrats or lean toward the Democratic Party, which is up 4 percentage points since 2015. That percentage stands at one of its highest points since 1992. Only 37% identify as Republicans or lean that way.
Among college graduates, 58% of those with a four-year college degree identify as Democrats or lean Democratic, the highest percentage since 1992.
Overall, 37% of registered voters identify as independents, while 33% identify as Democrats and 26% as Republicans.
Among voters with no college experience, things look better for the GOP; 47% of voters identify with or lean toward the Republican Party; that number was 42% in 2014.
51% of white voters identify with the GOP or lean Republican; 43% identify as Democrats or lean Democratic. Those figures have remained static in recent years. 84% of blacks affiliate with Democrats; 8% affiliate with Republicans. Among Hispanic voters, 63% favor Democrats while 28% favor Republicans. 65% of Asian American voters identify as Democrats or lean Democratic; 27% Republican.
A whopping 59% of millenials affiliate with the Democratic Party or lean Democratic; 48% of Gen Xers and Boomers, and 43% of voters in the Silent Generation. Four years ago, 56% of millennial women favored Democrats; that number has risen to 70%.