Trump Expands Lead Over Obama In Key Poll

After a historically tough first year in the polls, President Trump managed to surpass former President Obama a few weeks ago in a key presidential approval tracking poll, edging out Obama at the same stage in his presidency by 2% in Rasmussen's daily tracking poll of Likely U.S. Voters. This week, Trump's positive poll trend continues, with the president slightly expanding his lead over his predecessor to 3% in overall approval and 7% in Rasmussen's approval ratings index.

Rasmussen, which only polls Likely Voters and thus has generally proved to be more accurate than many other national polls, shows Trump with a 48 - 51 approval split. At the same time in his presidency, Obama was tracking at 45 - 54, 3% worse in both approval and disapproval.

Of the 48% who say they approve of Trump, roughly two-thirds say they "strongly" approve, while about 4 out of 5 of those who disapprove do so strongly. "The latest figures include 31% who Strongly Approve of the way Trump is performing and 43% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -12," Rasmussen reports. Rasmussen showed Obama's rating at the same stage to be -19, with 22% strongly approving, while 41% strongly disapproved.

Below is a segment of Rasmussen's tracking poll chart for Trump, starting on February 8, when he first surpassed Obama, until the most recent poll:

A comparison of his numbers with Obama shows multiple lead changes over the last 10 iterations of the poll. Below is Rasmussen's graph for Obama's poll numbers for the same period of time, showing the approval gap, followed by the percentage of those who strongly approve, strongly disapprove, overall approval, and overall disapproval:

Rasmussen found Obama's approval to hover in the mid-40s for the rest of his second year in office, reaching a low of 41 and a high of 50.

Trump's dramatically improving poll numbers parallel a series of strong economic reports, including a near 45-year low unemployment number, a surging GDP, and rapidly improving public perception of the Republican-passed, Trump-signed $1.5 trillion tax cuts.

Below is Rasmussen's graph tracking Trump's numbers since his inauguration:

Rasmussen's latest polls also gauged public opinion on several hot button issues, including gun control and Trump's proposed infrastructure spending:

Following last week’s school shooting that left 17 dead, Americans rate more gun control on the same level with treatment of the mentally ill as the best way to stop incidents of this kind. Support’s up for more gun control. But then just 54% think most children are safe in school these days.

The president’s plan to fix the nation’s ailing infrastructure calls for generating $1.5 trillion in upgrades through ventures involving the federal government, state government and private industry. Most voters like the idea of finding outside sources to help fund the infrastructure plan.

Related: NYT Poll Drops Bomb On Democrats


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