New <a href="https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/f548560f100205ef/e656ddda-full.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">polling</a> from the New York Times shows that Americans, regardless of political party, agree with Republican positions on numerous transgender issues, including gender transitions for minors and sports inclusion.
The New York Times/Ipsos Survey, which was conducted earlier this month, found that a stunning 79% of Americans believe males should not be permitted to participate in female sports, even if the athlete identifies as transgender.
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&#8220;Thinking about transgender female athletes — meaning athletes who were male at birth but who currently identify as female &#8212; do you think they should or should not be allowed to compete in women&#8217;s sports?&#8221; the survey posed.
Overall, 79% of those surveyed answered no, including 67% of Democrats. In total, only 18% of Americans believe trans athletes should be allowed in female sports.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
NYT POLL: “79% of Americans — including 67% of Democrats — think transgender athletes should not be allowed to compete in women&#8217;s sports” <a href="https://t.co/w63pPLz04x">pic.twitter.com/w63pPLz04x</a>
— Karoline Leavitt (@karolineleavitt) <a href="https://twitter.com/karolineleavitt/status/1880637623896559783?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 18, 2025</a></blockquote>
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Another survey question asked about transgender medications for minors: &#8220;Thinking about medications used for transgender care, do you think doctors should be able to prescribe puberty-blocking drugs or hormone therapy to minors between the ages of 10 and 18?&#8221;
Overall, 71% of Americans answered &#8220;No,&#8221; including 54% of Democrats. Only 10% of respondents said minors should have access to the drugs, with another 16% saying minors ages 15-18 should have access.
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Respondents were also asked if we&#8217;ve gone too far as a society accommodating trans-identifying individuals. &#8220;Which statement comes closest to your feelings about the way our society deals with transgender people — that is, someone who does not identify with their sex at birth, like a person born male who now identifies as female,&#8221; the survey asked.
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A total of 77% of respondents agreed that society has gone too far or has gone far enough to accommodate trans people, while only 21% said we haven&#8217;t gone far enough.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
New NYT poll:
Society has gone too far or far enough accommodating trans people:
Total: 77% 
GOP: 93% 
Dem: 62%
Trans women should NOT be allowed in women’s sports:
Total: 79% 
GOP: 94% 
Dem: 67%
Minors should NOT be able to get puberty blockers:
Total: 71% 
GOP: 90% 
Dem: 54% <a href="https://t.co/ovXY5qKEEv">pic.twitter.com/ovXY5qKEEv</a>
— Steve McGuire (@sfmcguire79) <a href="https://twitter.com/sfmcguire79/status/1880631804308426769?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 18, 2025</a></blockquote>
Related: <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/supreme-court-agrees-to-hear-case-on-parental-rights-and-lgbt-content-in-schools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Supreme Court Agrees To Hear Case On Parental Rights And LGBT Content In Schools</a>

young person with a transgender pride flag

NYT Polling Shows Americans Overwhelmingly Support GOP Position On Numerous Trans Issues

NYT Poll Shows Americans Overwhelmingly Support GOP Position On Numerous Transgender Issues

New York Times

Polls

Social Issues

Transgender

Transgender Athletes

U.S.

<a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/cnn" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CNN&#8217;s</a> senior political data reporter Harry Enten slammed President Joe Biden&#8217;s assertion that he could have defeated President-elect Donald Trump in the 2024 election if he had stayed in the race, calling the claim &#8220;flat-out bonkers.&#8221;
In an interview with USA Today this week, Biden claimed he could have won the 2024 election had he not dropped out on July 21, saying, &#8220;It&#8217;s presumptuous to say that, but I think yes,&#8221; and adding that his view was based on polling he had seen, The Hill <a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5075457-joe-biden-donald-trump-election-cnn/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a>.
Biden ended his reelection campaign following a rough debate performance that raised questions about his age and ability to recapture the White House among fellow Democrats.
Enten countered Biden&#8217;s assertion by highlighting polling data showing Trump leading in key battleground states at the time Biden dropped out. &#8220;Donald Trump [was] ahead in all three,&#8221; he said, referring to Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. He noted that throughout the 2024 campaign, Biden &#8220;never led&#8221; Trump, emphasizing, &#8220;Zero! Nada! No days! No days was Biden ahead of Donald Trump,&#8221; according to <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/media/cnn-data-guru-torches-bidens-flat-out-bonkers-claim-he-would-have-won-re-election">Fox News</a>.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
Based on the polling data, I categorize Biden&#39;s statement that he could have beaten Trump as &quot;flat out bonkers.&quot;
Biden was well behind Trump when he dropped out. Biden never led in all of 2024. And no incumbent president who was anywhere near as unpopular as Biden has ever won. <a href="https://t.co/lGk9h8pygU">pic.twitter.com/lGk9h8pygU</a>
&mdash; (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) <a href="https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1877116122807280019?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 8, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Enten also pointed to Biden&#8217;s low approval ratings, <a href="https://x.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1877116122807280019?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1877116122807280019%7Ctwgr%5E560f9c3f5b0cd1820e29805b03bd2a2c5b093b8e%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&amp;ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.foxnews.com%2Fmedia%2Fcnn-data-guru-torches-bidens-flat-out-bonkers-claim-he-would-have-won-re-election">stating</a> that &#8220;no incumbent president who was anywhere near as unpopular as Biden has ever won.&#8221; He concluded, &#8220;The bottom line is this: Joe Biden was behind, he had always been behind, and he most likely would have stayed behind.&#8221;
Biden&#8217;s remarks come amid ongoing introspection within the Democratic Party following the recent election defeat. The party has been grappling with concerns over leadership effectiveness and voter appeal, particularly in crucial swing states that shifted decisively toward Trump in 2024.
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Enten expanded on his analysis by highlighting Trump&#8217;s significant leads in various regions at the time Biden exited the race. &#8220;Just take a look here, the road to 270 electoral votes, Trump versus Biden based upon polling when Biden dropped out of the race,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Look at those Great Lake battleground states. You know the ones I&#8217;m talking about, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Donald Trump ahead in all three.&#8221;
He continued, &#8220;How about here in the Southeast? North Carolina, Georgia, again, Trump leads. How about here in the Southwest? Nevada, Arizona, again, Trump leads.&#8221;
Enten emphasized that it wasn&#8217;t just that Trump was ahead, but that his leads were substantial in key battleground areas. &#8220;My goodness gracious,&#8221; he remarked, noting the extent of Trump&#8217;s advantage.
Regarding Biden&#8217;s claim that his view was based on polling he had seen, Enten pointed out that the former president did not provide specifics about the data&#8217;s origin.

Donald Trump And Joe Biden Participate In First Presidential Debate

CNN Data Expert Slams Biden’s ‘Bonkers’ Assertion He Could Have Beaten Trump In 2024

2024 Election

Donald Trump

Elections

Joe Biden

Kamala Harris

Politics

President-elect Donald Trump&#8217;s top pollster revealed in a recent interview that Vice President Kamala Harris herself had been the one who provided the campaign with the most effective ad content.
Tony Fabrizio told Politico, in a <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/12/19/trump-campaign-lacivita-fabrizio-qa-00195206" target="_blank" rel="noopener">joint interview</a> with campaign advisor Chris LaCivita, that the ads that had the greatest impact were the ones in which they were able to use Harris&#8217; own words — and that for that reason, they had never been short of content.
When recapping the election, Fabrizio noted that the Trump team never really believed that the popular vote was in play — until the last two weeks of the campaign. The reason, he explained, was that although Harris had a surge in popularity when she first became the nominee, she was unable to carry that momentum beyond the initial bump.
&#8220;I used to describe it like a wave coming up on the shore, and the wave hit its high-water mark and then it just receded back. And so, the one thing she was never able to do, was close the sale,&#8221; he said, adding that he believed her team&#8217;s lack of a &#8220;coherent message&#8221; was the reason she had never been able to get it together.
&#8220;I mean, one of the untold stories of this race — perfect example, last week of the campaign, they ran 162 different unique creatives on digital, TV,&#8221; he said. The Trump team, in that same time, ran 50.
When asked which ads had the greatest impact, Fabrizio&#8217;s answer was simple: &#8220;Well, first, usually any ad where she was talking, was effective. Using her words. And there were a ton. In fact, there was so much, we couldn’t use all of it.&#8221;
LaCivita weighed in then, noting that the Harris campaign had made a miscalculation when it came to low propensity voters — meaning those who didn&#8217;t typically vote at all — and persuadable voters.
&#8220;It’s two different tacks. Low propensity: Get them to vote. Persuadable: Try to get them over. The Harris campaign was convinced [persuadables were] around 4 to 6 percent. We knew it was probably closer to 10 to 12 percent,&#8221; LaCivita explained. &#8220;We focused the entire campaign built around the issues that matter to the persuadable voters early. Tony modeled them, and we tracked what the electorate, based on the persuadables, was thinking. And that drove all of our decision making. All of our decision making.&#8221;

Presidential Nominee Kamala Harris Campaigns With Liz Cheney In Swing States Across The Nation

Trump Pollster Says Kamala Gave Them The Best Ad Material: ‘So Much We Couldn’t Use All Ot It’

Trump Pollster Says Kamala Gave Them The Best Ad Material: 'So Much We Couldn't Use All Ot It'

The first week of December, one month after his election, President-elect Donald Trump’s popularity among Americans soared to the highest level of his political career in the RealClearPolitics average, for the first time <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump">achieving a net-positive favorability rating.</a>
Trump had never before had more people approve of him than disapprove of him in the RCP average of polls until December 4, when the RCP average showed him with a 49.1% favorability rating and a 47.6% unfavorability rating. Four days later, his favorability rating rose to 49.4%, while the unfavorability rating stayed the same, dipping to 47.4% on December 11.
On July 6, 2015, Trump’s favorability rating was a paltry 22.7% as he started his candidacy. His unfavorability rating stood at a massive 62%, rising to a high of 64.5% in mid-April 2016. But that unfavorability rating nosedived after his election in 2016, descending to 47.8% by New Year&#8217;s’ Day 2017, while his favorability rating had risen to 44.5 by mid-December 2016.
Still, Trump’s favorability rating never rose above 45% in the years following his election and during President Joe Biden’s term in office. But starting from a low of 36.8% on December 20, 2022, Trump’s favorability rating started rising sporadically through the ensuing months, yet he was still underwater. He finally broke through the 45% threshold as recently as October 12, 2024, reaching 45.4%. However, his unfavorability rating was still 52%.
On the eve of the November election, the two ratings started to close the gap until Trump’s favorability rating superseded his unfavorability rating on December 4.
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Trump’s indomitable and dogged path forward to the presidency, despite the media’s relentless hatred of him, the Democrats using lawfare and impeachment to pursue him, the two assassination attempts, and various other obstacles, has led former House Speaker Newt Gingrich to <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/a-mythic-figure-newt-gingrich-scholar-of-history-lauds-trump">comment</a>:
<blockquote>
If you’re a relatively sophisticated leader around the world, and you watch nine years of the rise of Donald Trump, and you watch two impeachments, and you watch all of these efforts to catch him in the law, and you watch two assassination attempts and the guy just keeps coming, — as I said the other day, this is a mythic figure, almost like the various Scandinavian Beowulfs and other kinds of sagas. There’s no practical way that you can explain Trump within a normal political structure.
</blockquote>

President-Elect Trump Rings The Opening Bell Of The New York Stock Exchange

Trump Does It: For 1st Time Ever, His Favorability Rating Tops Unfavorability Rating In RCP Average

Executive

Popularity

Real Clear Politics

According to a recent poll, just one in five Americans say they don&#8217;t take issue with President <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/joe-biden" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Joe Biden&#8217;s</a> decision to issue a sweeping pardon for his embattled son — Hunter Biden — with just weeks to go before he leaves the White House.
The survey was undertaken by <a href="https://apnews.com/article/hunter-biden-pardon-poll-approve-disapprove-survey-cb7b7e4931b0a778bd0a68cc1733c4a9" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Associated Press</a> — NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, and found that a majority of Americans, regardless of political affiliation, disapproved of Biden&#8217;s decision to pardon his son.
Just over 1,200 adults responded to the poll between December 5-9, and over all just 22% said that they approved of the pardon in question. Among Democrats, support for Biden&#8217;s pardon was slightly higher — 38% — but only 12% of independents and 7% of Republicans approved of the move.
One Republican who responded to the poll, Peter Prestia of northern New Jersey, explained, &#8220;I know it’s not right to believe politicians as far as what they say compared to what they do, but he did explicitly say, &#8216;I will not pardon my son.&#8217; So, it’s just the fact that he went back on his word.&#8221;
&#8220;He does have that right to pardon anybody he wants. But he just should have kept his mouth shut, and he did it because it was before the election, so it’s just a bold-faced lie,&#8221; Prestia added.
Texas Democrat Trinell Champ added, &#8220;Don’t say you’re gonna do something and then fall back. At the end of the day, all you have is your word.&#8221;
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Since the pardon was issued over the long Thanksgiving weekend, most of the criticism aimed at President Biden has been primarily directed toward his oft-repeated promise not to pardon his son.
Among those who said they were fine with Biden&#8217;s pardon, regardless of his previous promises not to do so, was Ohio Democrat Robert Jenkins.
&#8220;Do you have kids? You’re gonna leave office and not pardon your kid? I mean, it’s a no-brainer to me,&#8221; Jenkins said.

US-POLITICS-BIDEN

Poll: Just 1 in 5 Americans Are Fine With Joe Biden Pardoning Hunter

Hunter Biden

Pardon

David Plouffe, a senior adviser to Vice President <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/kamala-harris" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kamala Harris</a>&#8216; failed White House campaign, suggested their internal data did not match public polls that showed Harris ahead of now-President-elect <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/donald-trump" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Donald Trump</a>.
The observation was made in a post-mortem discussion with several leading Harris campaign staffers about &#8220;what went wrong&#8221; for them in the 2024 presidential election on the latest episode of the <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZOpWp02WVs" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;Pod Save America&#8221; podcast</a>.
&#8220;I think it surprised people,&#8221; Plouffe said, &#8220;because there was these public polls that came out in late September, early October, showing us with leads that we never saw &#8230; it was just basically a race that in the battlegrounds was 46-47, 47-48.&#8221;
<a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/kamala-staffers-reveal-why-they-were-never-going-to-satisfy-anybody-on-the-biden-question" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RELATED: Kamala Staffers Reveal Why They Were ‘Never Going To Satisfy Anybody’ On The ‘Biden Question’</a>
Harris entered the race in July, shortly after President <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/joe-biden" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Joe Biden</a> dropped out under pressure from allies concerned about his mental capacity, age, and electability following a fumbling debate performance against Trump.
Plouffe said that the &#8220;Biden-Trump 1.0&#8221; match-up was &#8220;obviously pretty catastrophic in terms of where the race stood,&#8221; but he contended Harris was &#8220;able to climb out&#8221; from behind and make it a &#8220;margin-of-error race.&#8221;
As <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris" target="_blank" rel="noopener">shown</a> in the RealClearPolitics national poll average chart, Harris boasted a 2-point advantage from late September until early October. During the same period, Harris built a small <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president" target="_blank" rel="noopener">betting odds</a> lead before Trump caught up and ran away with it.
The Harris team&#8217;s &#8220;internal analytics&#8221; showed &#8220;47-47&#8221; in Wisconsin and &#8220;48-47 Trump&#8221; in Pennsylvania, recalled Plouffe, who noted they hoped to win over undecided voters and &#8220;get a little benefit from turnout, which we weren&#8217;t able to do.&#8221;
Plouffe, who managed Barack Obama&#8217;s successful 2008 White House bid and later become a senior advisor to the president, summarized the Harris team&#8217;s stance come Election Day as: &#8220;We were hopeful. I don’t know how optimistic we were.&#8221;
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Trump ended up winning all the battleground states, including Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, while <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/trumps-cabinet-picks-are-so-ideologically-diverse-it-makes-cnns-scott-jennings-feel-squeamish" target="_blank" rel="noopener">making gains</a> among working-class voters, minority groups, and young people. He also appears to have prevailed in the popular vote.
&#8220;I think the political atmosphere, the desire for change, all those fundamentals that you&#8217;ve spent a lot of time talking about really presented huge challenges for us.&#8221; Plouffe said. &#8220;So &#8230; we got there, but we didn&#8217;t get the breaks we needed.&#8221;

David Plouffe

Kamala Adviser: Public Polls Showed Leads Over Trump ‘That We Never Saw’

Americans are strongly supportive of President-elect Donald Trump’s plan to enact a mass deportation program upon taking office, a recent poll found.
The poll of 2,232 adults, <a href="https://www.scribd.com/document/796265728/cbsnews-20241124-SUN#fullscreen&amp;from_embed">conducted</a> by YouGov on behalf of CBS News following the presidential election, found that 45 percent of respondents said that Trump’s effort to “deport immigrants who are in the U.S. illegally” should be “high priority.” Another 28 percent said that it should be “medium priority,&#8221; while just 27 percent said it should not be a priority.
A majority of respondents said that they would approve of Donald Trump “starting a national program to find and deport all immigrants who are in the U.S. illegally.” A full 57 percent said that they would approve of such a plan.
Trump made mass deportations one of his key campaign promises, pledging to “launch the largest deportation program in American history.” Trump has since <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/trumps-border-czar-has-a-plan-to-stop-illegal-immigration">announced</a> that former Acting Director of Immigration and Customs Enforcement Tom Homan will serve as his border czar and be in charge of the deportation agenda.
A full 74 percent of white respondents said that deportations should be a high or medium priority of the Trump administration, while 70 percent of black respondents and 69 percent of Hispanic respondents agreed, displaying broad support for the initiative.
The results mimic the findings of an earlier post-election poll <a href="https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/voters_expect_trump_to_keep_his_word_on_deportations">from Rasmussen</a>, which found 64 percent of American voters approve of the president-elect’s plan to “launch the largest deportation program in American history.”
The poll results come as Democrat lawmakers have already come out and indicated that they will not assist attempts by federal law enforcement to enforce immigration law and deport illegal aliens.
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In Colorado, Denver Mayor Mike Johnston, a Democrat, <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/illegal-alien-charged-with-raping-14-year-old-girl-in-denver-as-mayor-opposes-deportation-effort">indicated</a> that he may even attempt to use the city’s police to prevent federal law enforcement from entering the city to carry out deportations. His comment came as an illegal alien was arrested after allegedly raping the 14-year-old daughter of his boss. The 20-year-old illegal alien and Venezuelan national is believed to have illegally entered the United States under the Biden-Harris administration.
Massachusetts Governor Maura Healy, a Democrat, similarly said that she would <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/dem-gov-refuses-to-help-deportations-as-ice-busts-alleged-illegal-alien-child-rapists-in-her-state">refuse</a> to allow state police to cooperate with federal immigration enforcement operations. Federal agents based in Boston arrested three illegal aliens who have each been charged with or convicted of raping children.

ICE agent

Americans Strongly Supportive Of Trump’s Mass Deportation Agenda, Poll Finds

deportation

A radical environmental group uses millions of dollars from liberal dark money groups to try and teach climate activists how to talk like human beings.
The organization, Potential Energy Coalition, a 501(c)(3), <a href="https://potentialenergycoalition.org/our-approach/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">says it</a> “creates and executes marketing campaigns grounded in deep analytics and human-centric stories that are proven to persuade.”
One of Potential Energy’s projects is the “Talk Like a Human” campaign, an attempt to change messaging on climate change. A slide of this presentation obtained by The Daily Wire shows the group encouraging people not to use words like “climate change” or “warming,” and instead use “extreme weather” and “over heating [sic],” respectively. The group also suggests people no longer use the term “sacrifice” when talking about the subject and instead use words like “enjoy,” suggesting a more positive future than the doom and gloom typically associated with climate change activism.
<div id="attachment_830969" style="width: 293px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-830969" class="wp-image-830969 size-full" src="https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2024/11/Climate-Glossary.png" alt="A glossary of terms for discussing climate change." width="283" height="262" />Potential Energy Coalition slideshow</div>
The organization also features a series of slides telling participants not to exaggerate and explains that while “climate crisis” and “climate emergency” work for people who are already terrified of climate change, it doesn’t work for people who are not. The slides also suggest keeping the phrasing tied to where a person lives rather than globally and talking about fighting pollution rather than climate change.
<a href="https://www.amiracist.com/?_gl=1*jtghwp*_gcl_au*ODQ1NjYzNTg2LjE3Mjg5MDk3OTE.*_ga*MTc2NzM0NDQ2NS4xNzI4OTA5Nzkx*_ga_CZKR9ZYKJP*MTczMDEyMDgwOS40OS4xLjE3MzAxMjA4MzkuMzAuMC4w" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MATT WALSH’S ‘AM I RACIST?’ NOW STREAMING ON DAILYWIRE+</a>
<div id="attachment_830971" style="width: 218px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-830971" class="size-full wp-image-830971" src="https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2024/11/Climate-Talk.png" alt="A slide detailing how to talk about climate change." width="208" height="176" />Potential Energy slideshow</div>
<div id="attachment_830975" style="width: 213px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-830975" class="size-full wp-image-830975" src="https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2024/11/Climate-Change-Slide-4.png" alt="A slide detailing how to talk about climate change." width="203" height="210" />Potential Energy slideshow</div>
<div id="attachment_830977" style="width: 216px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-830977" class="size-full wp-image-830977" src="https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2024/11/Climate-Change-Slide-6.png" alt="A slide detailing how to talk about climate change." width="206" height="252" />Potential Energy slideshow</div>
The organization was once <a href="https://hewlett.org/grants/windward-fund-for-the-potential-energy-coalition-project/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a sponsored project</a> of the Arabella Advisors dark money network’s Windward Fund before it spun off into its own separate nonprofit.
Still, Potential Energy continues to rake in millions of dollars from Arabella-managed groups, including $17.5 million in grants from the Windward Fund between <a href="https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/473522162/202203139349304570/full" target="_blank" rel="noopener">2021</a> and <a href="https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/473522162/202323149349302457/full" target="_blank" rel="noopener">2022</a>, and another <a href="https://www.windwardfund.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2023-Windward-Fund-Form-990-Public-Disclosure-Copy.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">$13 million in 2023</a>. The Windward Fund paid Potential Energy nearly $2 million in consulting services between <a href="https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/473522162/202143169349311234/full" target="_blank" rel="noopener">2020</a> and <a href="https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/473522162/202203139349304570/full" target="_blank" rel="noopener">2021</a>.
Also in 2021, Potential Energy <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/green-groups-launch-10-million-ad-campaign-pressuring-biden-congress-n1261177">joined</a> other dark money groups, Climate Power and League of Conservation Voters, on a more than $10 million advertising campaign to urge President Joe Biden and Congress to pass a spending bill directed toward climate change. In 2022, the Inflation Reduction Act was passed, which <a href="https://www.epi.org/blog/the-inflation-reduction-act-finally-gave-the-u-s-a-real-climate-change-policy/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">allocated billions toward climate change initiatives</a>.
Also in 2022, Potential Energy brought in <a href="https://www.causeiq.com/organizations/view_990/824652837/f38170272fb34ba0251a9ef52c500e81" target="_blank" rel="noopener">$38.6 million in revenue</a>, nearly doubling its 2021 revenue. Its spending also nearly doubled.
Despite this effort, polls continue to show people aren’t willing to give up oil and gas. An American Enterprise Institute <a href="https://www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Politics-Without-Winners-Can-Either-Party-Build-a-Majority-Coalition.pdf?x85095" target="_blank" rel="noopener">poll</a> from October asked participants whether they wanted to “use a mix of energy sources including oil, coal, and natural gas along with renewable energy sources” or “phase out the use of oil, coal, and natural gas completely, relying instead on renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power only.” By a 3-to-1 margin, participants backed the all-of-the-above approach.
Two-thirds of respondents in a September New York Times/Siena College <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/08/us/politics/times-siena-poll-likely-electorate-crosstabs.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">poll</a> said they supported a policy of “increasing domestic production of fossil fuels such as oil and gas.” And an NBC <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/poll-voters-repelled-election-denial-overturning-roe-drawn-economic-pr-rcna175791" target="_blank" rel="noopener">poll</a> from October found that 67% of respondents said they were more likely to support a candidate who wanted to expand fossil fuel production.

Save The Planet Protest

Backed By Millions In Liberal Dark Money, Group Teaches Climate Activists To ‘Talk Like a Human’

Backed By Millions In Liberal Dark Money, Group Teaches Climate Activists To 'Talk Like a Human'

Climate Change

Dark Money

Fossil Fuels

Pollster J. Ann Selzer announced over the weekend that she would be stepping away from election polling after her survey in <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/iowa" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Iowa</a>, which had been widely regarded as a <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/gold-standard-poll-a-bad-omen-for-biden-in-midwestern-states" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;gold-standard&#8221;</a> poll in political forecasting, fumbled the 2024 presidential election.
&#8220;Over a year ago I advised the Register I would not renew when my 2024 contract expired with the latest election poll as I transition to other ventures and opportunities,&#8221; Selzer wrote in a guest column <a href="https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/columnists/2024/11/17/ann-selzer-conducts-iowa-poll-ending-election-polling-moving-to-other-opportunities/76334909007/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">published</a> on Sunday by the Des Moines Register.
&#8220;Would I have liked to make this announcement after a final poll aligned with Election Day results? Of course,&#8221; she added. &#8220;It’s ironic that it’s just the opposite.&#8221;
Selzer &amp; Company&#8217;s final poll of the 2024 election cycle for the Register and Mediacom <a href="https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">found</a> Vice President Kamala Harris leading President-elect Donald Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters in Iowa, while other surveys conducted in the final stretch of the 2024 campaign <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/iowa/trump-vs-harris" target="_blank" rel="noopener">showed</a> Trump ahead of Harris. Ultimately, Trump <a href="https://election.dailywire.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">defeated</a> Harris 56% to 42.7% in Iowa, marking his third general election victory in the Hawkeye State in a row.
Trump&#8217;s campaign released a <a href="https://x.com/AlexPfeiffer/status/1854002937330311175" target="_blank" rel="noopener">statement</a> mocking Selzer after it became clear that Trump would beat Harris in Iowa.
&#8220;Congratulations to Donald J. Trump and J.D. Vance on their victory,&#8221; Trump Campaign Deputy Political Director Alex Latcham said in a statement. &#8220;After four years under Kamala Harris, Hawkeye state voters are eager for President Trump to fix what Kamala Harris broke. Starting on Day 1, President Trump and Vice President JD Vance will help to ease costs, secure the border, and protect Social Security for retirees like Ann Selzer.&#8221;
On Election Night, Selzer <a href="https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/2024/11/07/ann-selzer-well-look-at-data-to-try-to-understand-iowa-poll-miss/76100172007/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> that she would be reviewing the data from her &#8220;outlier&#8221; poll that showed Harris leading Trump by 3 percentage points when it became clear that it had missed the mark. And Register Executive Editor Carol Hunter <a href="https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/05/pollster-j-ann-selzer-to-review-data-after-iowa-poll-misses-trump-win/76085598007/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> her newspaper would also be &#8220;closely reviewing the disparity.&#8221;
In her guest column on Sunday, Selzer wrote that her &#8220;history of accuracy&#8221; might have &#8220;made the outlier position too comfortable.&#8221; She said that polling &#8220;is a science of estimation, and science has a way of periodically humbling the scientist. So, I’m humbled, yet always willing to learn from unexpected findings.&#8221; Selzer also shared her future plans, saying, &#8220;My work will continue for current clients and for clients yet to come. In addition, I’m thinking about how to put other talents to work for the benefit of new clients.&#8221;

‘Gold-Standard’ Pollster Who Overlooked Trump Win In Iowa Calls It Quits

Iowa

The presidential campaigns of former President <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/donald-trump" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Donald Trump</a> over Vice President <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/kamala-harris" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kamala Harris</a> touted bullish takeaways from internal data in the final stretch of the 2024 campaign, but each side appears to be focused on different trends.
As public polls <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris" target="_blank" rel="noopener">signaled a close race</a> on Monday, Trump campaign national press secretary Karoline Leavitt made an appearance on Fox Business and said early voters in swing states are leaning toward the GOP ticket.
&#8220;Our internal polls have President Trump leading in every key battleground state,&#8221; Leavitt <a href="https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1853450946166001674" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a>. &#8220;We are cautiously optimistic about a big victory tomorrow night as long as everyone turns out to vote.&#8221;
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
.<a href="https://twitter.com/kleavittnh?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@kleavittnh</a>: Our internal polls have President Trump leading in every key battleground state. We are cautiously optimistic about a big victory tomorrow night as long as everyone turns out to vote. 🔥 <a href="https://t.co/Rhust5N1no">pic.twitter.com/Rhust5N1no</a>
&mdash; Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) <a href="https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1853450946166001674?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 4, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Leavitt added that &#8220;early voting trends&#8221; indicate that people are going to the polls and the numbers seem to favor Republicans in &#8220;every&#8221; swing state.
She also suggested Democrats are struggling in certain areas, as &#8220;urban turnout is down compared to what it was in 2020&#8221; and &#8220;female turnout for Kamala Harris is down compared to those that turned out early for Joe Biden&#8221; in the 2020 election.
Leavitt concluded that &#8220;all signs point to a victory tomorrow night, but we&#8217;re not taking our foot off the gas. President Trump has four rallies in battleground states today. And we need everyone to get out and vote.&#8221;
Two senior advisors similarly told The Daily Wire that they are &#8220;cautiously optimistic&#8221; about the election.
As it turns out, Harris&#8217; campaign is also feeling &#8220;cautiously optimistic,&#8221; NBC News Washington Correspondent Yamiche Alcindor <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7SZ3MkyPeTc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> over the weekend.
<iframe loading="lazy" title="Harris campaign says internal data shows late-deciding battleground voters" width="500" height="281" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/7SZ3MkyPeTc?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe>
&#8220;Senior Harris campaign officials say their internal data show they are winning battleground voters who have made up their minds in the last week by double digits,&#8221; Alcindor added.
&#8220;Still, Harris is doing everything possible to avoid the Blue Wall crumbling like it did in 2016,&#8221; she continued, and therefore Harris was campaigning in the swing state of Michigan.
Alcindor said a Harris aide told her they have a &#8220;big operation&#8221; focused on Dearborn, which has a large Muslim community, amid uncertainty about whether they will turn away from the VP this election because of conflict in Gaza.
On Friday, RealClearPolitics reporter Philip Wegmann <a href="https://x.com/PhilipWegmann/status/1852397250720215274" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> on X a senior Harris campaign official claimed Trump&#8217;s rally at Madison Square Garden &#8220;crystalized&#8221; the choice of swing state voters who made up their mind to back the VP in the last week.

Donald Trump Holds Las Vegas Rally As He Campaigns For President

What Trump And Kamala Campaigns Are Saying About Their Internal Data In The Final Stretch

Nevada counts for just six of the 270 electoral votes a presidential candidate needs to win, but with a Republican governor and two Democratic senators, the purple state is likely to play an outsized role in picking the next administration.
Nevada is the smallest toss-up, and yet has <a href="https://www.politico.com/newsletters/politico-nightly/2024/10/15/what-the-campaign-feels-like-in-nevada-00183798">attracted</a> over $250 million-worth of election ad spending this cycle.
The GOP is fighting for influence against a powerful Democratic machine built over decades by Harry Reid, former U.S. Senate majority leader, with outside led by tech titan Elon Musk attempting to balance the field for Republicans.
Here’s everything you need to know about Nevada.
Polling
Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump are running essentially even in Nevada. <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/nevada/">FiveThirtyEight</a>’s polling average has the race in a dead heat. <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/nevada/trump-vs-harris">Real Clear Politics</a> is slightly more favorable for Trump, giving him a 0.5-point lead over Harris in its polling average.
Nevadans’ top issue is the economy. Roughly a third of likely voters in the state <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/17/us/elections/times-siena-poll-nevada-likely-electorate.html">pointed</a> to the economy or inflation as their top issue for this year’s election, according to an August New York Times/Sienna poll. The next two issues of abortion and immigration were named by 14 percent of voters each.
How Nevada Has Voted In The Past
In over a century, Nevada’s choice for president has <a href="https://www.270towin.com/states/Nevada">only twice</a> not won the White House: in 1976 when the state chose Republican Gerald Ford over Democrat Jimmy Carter, and in 2016 when Nevadans chose Hillary Clinton over Trump.
In recent history, the state has leaned Democratic in presidential elections; 2004 was the last year Nevada voted for a Republican for president. In 2016, Clinton won the state by 2.4 points. In 2020, Biden <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-nevada.html">beat</a> Trump by roughly the same margin, a difference of less than 34,000 votes in a state with roughly 3.2 million people.
Nevada has recently <a href="https://www.nga.org/former-governors/nevada/">favored</a> Republican executives on the state level. Since 1999, a Republican governor has presided over Nevada for all but four years. Democrat Steve Sisolak held the office from 2019 to 2023. Sisolak lost to Nevada’s current governor, Republican Joe Lombardo, in 2022.
What The Candidates Are Saying
While both Harris and Trump have prioritized other swing states over Nevada, each has made several passes through the southwestern state. Harris has campaigned in Nevada three times so far this year, while Trump has paid four trips to the state, according to <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/10/26/trump-harris-campaign-schedules-swing-states">Axios</a>.
Nevada’s largest economic drivers are tourism and gambling industries that are worth billions of dollars every year and support the state’s robust hospitality sector, which, as the state’s largest employer, accounts for about a quarter of Nevada’s workforce. Trump and Harris’ targeted campaigns for those voters have resulted in a rare example of agreement: a pledge to exclude tipped income from federal taxes.
Trump was first to make the “No Tax On Tips” pledge, announcing it during a rally in Las Vegas in June. He even credited a waitress at his Las Vegas hotel with giving him the idea. Harris, who effectively took over the Democratic nomination after President Joe Biden dropped out in July, announced her own version of Trump’s policy in an August Las Vegas rally.
What Early Voting Shows
Early voting in Nevada <a href="https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/election-information/2024-election-information">began</a> on October 19 and runs through November 1. Republicans showed strong in early numbers and have kept their advantage, posting leads in both Clark and Washoe counties over Democrats by roughly 2,000 votes and 300 votes, respectively, by October 27, according to <a href="https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-2024">The Nevada Independent</a>’s Jon Ralston.
When Can We Expect A Result?
Election results for Nevada will begin rolling in the night of, with preliminary results beginning to be posted depending on when polling places close. The outcomes in most races are expected to be known on the night of November 5. For close races, mail-in ballots counted in the days following November 5 may mean the difference between two candidates. By state law, all mail-in counting must be completed within four days of election day.
What Counties To Watch
Clark and Washoe are Nevada’s most populous counties. Strong showings in both by either party could signal success on election night. Nevada has a sizable independent voter base that could swing outcomes, however.
Voting Issues From 2020 To Now
The Nevada Supreme Court delivered an opinion on Monday that spelled defeat for Republicans in the state and the Republican National Committee. The court <a href="https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/nevada-supreme-court-rules-non-postmarked-ballots-can-be-counted-within-3-days-of-election">ruled</a> that non-postmarked ballots received by election day can be counted up to three days after election day.
Nevada’s mail-in ballot operation exploded in 2020 after the state loosened election laws because of the COVID-19 pandemic. State law holds that ballots postmarked by election day may continue to be counted up to four days after the election.
Other Races To Watch
In the battle over Nevada’s Senate seat, the Democratic incumbent Rosen is polling ahead of Brown. <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/nevada/brown-vs-rosen">Real Clear Politics</a>’ polling average places Rosen 4.6 points ahead of the Republican challenger. In six polls tracked by <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/nevada/">FiveThirtyEight</a> prior to October 28, five show Rosen leading by four to 15 points. One survey, an OnMessage poll taken on October 19-22 and funded by the GOP-aligned Senate Opportunity Fund, shows Brown and Rosen tied.
Nevada’s Senate race was identified early as a potential Republican pickup. Nevada’s other senator, Catherine Cortez-Masto, narrowly won her reelection in 2022 by fewer than 8,000 votes.
Brown is running behind Trump in the purple state in part due to facing an opponent who is better established and better financed. If Brown wins, this would be his first role in elected office. Rosen has successfully leveraged her network of donors and the state’s Democratic machine, <a href="https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/rosen-raises-12-1-million-in-third-quarter-of-senate-race-her-best-haul-yet">posting</a> higher fundraising numbers than Brown every quarter of this cycle.
Brown’s campaign has focused on tying Rosen to the Biden administration, under which Nevada’s economy has suffered severe blows. Nevada <a href="https://www.bls.gov/web/laus/laumstrk.htm">posted</a> the highest unemployment rate of any state at 5.6% in September. It has also <a href="https://www.jec.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/republicans/state-inflation-tracker">experienced</a> one of the highest rates of inflation since January 2021.
In April, The Cook Political Report moved Nevada from “Lean Dem” to “Toss Up,” which Brown <a href="https://x.com/CaptainSamBrown/status/1775559906781008325">said</a> at the time was “because Jacky Rosen is a rubber stamp for Joe Biden and has made things worse for Nevadans, from high prices to the open border.” He has struggled to effectively hang the current economic malaise on Rosen, however.
Rosen has leaned into the issue of abortion and campaigned as a moderate dealmaker despite her progressive track record. Heritage Action for America’s conservative scorecard has <a href="https://heritageaction.com/scorecard/members/R000608">given</a> Rosen a lifetime score of 4% when the average Senate Democratic score is 11%. Alternatively, the liberal scorecard Progressive Punch has <a href="https://progressivepunch.org/scores.htm?house=senate">given</a> Rosen an “A” grade for her commitment to pushing progressive priorities while representing a swing district.
The Senate Leadership Fund, a GOP-aligned PAC that focuses on U.S. Senate races, has made a last-minute entry into the Nevada race, banking that a strong showing from Trump in the state could pull Brown to victory despite his polling deficit. The PAC will <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/republican-super-pac-makes-last-ditch-push-swing-nevada-senate-race-rcna177071">invest</a> $6.2 million on TV, radio, and digital ads in the closing days of the race to narrow the spending gap between Rosen and Brown.
Outside of the candidates, this year’s Nevada ballot <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Nevada_Question_6,_Right_to_Abortion_Initiative_(2024)">features</a> an initiative on enshrining a right to an abortion in the state’s constitution. The measure could boost turnout for Democrats who are more favorable to abortion. But Nevada is well-known as a state of ticket-splitters who lack loyalty to a political party.
The measure, if passed, would create a woman’s right to an abortion until her baby can live outside the womb, typically around 24 weeks. After the point of viability, abortion would be regulated by the state.

Vegas

Swing-State Showcase: Everything You Need To Know About The Race In Nevada

Nevada

Former President <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/donald-trump">Donald Trump</a> appears to have the edge in the perennial swing state of <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/georgia">Georgia</a>, where he was defeated four years ago. The Peach State was the site of much controversy after the 2020 election, including a longstanding feud between Trump and Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger.
Here’s everything you need to know about Georgia.
Polling
With less than one week to go before Election Day, Trump has more than a 2-point advantage over Vice President <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/kamala-harris">Kamala Harris</a>, according to <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/georgia/trump-vs-harris-vs-kennedy-vs-west-vs-stein">RealClearPolitics</a>&#8216;<a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/georgia/trump-vs-harris"> average</a> of polls. Betting markets signal an even more profound gap in Georgia. <a href="https://polymarket.com/elections">Polymarket</a> showed Trump ahead by more than 30 points with millions of dollars in bets placed. A similar margin could be found on <a href="https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8072/Which-party-will-win-Georgia-in-the-2024-presidential-election">PredictIt</a>.
How Georgia Has Voted In The Past
Trump<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/results/georgia"> prevailed</a> by roughly 5 points in Georgia during the 2016 election, helping to solidify his overall victory against Democrat rival Hillary Clinton. But in 2020, President Joe Biden and his running mate, Harris, defeated Trump and Vice President Mike Pence by a much smaller margin in Georgia: 0.25 points. Just over 12,500 votes out of <a href="https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-joe-biden-donald-trump-georgia-elections-4eeea3b24f10de886bcdeab6c26b680a">about 5 million</a> made the difference.
What The Candidates Are Saying
Over the past couple of weeks, while campaigning in Georgia, Trump<a href="https://www.macon.com/news/politics-government/election/article294482119.html"> pledged</a> to lower energy prices and secure the southern border. He appealed to Christian voters, saying Republicans would<a href="https://rumble.com/v5juqjt-trump-wed-never-lose-if-32m-christians-voted-en-masse.html?mref=ah9c7&amp;mc=cfcoh"> &#8220;never lose&#8221;</a> if they turned out. He also knocked former First Lady Michelle Obama, saying she made a <a href="https://x.com/_johnnymaga/status/1851039498928378117" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;big mistake&#8221;</a> in being &#8220;nasty&#8221; to him while she <a href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14020553/Michelle-Obama-warning-election-harris-trump.html?ns_mchannel=rss&amp;ns_campaign=1490&amp;ito=social-twitter_dailymailus" target="_blank" rel="noopener">campaigned</a> for Harris in Atlanta.
Harris <a href="https://www.atlantanewsfirst.com/2024/10/24/barack-obama-campaigning-kamala-harris-atlanta-thursday/">rallied</a> in Atlanta along with former President Barack Obama, rocker Bruce Springsteen, actor Samuel L. Jackson, and filmmakers Tyler Perry and Spike Lee. The VP talked about <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-flex-star-power-georgia-rally-with-springsteen-obama-2024-10-24/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">taking the opportunity</a> to &#8220;turn the page on the fear and divisiveness&#8221; under Trump. Harris also has sought to woo congregants at black churches through a<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/20/kamala-harris-georgia-souls-to-polls/"> &#8220;Souls to the Polls&#8221;</a> effort.
Trump&#8217;s running mate, Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH), and Harris&#8217; VP pick, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, <a href="https://www.atlantanewsfirst.com/2024/10/24/jd-vance-hold-rally-downtown-atlanta-saturday/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">have</a> scheduled <a href="https://www.wtvm.com/2024/10/27/governor-tim-walz-set-visit-savannah-columbus-georgia-early-vote-blitz/">stops</a> in Georgia during the final stretch of the campaign as both tickets vie for the 270 mark needed to win the Electoral College. Harris is set to <a href="https://www.ajc.com/politics/harris-to-return-to-georgia-for-saturday-rally-ahead-of-election-day/JRDKLXGJJVGSNGGBOL2DWKFZ54/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">return</a> over the weekend.
Georgia Republican Governor Brian Kemp, who <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/26/politics/kemp-trump-georgia-vote/index.html">says</a> he did not back Trump in the 2024 primary but will support the GOP ticket in the general election, told Fox News in August:<a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/kemp-speaks-out-after-trump-flips-praises-former-nemesis-small-distraction"> &#8220;there’s no path&#8221;</a> for Trump or any Republican to win the Electoral College without Georgia.
What Early Voting Shows
More than<a href="https://sos.ga.gov/page/election-data-hub-turnout"> 3 million early votes</a> had been cast as of October 30, according to state data — nearly half the number of active voters in Georgia. The deadline for early voting is Friday.
Also on October 30, Georgia&#8217;s Election Data Hub <a href="https://sos.ga.gov/page/election-data-hub-turnout" target="_blank" rel="noopener">showed</a> that 206,333 out of more than 342,000 absentee ballots had been accepted so far.
Fulton County, a Democrat stronghold where most of Atlanta is located, has <a href="https://x.com/GabrielSterling/status/1851260377427853577" target="_blank" rel="noopener">led</a> the other counties in terms of early-voting turnout.
When Can We Expect A Result?
The 2024 presidential election in Georgia may not be called by the end of Election Day, particularly if the race is close.
Raffensperger recently <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/brad-raffensperger-face-the-nation-transcript-10-20-2024/">told CBS News</a> his state will get overseas ballots no later than Friday, November 8. 
&#8220;Those will then be the final numbers,&#8221; Raffensperger said. &#8220;And we&#8217;ll just see if that makes the difference in the total vote totals. I understand we&#8217;re very competitive, and that&#8217;s why we&#8217;ve done everything since day one to make sure we have fast, accurate and secure elections for all my voters here in Georgia.&#8221;
The <a href="https://sos.ga.gov/sites/default/files/2024-01/29.1.2024%20Comp-Cal_State.01.12.24.Rev_..pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">deadline</a> for county certification returns is November 12.
What Counties To Watch
Cobb and Gwinnett counties in the Atlanta suburbs<a href="https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/2024-election/counties-2024-election/"> could be key</a> in 2024. They went for GOP nominee Mitt Romney in 2012, but swung in the Democrats&#8217; favor in 2016 and even more so in 2020. Rural counties such as Baker and Peach, which according to the <a href="https://www.savannahnow.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/25/watch-these-key-swing-counties-in-georgia-during-the-2024-election/75806676007/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Savannah Morning News</a> have larger-than-average black populations, went for Trump in the past two elections after backing Barack Obama twice. And there are counties, including Baldwin and Jefferson, that voted for Biden in 2020 yet split the ticket in 2022, backing Kemp and Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA). 
Voting Issues From 2020 To Now
Although Democrats<a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/dems-compared-georgia-election-law-to-jim-crow-the-state-just-broke-its-early-voting-record"> raised concerns</a> about voter suppression over a 2021 election integrity law, with some calling it &#8220;Jim Crow 2.0,&#8221; early voting this year has been <a href="https://www.wsbtv.com/news/politics/georgia-supreme/RPQDQFTCORFW5OJI6WVLG5R4PU/">record-breaking</a>.
&#8220;Georgia voters know we’ve made it easy to cast a ballot. It’s really that simple,&#8221; Raffensperger <a href="https://sos.ga.gov/news/georgia-voters-shatter-3m-person-early-voting" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> in a statement after early voting surpassed the 3 million mark. &#8220;Over the past four years we’ve worked tirelessly to prepare for this election by adding Early Voting days and investing in infrastructure, only to be rewarded with the lies of Jim Crow 2.0 and a missed All-Star Game. We’re [battle] tested and ready, despite the critics.&#8221;
Georgia, like other states, grappled with election integrity matters in the 2020 contest. Multiple tallies<a href="https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-joe-biden-donald-trump-georgia-elections-4eeea3b24f10de886bcdeab6c26b680a"> affirmed</a> Biden&#8217;s victory while a flurry of GOP lawsuits were dismissed. Still ongoing is Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis&#8217;<a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/fani-willis-moves-to-restrain-former-special-prosecutors-testimony-before-congress"> 2020 election racketeering case</a> against Trump and his allies. Trump, who has pleaded not guilty, says he is being targeted by politically motivated lawfare.
In late October, the Georgia Supreme Court rejected a GOP effort to quickly revive new rules for ballot counting and certification that proponents argued would be good for transparency and accountability. The rule would require paper ballots to be counted by hand, and a judge called it &#8220;too much, too late&#8221; for the state to undertake.
A judge had earlier invalidated the election rules, calling them &#8220;illegal, unconstitutional and void.&#8221; Critics of the rules claimed they could be used to cast doubt on the results and disrupt the certification process. Georgia election laws say the results must be certified by the Monday after the election.
In one recent turn of events related to the 2024 election, Georgia officials <a href="https://www.11alive.com/article/news/politics/elections/state-thwarts-cyber-attack-georgia-voting-site-how-they-did-it/85-14423356-8453-4b4b-baea-b3a4c56032d4">said</a> they stopped a cyber attack on the state&#8217;s absentee voter website.
Georgia officials indicated during a press conference on October 30 that they <a href="https://www.youtube.com/live/E1jbS0fX1M4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">expect</a> lawsuits from the losing side in the presidential election.
Other Races To Watch
Besides the presidential contest, Georgia residents are voting in their local U.S. House race, but not any for the U.S. Senate or governor this year. Among the<a href="https://www.atlantanewsfirst.com/page/2024-november-election-your-guide-to-georgias-races/"> other face-offs</a> is one in which Willis is seeking re-election as Fulton County DA.<a href="https://www.wabe.org/the-three-measures-on-georgias-ballot-and-what-they-mean/"> WABE</a> reported how there are three state measures on the ballot, too. They include one for a local homestead tax exemption, another on creating a tax court with statewide jurisdiction, and a third on a personal property tax exemption increase.
The leading voting issue for Georgia residents is inflation, followed by &#8220;preserving democracy,&#8221; immigration, abortion, healthcare, crime, and the war in the Middle East, a <a href="https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/marist-georgia-poll-u-s-presidential-contest-in-georgia-october-2024/">recent Marist survey</a> revealed. Trump got better marks when it came to the economy, immigration, and the war in the Middle East, while Harris was viewed as being stronger on abortion and democracy.

Swing-State Showcase: Everything You Need To Know About The Race In Georgia

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