CNN&#8217;s chief data analyst poured cold water over Democrat efforts to use division within the Republican Party — over the late convicted pedophile Jeffrey Epstein — as leverage going into the 2026 midterm elections.
Harry Enten said on Thursday that despite some heated discussions in the media world — and on social media — over President Donald Trump and his administration&#8217;s handling of the Epstein case, Republican voters were not quite as divided as Democrats might have hoped.
&#8220;X isn&#8217;t real life. Post-Epstein saga, Trump&#8217;s approval with the GOP (~90%) may actually be slightly up,&#8221; Enten captioned a video of a recent broadcast. &#8220;He&#8217;s at/or near his apex w/ the GOP. How? Just 1 respondent said Epstein was the top problem facing the U.S. Cong Dems, OTOH, are at their worst standing with Dems ever.&#8221;
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X isn&#8217;t real life. Post-Epstein saga, Trump&#8217;s approval with the GOP (~90%) may actually be slightly up. He&#8217;s at/or near his apex w/ the GOP.
How? Just 1 respondent said Epstein was the top problem facing the U.S.
Cong Dems, OTOH, are at their worst standing with Dems ever. <a href="https://t.co/pSMH4BQ8Ou">pic.twitter.com/pSMH4BQ8Ou</a>
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) <a href="https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1945856695395049620?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 17, 2025</a></blockquote>
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&#8220;Yeah, I mean, look, I think this one surprised me a bit because of all these complaints online going after Trump and the Epstein files, you might think his approval ratings were going down with Republicans. If anything, they’re going up!&#8221; Enten told host Sara Sidner. &#8220;Republicans who approve of Trump, look at our <a href="https://www.cnn.com/polling" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">CNN poll</a>, the prior one, 86%. The one out this week, 88% with Republicans. How about Quinnipiac? The prior poll, 87% approval for Republicans. This week out, 90% with Republicans. If anything, Donald Trump’s approval rating has gone up since this whole Epstein saga started. He is at the apex, or close there to, in terms of his popularity with Republican voters, Epstein files complaints or not.&#8221;
&#8220;Is there any reason that you can find that this hasn’t taken hold and hurt him?&#8221; Sidner asked.
&#8220;Yeah, I mean, on X, all you hear about is the Epstein files. But how about out in the real public? Republicans who said the top issue was Epstein case, the answer is one, one, and not 1%. One respondent. This is a great little finding that Ariel Edwards-Levy, who of course is part of our polling unit, found,&#8221; Enten continued. &#8220;Just one single Republican said that the nation’s top problem is, in fact, the Epstein case. Not much of a surprise that therefore Donald Trump’s approval rating has not suffered with Republicans because of the Epstein case, because the bottom line is most Americans say it’s not up high on their priority list.&#8221;
&#8220;Still, congressional Democrats have been trying to seize on this,&#8221; Sidner pointed out, noting that Democrats in office were going on and on about the Epstein files even though they couldn&#8217;t be bothered to vote even to subpoena his flight logs when former President Joe Biden was still in office. &#8220;You hear them also parroting what you’re hearing online, saying, &#8216;Release the files, this is terrible, blah, blah, blah.&#8217; I mean, is that working for them?&#8221;
&#8220;No, I mean, look, here’s what’s so important,&#8221; Enten said, turning to the Democratic side of things. &#8220;You know, we talk about the potential of Republicans leaving Donald Trump. They’re not leaving him. But what about congressional Democrats and problems with their own base? Democrats’ net approval of congressional Democrats, according to Quinnipiac University, in June of 2025, it was their second worst ever at -12 points.&#8221;
&#8220;Is that not low enough for you? How about we go even lower? In July of 2025, -13 points, their worst net approval rating for congressional Democrats among Democrats ever,&#8221; Enten continued. &#8220;Donald Trump is not the one who has problems with this political base, it is congressional Democrats that are the ones who have problems with their own political base.&#8221;

Republican National Convention: Day Four

‘X Isn’t Real Life’: CNN Data Guru Throws Wet Blanket On Dem Plans To Leverage Epstein Drama

'X Isn't Real Life': CNN Data Guru Throws Wet Blanket On Dem Plans To Leverage Epstein Drama

Jeffrey Epstein

Media

Politics

polling

CNN data analyst Harry Enten voiced his disbelief on Monday as the latest polls show that Republicans have eliminated the Democratic Party&#8217;s double-digit advantage in one key metric: which party looks out for the middle class?
Enten laid out several polls — including one from CNN and one from Reuters — showing that Republicans held the advantage when it came to the economy, even after four months of what Democrats and media have repeatedly painted as economic upheaval and the stock market &#8220;going bonkers.&#8221;
WATCH:
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🚨HOLY SMOKES: CNN veteran pollster is completely FLABBERGASTED by new polling that reveals how Democrats are failing even FURTHER behind.
&#8220;How is that possible, Democrats?!&#8221;
&#8220;Democrats have traditionally been the party of the middle class. NO MORE&#8230;! Adios, amigos!&#8221;
BRUTAL. <a href="https://t.co/WPlUhfQpu3">pic.twitter.com/WPlUhfQpu3</a>
— Townhall.com (@townhallcom) <a href="https://twitter.com/townhallcom/status/1929546587782484255?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 2, 2025</a></blockquote>
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&#8220;After the first five months of the Donald Trump presidency &#8212; the first four months of the Donald Trump presidency, you&#8217;d expect that Democrats would have this massive lead on the economy,&#8221; Enten began. &#8220;It ain&#8217;t so, it ain&#8217;t so! The party that is closest to your economic views, in November of 2023, it was the Republicans by 11 points. Now, it&#8217;s still within that range, still within that margin of error — plus eight point advantage for the Republican Party.&#8221;
&#8220;How is that possible, Democrats?! How is that possible after all the recession fears After the stock market&#8217;s been doing all of this, after all the tariffs that Americans are against, Republicans still hold an eight-point lead on the economy? Are you kidding me?&#8221; Enten continued.
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He went on to note that multiple polls were telling the same story  — with some even showing Trump&#8217;s numbers going up despite the erratic markets.
&#8220;Despite all of that, the Democrats are down by 12 points on the economy,&#8221; he said, &#8220;This speaks to Democratic problems on the economy.&#8221;
He finished with the key question — &#8220;Which is the party of the middle class?&#8221; — on which polling has traditionally skewed Democrat by double digits, and showed how Republicans had chipped away that lead dramatically since Trump was first elected in 2016.
In 1989, Enten explained, Democrats had held a 23 point advantage. They only lost six points over nearly three decades — dropping only to a 17-point lead after 27 years in 2016. The Democrats&#8217; lead dropped to just four points in 2022 and as of 2025, has disappeared entirely.
&#8220;This, I think, speaks to Democratic ills more than anything else,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Democrats have traditionally been the party of the middle class. NO MORE! Donald Trump and the Republican Party have taken that mantle away and now a key advantage for Democrats historically has gone. Adios, amigos!&#8221;

President Trump Meets With El Salvador President Nayib Bukele At The White House

CNN Pollster Shocked As GOP Obliterates Major Advantage Dems Have Had For Decades

Democrats

Donald Trump

Republican Party

CNN Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten poured cold water on the mainstream media narrative that Trump voters “regret” their decision, revealing a new poll showing just 2% of the president&#8217;s 2024 voters would “vote differently” if given the chance.
Enten&#8217;s remarks came during a segment on &#8220;CNN News Central,&#8221; where he presented findings from a University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov poll <a href="https://umass-my.sharepoint.com/:b:/r/personal/poll_umass_edu/Documents/Poll%20materials%20uploaded%20to%20website/Views%20of%20President%20Trump%20at%20Three%20Months,%20National%20Poll%20-%20April%2014,%202025/Toplines%20Views%20of%20President%20Trump%20at%20Three%20Months%20National%20Poll%20-%20April%2014,%202025.pdf?csf=1&amp;web=1&amp;e=ddLTEN">published</a> Monday
&#8220;I hear all these stories, all these articles, &#8216;All the Trump voters, they regret what they did back in 2024.&#8217; I&#8217;m here to tell you, &#8216;Uh uh.&#8217; Very few of them regret what they did back in 2024,&#8221; Enten explained during his segment.
He emphasized the minimal regret among Trump supporters, saying, &#8220;What percentage would change their vote to a different candidate? We&#8217;re talking just 2%. Just 2%. That&#8217;s not even a wide spot on the road,&#8221; with the numbers being “rather similar” for Harris.
The data analyst estimated that, based on this poll, if the 2024 election were held again, Trump would likely still defeat former Vice President Kamala Harris.
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🚨NEW: CNN&#39;s Harry Enten DUMPS cold water on narrative that Trump voters &quot;regret&quot; backing him🚨
&quot;I hear all these stories, all these articles, &#39;All the Trump voters, they regret what they did back in 2024.&#39; I&#39;m here to tell you, &#39;Uh uh.&#39; Very few of them regret what they did… <a href="https://t.co/0IPvrpk0VS">pic.twitter.com/0IPvrpk0VS</a>
&mdash; Jason Cohen 🇺🇸 (@JasonJournoDC) <a href="https://twitter.com/JasonJournoDC/status/1912499248291029117?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 16, 2025</a></blockquote>
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“So if there was a repeat, if folks got to be able to redo their vote that they had back in 2024, would the result be any different? I doubt it would be. I doubt it would be, or it would still be extremely close. The bottom line is for all this talk of Trump voters regretting their vote, in the numbers, it really just doesn’t show up,” Enten <a href="https://dailycaller.com/2025/04/16/cnns-harry-enten-dumps-cold-water-narrative-trump-voters-regret-backing-him/">said</a>.
Enten also mentioned this pattern is not unique to the 2024 election, as Trump voters similarly showed minimal regret following their choice in 2016.
“So the bottom line is this: If there’s some idea out there that Trump voters are going around, ‘Man, I wish I had voted for Kamala Harris instead of Donald Trump,’ the numbers say that is a fanciful universe,” he added. “It really, for the most part, does not exist.”
Since Trump’s inauguration, the mainstream media have incessantly <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2025/03/27/politics/video/federal-workers-trump-voters-fired-regrets-west-virginia-kaye-dnt-ac360-digvid">spotlighted</a> estranged Trump voters who allegedly had <a href="https://www.buzzfeed.com/edmazza/maga-junkie-regrets-voting-for-trump">second thoughts</a> about backing Trump following his executive actions on immigration and federal bureaucracy cuts, all of which were frequent talking points on the campaign trail.
The president&#8217;s approval rating currently <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating">stands</a> at approximately 47% overall, according to RealClearPolitics polling averages.
This marks a significant improvement from his first term, when ratings hovered in the low 40s throughout most of his tenure, further reinforcing Enten’s analysis of the YouGov poll&#8217;s findings that his base remains firmly supportive despite contrary media narratives.

USA-TRUMP-ADDRESSES-SUPPORTERS-FOLLOWING-BATTLEGROUND-PROJECTION

CNN Data Analyst Shreds ‘Trump Voter Regret’ Narrative: Only 2% Would Switch Votes

2024 Election

Kamala Harris

President Donald Trump and his administration hit a major milestone in the most recent NBC News poll, as 44% of Americans now believe that the United States is &#8220;headed in the right direction.&#8221;
NBC News pollster Steve Kornacki broke down the numbers with &#8220;Meet the Press&#8221; anchor Kristen Welker during Sunday morning&#8217;s broadcast, and he noted that the last president to see a number that high was former President George W. Bush, just months ahead of his re-election in 2004.
WATCH:
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NBC: 44% of Americans say the country is headed in the right direction under President Trump, up from just 27% in November.
&quot;If that doesn&#39;t seem like a lot, the last time it cracked 40%, you gotta go back to 2012. The last time it actually hit 44% or higher — January 2004.&quot; <a href="https://t.co/56HNG3Disi">pic.twitter.com/56HNG3Disi</a>
&mdash; Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) <a href="https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1901275401457930360?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 16, 2025</a></blockquote>
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&#8220;First of all, the mood of the country — this really jumped out,&#8221; Kornacki began. &#8220;We asked folks is it on the right direction or the wrong direction, that 44% who say right direction, that&#8217;s up since November [27%]. And if that doesn&#8217;t seem like a lot, the last time it cracked 40%, you gotta go back to 2012. The last time it actually hit 44 or higher — January of 2004.&#8221;
&#8220;So a lot of this is Republicans, but independents, that number is also up since the election on the direction of the country,&#8221; Kornacki added, noting that it was just Republican voters who were voicing approval of the Trump administration&#8217;s actions.
The poll also spelled <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/democratic-party-hits-new-polling-low-voters-want-fight-trump-harder-rcna196161" target="_blank" rel="noopener">very bad news</a> for the Democratic Party, marking a new all-time low in its approval rating. Just 27% had a positive view of the party as a whole, and only seven percent said that view was &#8220;very positive.&#8221; Voters who had &#8220;negative views&#8221; of the Democratic Party sat at 55%, and 38% said that they had &#8220;very negative&#8221; views of Democrats. Those numbers mark NBC News&#8217; lowest approval ratings for Democrats since 1990.
Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt and GOP pollster Bill McInturff, of Hart Research Associates and Public Opinion Strategies respectively, conducted the survey of 1000 registered voters between March 7 and March 11. Horwitt said of the results, &#8220;With these numbers, the Democratic Party is not in need of a rebrand. It needs to be rebooted.&#8221;
The poll was taken prior to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer&#8217;s (D-NY) decision to vote in favor of the Republican-led continuing resolution to fund the government through September — a move that also angered a number within his own party.

President Trump Signs Executive Orders At The White House

Yuge Poll Numbers For Trump: President Cracks ‘Right Direction’ Threshold Not Seen Since 2004

Yuge Poll Numbers For Trump: President Cracks 'Right Direction' Threshold Not Seen Since 2004

Meet the Press

NBC News

Disney axed Nate Silver&#8217;s once-influential FiveThirtyEight on Wednesday as part of sweeping job cuts at ABC News, ending the data-driven political site&#8217;s seven-year run at the network.
FiveThirtyEight gained national prominence for its statistical approach to political forecasting but drew criticism for misses in key elections, most notably giving Hillary Clinton a 71.4% chance of winning the 2016 presidential election.
FiveThirtyEight&#8217;s editorial director of data analytics, G. Elliott Morris, confirmed the layoffs on Bluesky on Wednesday, <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/gelliottmorris.com/post/3ljnfl3pvuc2v">writing</a>, “As reported, the entire staff of 538 was laid off this morning. This is a severe blow to political data journalism, and I feel for my colleagues.”
The cuts are part of a broader restructuring at Disney, the parent company of ABC, which is slashing approximately 200 positions (about 6% of its workforce) across ABC News and Disney Entertainment Networks, continuing the trend of media company layoffs and restructuring across the industry, Mediaite <a href="https://www.mediaite.com/media/fivethirtyeight-gets-the-ax-as-abc-news-slashes-jobs-in-major-shakeup/">reported</a>. Many journalists lamented FiveThirtyEight’s demise on social media.
Silver, who founded the site in 2008 and left ABC in May 2023, wrote on X, &#8220;Oh geez, I just saw the news about 538. My heart goes out to the people there. They were tremendously hard-working and produced a lot of extremely valuable data and insight for everyone who wants to understand politics better. They deserved much better.&#8221;
Silver left ABC amid reports of tension with network executives over resource allocation and editorial direction.
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Oh geez, I just saw the news about 538. My heart goes out to the people there. They were tremendously hard-working and produced a lot of extremely valuable data and insight for everyone who wants to understand politics better. They deserved much better.
&mdash; Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) <a href="https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1897141188664418476?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 5, 2025</a></blockquote>
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FiveThirtyEight began as an independent polling aggregation platform before being licensed to The New York Times, then acquired by ESPN in 2013, and later transferred to ABC News.
Despite shuttering the project, ABC News said it would &#8220;continue to provide the best-in-class polling and political data analysis that it has offered for decades.&#8221;
The decision to close FiveThirtyEight comes as legacy media organizations face declining audiences and increasing competition from independent content creators and alternative news sources.
The shutdown also impacts several ABC News programs, with investigative shows “20/20” and “Nightline” merging into a single unit, while all three hours of &#8220;Good Morning America&#8221; will now fall under one production team instead of separate management, Variety <a href="https://variety.com/2025/tv/news/disney-200-layoffs-tv-abc-news-1236328122/">reported</a>.
The move reflects Disney&#8217;s ongoing financial challenges under CEO Bob Iger, who returned to the company in 2022 and has implemented multiple cost-cutting measures. Disney shares have fallen more than 3% over the past year as the entertainment giant navigates streaming losses and declining cable television viewership, according to financial <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DIS/">data</a> from Yahoo Finance.

New York Stock Exchange Opens Trading Day, After Dow Closes Prior Day At Highest Level For Year

Disney Pulls Plug On FiveThirtyEight Amid Broader ABC News Cuts

ABC News

Disney

Nate Silver

The vast majority of parents oppose schools teaching their children transgender ideology, polling conducted last month by Parents Defending Education shows. 
The <a href="https://defendinged.org/press-releases/parents-defending-education-poll-parents-support-girls-only-spaces-in-schools-oppose-parental-exclusion-policies-and-grading-for-equity/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">polling</a>, first shared with The Daily Wire, shows that 75% of parents do not support teachers providing instruction on sexual orientation and gender identity to elementary school students. Additionally, a large majority of parents indicated they opposed teachers pushing transgender identity on kids behind their parents&#8217; backs, as has happened across the country. 
“This poll shows overwhelming opposition to school personnel withholding information from parents about their child&#8217;s gender identity at school,” Parents Defending Education Director of Outreach Erika Sanzi told The Daily Wire. “It&#8217;s refreshing to see even more confirmation that people think this ubiquitous trend of facilitating gender transitions behind the backs of parents is complete madness and needs to stop.&#8221;
Covering a wide range of topics from DEI to transgender policies, the polling from Parents Defending Education shows that parents want more oversight of what is happening in their children&#8217;s classrooms. 
The poll surveyed 1,000 parents across the country who have children under the age of 18. The results come as parents have become increasingly vocal about the need for schools to focus on academics and not ideology. A third of those surveyed said they leaned Republican. Thirty-eight percent said they were independent, and 24% said they leaned Democrat. 
The survey found that 80% of parents believed that schools should not “help a child change their gender identity” without parental notification while 19% said they would be fine with teachers changing a student&#8217;s pronouns or providing things like chest binders to girls without parental consent.  
Three-quarters of those surveyed said they supported legislation that would require school officials to inform parents if their child wanted to identify as a different gender at school. Just over 60% of parents said they disagreed with a Wisconsin school district policy that said parents do not have a right to know about their child’s identity.
“This matters because the policies propagated by activist groups, the National School Boards Association, and teachers&#8217; unions all allow for  — and often require — the deliberate deception of parents by school staff if that is what the minor child wants,” Sanzi said of the polling. 
When asked whether they supported teachers instructing elementary school students on topics related to sexual orientation and gender ideology, 74% said they were opposed.
Nearly 80% of parents indicated they did not believe that males who identify as females should be allowed to compete on women’s sports teams. Republican-led states across the country have passed laws in recent years requiring students to participate on the sports team aligning with their biology. 
While 21% of those surveyed said that they would be fine with allowing a male to use female bathrooms and locker rooms, 77% said they would oppose any policy that allowed that. Similarly, the poll found that 72% of parents believed that students should be housed based on biological sex during field trips.
The poll also showed that 72% of parents opposed schools implementing “grading for equity” policies, including things like eliminating the ability for a student to get a zero on an assignment that was not turned in. Over half of the parents (56%) also opposed schools sponsoring race-based clubs. 
&#8220;These results highlight that parents are dissatisfied with a number of elements of the modern American education system &#8211; and that there is broad-based consensus that it&#8217;s time for schools to get back to basics,” Parents Defending Education President Nicole Neily told The Daily Wire. 
Neily added that she was optimistic about the incoming Trump administration, which has suggested it would make major reforms at the Department of Education. 
“For far too long, federal bureaucrats have sacrificed the needs of students and families in order to appease unions&#8217; and activists&#8217; insatiable demands for money and power,” she said. “January 20th can&#8217;t come soon enough.&#8221;

Blackboard with the international flag of peace drawn on.(series)

EXCLUSIVE: Majority Of American Parents Oppose Teaching Kids Transgender Ideology

Department of Education

Education

Transgender Athletes

President-elect Donald Trump won the 2024 election with a surge in minority support while taking advantage of non-traditional media outlets to reach voters, data from the GOP polling group Cygnal suggests.
The election saw a massive shift among Hispanic and black voters casting ballots for Trump over Vice President Kamala Harris relative to the 2020 race. That wave of support came amid furious debate over hot cultural topics, such as sex-change treatments for minors and trans-identifying players in female sports.
In 2024, Hispanic voters shifted 24 points in favor of Trump, cutting Democratic support from a 33-point lead in 2020 to a 9-point lead this year. Among African-American voters, the Democratic lead dropped by 16 points in four years from a 75-point gap to a 59-point gap, according to Cygnal exit poll data.
Brent Buchanan, president and founder of Cygnal, said that cultural issues drove the heavy tilt among minorities toward Trump from 2020 to 2024.
“[Democrats] have gone off into this woke ideology where you&#8217;ve got to believe all these things or you&#8217;re a bad person. When Republicans are like, well, we kind of like, we like normalcy and that&#8217;s really out there,” Buchanan <a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/decoding-trumps-win-2024-election-analysis-12-15-24/id1576594336?i=1000680416315">told</a> The Daily Wire. “And Democrats have just gone so much into this politics of identity and the majority of the country is rejecting that.”
Trump also made gains among non-college educated voters, deepening the “diploma divide” in American politics where the more degrees one has generally means one is more likely to vote Democratic. In 2020, Trump won the group by 2 points. In 2024, Trump’s lead grew to 16 points.
Alongside the large swath of minority voters rejecting the Democratic Party, scores of voters appeared to reject establishment media, as well. Cygnal’s exit polling revealed sizable gaps between likely support based on how each voter consumes news.
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“I think it&#8217;s one of the unsung stories of this election in that Trump really bypassed the mainstream media and went to all these alternative media sources that happen to speak more to men,” Buchanan said while noting that the Trump campaign’s catering to men did not spark a backlash among women. In fact, the percentage vote made up by women dropped by a point from 2020 to 2024.
Of voters who primarily consume news from national news stations, such as CBS and NBC, those voters were more likely to support Harris by 39 points. Among voters who get their news from newspapers, the gap was even larger, favoring Harris by 48 points. But Trump had large leads among voters who listen to talk radio (40 points), use X (41 points) or Facebook (22 points), and watch web streams (26 points), according to Cygnal’s exit polling.
Establishment outlets “are telling people what to think, and they&#8217;re not giving them all the facts as they’re telling people what to think. And that&#8217;s why we&#8217;re having this segmentation of folks who are listening to podcasts, who are subscribing to streaming services,” Buchanan said. “I believe we&#8217;re going to find more and more of that as people seek out the truth for themselves.”
The Democratic Party has deep problems to solve before the next election to put together a viable coalition, according to Buchanan.
“I think Democrats are walking into future elections asking themselves, ‘Who is our coalition?’ Because they&#8217;re essentially now the party of the coastal elites – and the white, college-educated coastal elites – and those people don&#8217;t understand America,” Buchanan said. He is skeptical that the party will adapt, however, because of the strong influence of its progressive wing.
For Republicans, Buchanan said that the GOP has to learn how to communicate with minority voters and hold onto the gains made by Trump.
“Don&#8217;t be scared to jump into the cultural issues. Talk about economics in a way that normal people understand. … And you have to go into these communities and start building relationships with folks, because we just can&#8217;t take for granted that these non-white voters who moved to Republicans are going to stay with us,” Buchanan said. “They moved to Trump. They did not move to Republicans. And there&#8217;s a whole lot of work to still be done in building real relationships, not just election day relationships with these folks.”

Unpacking Trump’s Election: Big Gains With Non-White Voters And A Rejection Of Establishment Media

The following is an edited transcript of an interview between Daily Wire Editor-in-Chief John Bickley and the founder of Cygnal Polling Group Brent Buchanan on a <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/podcasts/morning-wire/2024-election-analysis-decoding-trump-s-win-12-15-24" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sunday edition of Morning Wire.</a>
In his third bid for the presidency, Donald Trump was able to overcome past shortfalls to put together a decisive victory – winning the electoral college, the popular vote, and GOP majorities in both houses of Congress. We sat down with with pollster Brent Buchanan to go over the numbers.
* * *
JOHN: Joining us now to examine how the political landscape has shifted in the U.S. is Brent Buchanan, founder of <a href="https://www.cygn.al/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Cygnal Polling Group</a>. Brent, thanks for coming on. Good to talk to you again.
BRENT: Thanks, it&#8217;s great to be back.
JOHN: Look, we want to start by giving you some well-earned credit: In the weeks leading up to the election, you said we would know the result Wednesday morning. That ended up being true. But on election night you were here at Daily Wire headquarters and ready to call the election for Donald Trump at 10:02p.m. Not being too specific about it — but 10:02p.m. What made you so sure Trump had won?
BRENT: When you looked at some of the key counties within the swing states, you could see that he was doing so well within those counties that what made those counties good for him could be replicated across the other swing states, including places like Arizona and, Nevada, which we&#8217;re still counting votes or just beginning to end the polls, at 10:02 p.m.
JOHN: What were some of the swings you saw that were significant? What kind of movement did you see in which counties that were so significant early on?
BRENT: Miami-Dade County has been really interesting because it has a highly Hispanic population, but it&#8217;s more Cuban and Venezuelan and that&#8217;s not really replicable across the rest of the country. What I was looking at — if you remember from the New York City Madison Square Garden Rally, where you had that comedian who opened for Trump and make a joke about Puerto Ricans living on an island of garbage (and maybe I&#8217;m getting that specific reference wrong), but the Puerto Ricans make up the majority of Hispanics in the Orlando area, which is a very different population of Hispanics than Cubans and Venezuelans in Miami-Dade County. So when I saw that he was doing well there, I knew that the mainstream narrative that Trump was going to be hurt by Hispanics because of that comedian&#8217;s comment was simply just chatter within the bubble in the elitist class and not actually something that was going to hurt him with voters. You can also go over to Macomb County, Michigan, which is a very working class county that continued to shift towards Republicans and that is a highly unionized county. So that also would tell you that, okay, if Trump is winning union voters who&#8217;ve been moving his direction and they&#8217;re showing up in significant numbers, that this is going to continue across the rest of the swing states and really the country as a whole. What&#8217;s most fascinating in all of this is there were really three elections occurring. There were elections in the swing states, which didn&#8217;t have huge shifts from the prior election. You did see a big difference in like Arizona, for example, where Biden barely won it. Trump got over 5% this time. I think that was more a normalization of the state than anything else. But then you had elections in red and blue states, and places like Florida and Texas got even redder. And places like New Jersey — Trump got that to a single digit race. So, where significant money was spent the elections were closer even though Republicans did well. Where money was not spent, Republicans just blew it out of the water. That was a combination of two things: One, Republicans showing up strongly, but also Democrats staying home.
JOHN: Pollsters like you often measure the most important issues to voters in the weeks and months leading up to the election. In this case, it was often inflation and immigration leading the pack. Did that line up with exit polls?
BRENT: It definitely did, and what&#8217;s interesting about the top priority question is that it became very politically polarized. And if you remember how the Harris campaign basically closed the same way that Biden tried to frame the end of the 2022 midterms elections — that was “Trump is a threat to democracy and so we have to defeat him to protect our democracy.” So that was an issue that really showed up. In a lot of our polling, it was somewhere in the top two or three leading up to the election. In our final exit poll on election day, it ended up being the number two issue, almost tying with inflation and economy. But if you said threats to democracy was your number one issue, Harris won those voters by 69 points. And if you said inflation and economy was the issue, you won, Trump won those voters by 60. If it was Illegal immigration, Trump won those voters by 89 points, of course. Harris wins the abortion voters and then, when you look at all the other issues, the minor issues strung together, Trump barely lost those. So it was very much kind of two Republican leaning issues and Democrat leaning issues that were hyper partisan. But I really believe that it was simply turnout mechanisms and Republicans did a better job turning out voters who cared about inflation and the economy plus illegal immigration than Democrats did turning out voters who said abortion and threats to democracy — which to me are luxury issues. If you&#8217;re way at the top of Maslow&#8217;s hierarchy of needs, you can care about threats to democracy and abortion. But if you&#8217;re trying to make ends meet and care for your family, you care about inflation and the economy and illegal immigration, and that&#8217;s what won at the end of the day.
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JOHN: Now, we at The Daily Wire have paid close attention to the transgender issue for various reasons – including the investigations we&#8217;ve done in the past, directing more attention to this issue. How much do you think that issue played into the election results?
BRENT: Huge. And I think it&#8217;s not necessarily the thing that helped with the election. I think it is a symptom of a deeper problem for the Democrats, which is they have gone off into this woke ideology, where you&#8217;ve got to believe all these things or you&#8217;re a bad person. When Republicans are like, well, we like normalcy. Democrats have just gone so much into politics of identity and the majority of the country is rejecting that. We did a post election survey for the American Principles Project, which took a lot of the research that y&#8217;all did and then turned it into advertising. And we tested several of the key campaign themes, one being Kamala Harris&#8217;s is for “sex changes for children,” she wants to give. Another one was that she wants to give your tax dollars to have “prisoners get sex changes.” We tested the “men in women&#8217;s sports” and we tested that they, them “Trump is for you” messaging. What was really fascinating about this is, and I think it is one of the reasons that the diploma divide that has existed with white voters where, if you&#8217;re non-college white, you&#8217;re shifting hard right. That has now gone into the non-white population. What we found out is that among Hispanic voters who said that sex changes for minors made an impact on their vote, 52% of them said it made them more likely to vote for Trump. Of black voters who said that men in women&#8217;s sports was a concern for them, 45% said it made them more likely to vote for Trump. So I think these cultural issues potentially had a bigger impact in moving non-white voters to Trump, while the economic issues were more at play for these white, non-college educated voters moving to Trump. And that&#8217;s a really unique story coming out of this election.
JOHN: As you’ve laid out, this was a sweeping shift rightward. Did Trump actually gain ground everywhere or did he lose ground in any particular demographic?
BRENT: Overall, he gained ground because all 50 states moved to the right. Some of the states barely moved to the right, like Washington State, for example, was 0.2% more Republican. But then New York State was 12% more Republican. California was 7% more Republican than the last election. But when you break out some of the individual demographic groups, Gen X was the largest generational shift towards Trump. In 2020, they were Republican +1, Trump +1. And this election they were Trump +13. Seniors kind of stayed the same, Gen Z moved towards Trump. Millennials actually moved against Trump. There were some other shifts in the college educational attainment, where if you had a college degree and you&#8217;re white, you got more Democratic. But that was probably the only group you can point to and say, this got worse for Trump. But it&#8217;s been a 20 year trend, so I don&#8217;t think we can say this is just Trump&#8217;s fault. There are a whole lot of other things to look at that say Trump is now taking that diploma divide into the non-white community. One thing I&#8217;ll point out is that when Kamala Harris ran for the Senate in California, she ran as an Indian American. And then, in this election, she ran as a Black American. And college educated Indian Americans actually were one of the groups that shifted furthest to Trump. And so like, if that does not define how poorly she did in this election, that she screwed up the one group that should have moved towards her, college educated Indian Americans. Trump was able to get to those folks and it was really the economic concerns for them.
JOHN: You bring up Indian Americans – what about Asian Americans? How did they vote in general this year?
BRENT: Well, it&#8217;s not a huge population. It&#8217;s kind of a hard group to dig into and the Vietnamese and Indians and Chinese all go into that bucket of Asian Americans. If you were a non-college educated Asian American, you started the shift towards Republicans, and that hadn&#8217;t really existed in the past. So I think Democrats are walking into future elections asking themselves, “Who is our coalition?” Because they&#8217;re essentially now the party of the white, college educated coastal elites, and those people don&#8217;t understand America.
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JOHN: There&#8217;s a lot made by the legacy media of the gender divide going into this. And from my understanding, it didn&#8217;t quite play the role that we thought it was going to play. How did that end up shaking out?
BRENT: Well, it was still “women leaned more towards Harris and men leaned more towards Trump,” but I think the bigger story is the fact that, historically, in every single presidential election, going back for half a dozen presidential elections, women made up 54% of the voters.And in this election, women only made up 53% of voters, and you&#8217;re probably saying, well, Brent, why are you saying that 1% is a, is a big shift, but that is a huge, Breakout trend. and Trump made a strong play for the bro vote on the podcast he went on the way he did his advertising and kind of how the imagery of those advertisements and the music of the advertisements was really geared towards men and it didn&#8217;t turn off women. Women 55+, for example, voted for Kamala Harris, but they only voted for her by three points. Young women only voted for Harris, under 55 only voted for Harris by 14 points. Those are really small margins compared to what we saw in 2020 on this gender and age divide. And I think it&#8217;s one of the unsung stories of this election in that Trump really bypassed the mainstream media. and went to all these alternative media sources that happen to speak more to men. Joe Rogan is mostly a male audience. Theo Vaughn is almost exclusively a male audience. And they&#8217;re also amplified on YouTube. And when you go look at where people consume their information and how they voted in the presidential election, the alternative media sources if you&#8217;re getting your news from those places, you are much more likely to have voted for them. Donald Trump. So when, when we ask this media consumption question, one of them is, do you get your media from streaming apps like the Daily Wire? We didn&#8217;t say like the Daily Wire, but that would fall in the category of a streaming app. If you get your news from a streaming app, you voted for Donald Trump by 26 points.
<div id="attachment_830657" style="width: 874px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-830657" class="size-large wp-image-830657" src="https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2024/11/GettyImages-2182349014-864x576.jpg" alt="TOPSHOT - Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump dances as he walks on stage during a campaign rally at Van Andel Arena in Grand Rapids, Michigan on November 5, 2024. (Photo by KAMIL KRZACZYNSKI / AFP) (Photo by KAMIL KRZACZYNSKI/AFP via Getty Images)" width="864" height="576" srcset="https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2024/11/GettyImages-2182349014-864x576.jpg 864w, https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2024/11/GettyImages-2182349014-300x200.jpg 300w, https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2024/11/GettyImages-2182349014-768x512.jpg 768w, https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2024/11/GettyImages-2182349014.jpg 1024w" sizes="(max-width: 864px) 100vw, 864px" />KAMIL KRZACZYNSKI/AFP via Getty Images</div>
JOHN: Wow. So there&#8217;s lots of different ways to sum up what just occurred this year, but part of it is it&#8217;s a massive rebuke of the legacy media and revealing that they&#8217;ve been dethroned. Do you think it&#8217;s fair to characterize the election that way?
BRENT: They did a really good job moving Kamala Harris&#8217;s image from upside down, really badly upside down, like Joe Biden, to, only slightly upside down.But they could never get her further than that because they could only reach a certain audience. So, of the people who told us in our exit poll that they get their news from national television, like ABC, NBC, CBS, they voted for Harris by 39 points. Newspapers, if that&#8217;s where you get your information, you voted for Harris by 48 points. But then if you get your news from talk radio, it&#8217;s Trump +40, Facebook, Trump +22. So, you start to see that they&#8217;re losing their grip on their ability to move anything past a certain point. I think we&#8217;re just going to continue to see that degrade and degrade as folks realize that they&#8217;re not giving them truthful information. And they&#8217;re telling people what to think, and they&#8217;re not giving them all the facts as they tell people what to think. And that&#8217;s why we&#8217;re having this segmentation of folks who are listening to podcasts like this, who are subscribing to streaming services. And I believe we&#8217;re going to find more and more of that as people seek out the truth for themselves.
JOHN: What about the state of Leftism post-election? Did we just witness the end of the progressive wing of the Democrat party?
BRENT: No, I think the progressive wing of the Democratic Party will never learn the lesson from this election because they&#8217;re the same people who ran ads that essentially said, “You voters are stupid, if you knew this information, you&#8217;d vote the right way,” which meant for Kamala Harris and Democrats. And they believe that the reason that they&#8217;re not winning is because enough people don&#8217;t know what they know. And they don&#8217;t know how to say it without being condescending to the majority of the country. So, what I think we saw in this election was that this trend of wokeism and progressivism, voters finally stood up and said, this is enough. I’m not doing this anymore.
JOHN: Final question, pretty open – what is a takeaway from this year that you think is not being emphasized or stressed enough?
BRENT: Republicans need to realize that this is not a normal election for us. This Donald Trump is a unique individual that can communicate with folks in a certain way, and that is why you saw in a lot of races, him get more votes than anybody else on the ticket who was a Republican. And the lesson for Republicans out of this need to be, don&#8217;t be scared to jump into the cultural issues. Talk about economics in a way that normal people understand. Don&#8217;t tell them the economy&#8217;s good when they feel the economy&#8217;s bad for them, which is basically what Democrats did. And you have to go into these communities and start building relationships with folks because we just can&#8217;t take for granted that these non-white voters who moved to Republicans are going to stay with us. They moved to Trump, they did not move to Republicans. And there&#8217;s a whole lot of work to still be done in building – real relationships, not just election day relationships with these folks.
JOHN: Sage advice, as always. Brent, thanks so much for joining us. That was Cygnal Polling Group’s Brent Buchanan – and this has been a <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/podcasts/morning-wire/2024-election-analysis-decoding-trump-s-win-12-15-24" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sunday edition of Morning Wire</a>. 
***

‘Blew It Out Of The Water’: Decoding Trump’s Election Win

Morning Wire

Republicans

Voters

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are deadlocked in <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/wisconsin" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Wisconsin</a> just days out from Election Day, a final poll from the Marquette Law School found. 
The <a href="https://law.marquette.edu/poll/category/poll-release/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">poll</a> found that Harris led Trump by 50-49% among 834 Wisconsin registered voters and 753 likely voters surveyed from October 16-24. Harris’s one-point edge, well within the margin of error, comes as both candidates seek to earn the state&#8217;s <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/swing-state-showcase-everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-race-in-wisconsin" target="_blank" rel="noopener">10 electoral votes</a>. Wisconsin was decided by less than one percentage point in 2016 and 2020. 
The top three issues for the likely voters were the economy (38%), abortion (15%), and immigration and border security (13%). Half of those surveyed said Trump would be better for the economy, while 40% said Harris would be better. On the issue of immigration, 51% said Trump would be better, while 37% preferred Harris. On abortion, 53% said they trusted Harris more, while 35% said Trump. 
Trump led Harris 56-44% among those who planned to vote on Election Day and 52-47% of those who planned to vote early, while Harris had a 70-30% advantage among those who said they would vote by mail. 
As many national polls have shown, there is a massive gender gap in support for Trump and Harris. Harris led Trump 57%-43% among women, while the former president led Harris 56%-44% among men. 
<a href="https://www.amiracist.com/?_gl=1*jtghwp*_gcl_au*ODQ1NjYzNTg2LjE3Mjg5MDk3OTE.*_ga*MTc2NzM0NDQ2NS4xNzI4OTA5Nzkx*_ga_CZKR9ZYKJP*MTczMDEyMDgwOS40OS4xLjE3MzAxMjA4MzkuMzAuMC4w" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MATT WALSH’S ‘AM I RACIST?’ NOW STREAMING ON DAILYWIRE+</a>
Marquette’s Law School poll found a tight Senate contest as well between incumbent Democrat Sen. Tammy Baldwin and Republican challenger Eric Hovde. The poll found Baldwin with a 51%-49% lead over Hovde, within the poll’s margin of error. The previous Marquette poll found Baldwin with a seven percentage point lead over Hovde. 
On a full Senate ballot, Baldwin leads Hovde 49%-47%, while “America First” Party candidate Thomas Leager earned one percent. Leager’s campaign has been <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/chicago/news/political-donors-democrats-republicans-wisconsin-senate-race/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">backed</a> by Democrats who hope it pulls conservative votes away from Hovde. 
Harris and Trump campaigned in the Badger State on Wednesday, with Trump holding a rally in Green Bay and Harris speaking in Madison. During the rally, Trump, who wore an orange garbage workers vest, <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/packers-legend-brett-favre-rallies-for-trump-time-to-bench-kamala" target="_blank" rel="noopener">was joined</a> by former Green Bay Packers quarterback Brett Favre and current Packers running back A.J. Dillon. Harris was joined by musicians Gracie Abrams, Remi Wolf, and the Mumford &amp; Sons band. 
Trump is expected to return to Wisconsin on Friday for a rally in the Democrat stronghold of Milwaukee.

MixCollage-31-Oct-2024-07-42-AM-4054

Trump And Kamala Deadlocked In Wisconsin As Election Day Nears

Elections

Green Bay Packers

Wisconsin

The New York Times warned on Friday that Vice President <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/kamala-harris" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kamala Harris</a> may be in trouble after its latest poll found her tied nationally with former President <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/donald-trump" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Donald Trump</a>. 
The Times and Siena College poll of 2,516 likely voters from October 20-23 found Harris and Trump tied at 48% as Americans remain pessimistic about the state of the country. The poll brought the RealClearPolitics <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris" target="_blank" rel="noopener">average</a> of the contest between Harris and Trump to a tie at 48.5%.
“The result, coming less than two weeks before Election Day, and as millions of Americans have already voted, is not encouraging for Ms. Harris,” the Times <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/25/us/politics/poll-harris-trump-times-siena.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">wrote</a> of its most recent poll, adding, “[Democrats] have been looking to Ms. Harris to build a strong national lead as a sign that she would do well in such critical swing states as Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.”
One of the troubling signs was that only 28% of those surveyed believed that the country was headed in the right direction. “And voters continue to be pessimistic about the direction of the country, a measure that historically has been a danger sign for the party in power,” the outlet noted. 
The Times said that Harris appears to have weakened among likely voters since its last poll. 
“Ms. Harris’s position, if anything, may have declined among likely voters since the last Times/Siena College poll, taken in early October. At the time, she had a slight lead over Mr. Trump, 49 percent to 46 percent. The change is within the margin of error, but The Times’s national polling average has registered a tightening in polls over the past few weeks as well, suggesting at the very least that this contest has drawn even closer.”
<a href="https://www.amiracist.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.amiracist.com/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1729077615157000&amp;usg=AOvVaw17Kprl74oE9DYOLREdiBPU">MATT WALSH’S ‘AM I RACIST?’ COMING TO DAILYWIRE+ OCT. 28</a>
The top issues for the voters were the economy (27%), immigration (15%), and abortion (15%). On Those issues, Trump was trusted more on the economy (52%-45%) and immigration (54%-43%) while Harris was trusted more on abortion (55%-40%). 
“I was very, extremely disappointed in her response to our immigration issue,” 27-year-old Larrissa Alexander told the Times. “And when she was first elected, that was one of the things that she was tasked with handling. And she accepted that responsibility. And then every time she was asked about it or pressed about it, it just was attitude-giving in return.”
The poll found a large gap between male and female support for both Trump and Harris. Among men surveyed, Trump led 55%-41% while Harris led women 54%-42%.

WINDHAM, NH – AUGUST 8:Former president Donald Trump hosted a

‘Not Encouraging’: NYT Warns Kamala In Trouble As Poll Finds Her Tied With Trump

'Not Encouraging': NYT Warns Kamala In Trouble As Poll Finds Her Tied With Trump

The New York Times

We are two weeks out from the election and Donald Trump currently has all the momentum. Not some of the momentum— all the momentum.
This has been a wild race because the momentum shifts have been insane. When Joe Biden was in the race, Trump had all the momentum. Then Joe Biden dropped out of the race and Kamala Harris was put into the middle of the race and suddenly there was “joy” and “wonder” and all the momentum shifted over to the Democrats.
And then the air slowly came out of the balloon.
It appears that Donald Trump has regained momentum not only in the swing states, but also in the battleground states. According to the Real Clear Politics <a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">polling average</a>, Trump leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia.
All he needs to do to win the election is win Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia and either Michigan, Pennsylvania or Wisconsin, and he is leading in the last three, according to Real Clear Politics. He also happens to be leading in Nevada.
So if the election were held today — no tossups — he could win 312 electoral votes.
<h3><a href="https://www.dailywire.com/episode/ep-2069-member-exclusive" target="_blank" rel="noopener">WATCH: The Ben Shapiro Show</a></h3>
Trump is going to win the election. In order for Kamala Harris to win this election, she probably needs to be up at least two and a half to three points in the popular vote. She does not appear to have those numbers behind her right now, unless the polls are very, very wrong.
What&#8217;s more, her campaign is flagging. She&#8217;s totally disconnected from the American people. In fact, she is attempting to reach out to the Liz Cheney voter. There aren&#8217;t that many of those folks, the disaffected Republicans who love Liz Cheney and now are going to move on over from Donald Trump to Kamala Harris. Those people are incredibly rare. That number is vanishingly small.
But according to <a href="https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/candidates-step-up-their-attacks-after-trump-erases-harriss-lead-d280408b?mod=hp_lead_pos1">The Wall Street Journal:</a>
<blockquote>Harris is expected to hold events on Monday with Cheney in suburbs in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. She&#8217;s also hosting separate get-out-the-vote rallies later in the week with former President Obama and first lady Michelle Obama in Georgia and Michigan, swing states where Harris needs to run up large margins in the urban centers and suburbs. So she&#8217;s now relying on a halo effect from the Obamas to bring out the black vote in Georgia and Michigan.</blockquote>
How much is she flailing? She&#8217;s flailing so much that the Washington Post editorial board <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/20/semiquincentennial-america-birthday-harris-independence/">put out a piece</a> saying that she should commit to having a big 250th birthday celebration for the country in 2026, to recapture the feeling of patriotism by pledging that in July of 2026, she would throw a giant party for the American semiquincentennial.
If this is what’s left in her bag, she’s got nothing.
Over the weekend, it was Kamala Harris&#8217;s birthday. Kamala Harris decided she was going to celebrate it with Stevie Wonder. She went to a historically black church and she did some sort of birthday routine with Stevie Wonder.
Meanwhile, Trump was at the Steelers-Jets game, getting standing ovations and having people run around the field with pro-Trump signs.
And that wasn&#8217;t the best thing that Trump did all weekend.
The Left lost their mind because Donald Trump did something unthinkable. He went to a <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/democrat-barbara-lee-trump-working-at-mcdonalds-shows-hes-not-well" target="_blank" rel="noopener">McDonald&#8217;s</a> and worked the fry station and the drive-thru window.
That was old school politicking in the United States. It was charming. It was funny. It is meant to highlight the disconnect between what Kamala Harris says she is and what she is.
You’ll recall that she has now claimed multiple times that she worked at McDonald&#8217;s while she was a college student. And there are some fairly serious questions about whether that&#8217;s true or not. She has yet to name which McDonald&#8217;s she actually worked at. There are no records of her having worked at McDonald&#8217;s so far as anyone is aware.
It&#8217;s not really a big deal, except that it undermines any claim of authenticity that she has, because she is completely ersatz. She is the vinyl of actual human beings. She is not made of anything organic as a candidate.
<h3><a href="https://www.amiracist.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MATT WALSH&#8217;S &#8216;AM I RACIST?&#8217; COMING TO DAILYWIRE+ OCT. 28</a></h3>
So Trump went to a McDonald&#8217;s, worked the drive-thru window, and looked perfectly authentic there.
I don&#8217;t care whether you like Donald Trump or you hate Donald Trump. He is excellent at this. It&#8217;s a special quality that some politicians have; he is amazingly good one-on-one with people.
Trump speaks to people as though they are family. Donald Trump enjoys other human beings.
Kamala Harris doesn&#8217;t look like she&#8217;s ever met a human.
I&#8217;m not sure a lot of other politicians would be able to get away with what Trump did, except that he eats McDonald&#8217;s all the time. When he was president of the United States, he had a giant meal sponsored at the White House in the giant reception room that was filled with fast food from places like McDonald&#8217;s.
And at McDonald’s, he looked like he was having a good time, which is a good indication that he is winning, because you can often tell a winning campaign from a losing campaign by who&#8217;s having a better time on the campaign trail.
Losing campaigns are relentless and grueling and annoying, and the candidate seems weathered and doesn&#8217;t want to be there.
And that&#8217;s how it feels with Kamala Harris.
Trump is in a very good mood. He&#8217;s definitely enjoying this campaign.
Kamala Harris is definitely not enjoying this campaign.
And that should tell you something.

MixCollage-21-Oct-2024-04-25-PM-3811

Trump’s Cruising, Kamala’s Crashing

Trump's Cruising, Kamala's Crashing

Ben Shapiro

Liz Cheney

Opinion

The magic is gone for Kamala Harris, and the current polling shows it.
Roughly one month ago, Kamala Harris was leading former President Trump by five percentage points in the NBC News national poll. On Monday, they were <a href="https://x.com/SteveKornacki/status/1845449400648335850">dead tied</a>, 48-48. What happened?
Was it that Donald Trump suddenly started over-performing? Did he radically change his campaign?
Nope. Donald Trump is perfectly consistent. He&#8217;s been campaigning in the same fashion today he did roughly ten years ago.
So what changed? The answer: The “brat” wore off. The air is out of the balloon. The façade is crumbling in Kamala Harris-land.
According to that NBC poll, the impression of candidates left Trump at +43%, -51%. Harris was +43%, -49%. That is a dramatic shift. Last month, Trump was at +40% positive and Harris was at +48%. That means there has been a five-point drop in her favorables since just last month.
The poll said men are breaking 56-44 for Donald Trump, which I think is an underestimate. Women are breaking 55-41 for Kamala Harris, which is not nearly as much of a gender gap as Democrats would expect from women. They&#8217;re hoping for a 60-40 break.
<h3><a href="https://www.dailywire.com/episode/ep-2066-member-exclusive" target="_blank" rel="noopener">WATCH: The Ben Shapiro Show</a></h3>
These poll numbers are quite bad for Kamala Harris. And you can see that the panic is beginning to set in. CNN’s Harry Enten at CNN opined that there are a lot of warning signs the klaxons are going off right now; he <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/13/politics/video/polls-republicans-pennsylvania-enten-ip-digvid" target="_blank" rel="noopener">stated</a>:
<blockquote>The GOP leads by a point in party identification right now. The average when the Republican Party loses is the Democrats ahead by eight. When the Republican Party wins, the average party advantage for Democrats is three. Republicans right now are doing even better than the average when they win. If there&#8217;s one little nugget that I think Republicans are really hopeful for, it&#8217;s this party I.D. and this party registration data. It really points in a good direction for them and for Donald Trump. </blockquote>
 ABC News’ Martha Raddatz <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_X9lAqqPmbQ" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> that polling shows that Americans believe the economy is getting worse, saying:
<blockquote>Despite many positive economic signs, some 59% of Americans say they believe the economy is getting worse, compared to just 23% who say it&#8217;s getting better, with more Americans trusting Trump to handle the economy if he wins a second term.</blockquote>
So as it turns out, Americans trust Trump on the economy, and not just on the economy; they trust Trump on foreign policy. According to the <a href="https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-harris-foreign-policy-poll-46540a9a?mod=hp_lista_pos3" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Wall Street Journal</a>, Trump leads Harris among swing-state voters 52-39 on handling Russia&#8217;s war in Ukraine and 48-33 on handling the Israel-Hamas war.
If you look at the latest polling data on the last seven polls taken in the state of Michigan, Donald Trump is either in the lead or tied in six of them. The only poll that has Kamala Harris ahead is the Wall Street Journal poll. That is from October 8. And that poll shows her up by only two.
<h3><a href="https://www.amiracist.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MATT WALSH&#8217;S &#8216;AM I RACIST?&#8217; COMING TO DAILYWIRE+ OCT. 28</a></h3>
Meanwhile, over in Pennsylvania, in the last five polls that have been taken, Trump is in the lead in three of them. If you go back a little further than that, if you go back to the last seven polls taken, he&#8217;s ahead in five of them.
If you move on over to Wisconsin, every single poll of the last three has them tied, and in the two before that, Trump is winning. The latest Wall Street Journal poll has Donald Trump up six points in Nevada.
These are awful numbers for Kamala Harris.
The “brat” has worn off.
And the “joy” is gone.

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