Republican attorneys general are putting the pressure on a British climate activist group targeting the oil and gas industry and pushing an “unachievable climate agenda” that could jeopardize American energy independence and food supply. 
Over a dozen Republican AGs, led by Iowa Attorney General Brenna Bird, demanded Friday that the United Kingdom-based climate group Science Based Targets Initiative fork over documents on its work with companies to promote net zero emissions goals. The officials said that the group&#8217;s net zero commitments could run afoul of federal antitrust laws and state consumer protection laws. 
“Net zero programs are unrealistic and harm both American agriculture and industry. Making net zero a goal actively harms Americans, creates risk for energy independence, and increases the cost of food,” the officials wrote in a <a href="https://dw-wp-production.imgix.net/2025/08/09.07_-_FINAL_-_SBTi_Letter.pdf">letter</a> exclusively shared with The Daily Wire. “Some economic arrangements are illegal because they are unfair or unreasonably harmful to competition; the ‘good intentions’ behind them are irrelevant.”
Science Based Targets Initiative “assesses and validates companies’ and financial institutions’ targets” through its subsidiary SBTi services and “develops standards, tools and guidance to enable companies and financial institutions to set science-based targets in line with the latest climate science,&#8221; according to the group&#8217;s <a href="https://sciencebasedtargets.org/about-us">website</a>.
The group aims to crack down on greenhouse gas emissions and achieve net zero levels by at least 2050. Last month, it <a href="https://files.sciencebasedtargets.org/production/files/FINZ-in-brief.pdf?_gl=1*1ufvk31*_gcl_au*MTk1MTIzNDA4Mi4xNzUzMzY5NDgw*_ga*NTY0OTY4ODM1LjE3NTMzNjk0ODA.*_ga_22VNHNTFT3*czE3NTMzNjk0ODAkbzEkZzEkdDE3NTMzNzE1NTYkajYwJGwwJGgxOTY4MDIwOTA4">rolled</a> out a new “fossil fuel transition policy requirement” that “sets out clear steps and timelines for ceasing new financial activities and insurance services to the fossil fuel industry.” 
“SBTi is trying to redo President Biden’s radical green scheme,” Bird told The Daily Wire. “If successful, they’ll hurt farmers, energy producers, and Iowans. Their program limits output of goods or services but also net zero programs are unrealistic and harm both American agriculture and industry. Making net zero a goal actively harms Americans, creates risk for energy independence, and increases the cost of safe, healthy, nutritious food.” 
Similar organizations, including Climate Action 100+ and the Net Zero Asset Managers Alliances, have struggled in recent months after they lost major participants like BlackRock and other major financial institutions amid congressional and state scrutiny. 
In January, the House Judiciary Committee celebrated the exodus of groups from net zero alliances, with Chair Jim Jordan (R-OH) calling the trend “a huge win for freedom and American prosperity.”
At one point, Net Zero Asset Managers Alliances, which says its goal is to push net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 or sooner, boasted its members controlled over $57 trillion in assets. The company has now suspended all activities following the departures.
However, the Republican attorneys general said they were concerned that the Science Based Targets Initiative was cropping up to push similar mandates and initiatives. 
“As did those who subscribed to the previous net-zero alliances, members agree that they will perform certain functions — here, shutting off funding and insurance to oil, gas, and coal expansion — to be validated by SBTi,” they wrote. “But companies cannot collude to refuse access to their services, whether they do so in a smoke-filled room or launder that collusion through a third party.”
In addition to Bird, the attorneys general of Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Wyoming, and West Virginia signed onto the letter.
They requested that the Science Based Targets Initiative provide communications by September 8 between the group and its members on how climate commitments would be met, how financial institutions&#8217; net zero goals were developed, and information on the group&#8217;s funding.
The Science Based Targets Initiative has already faced pressure from Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier, who opened an investigation last week into SBTi to see if it may be violating consumer protection and antitrust laws. 
The attorneys general&#8217;s actions were backed by American Energy Institute CEO Jason Isaac and Consumers’ Research Executive Director Will Hild. 
“SBTi’s financial standards aren’t just unrealistic, they’re potentially illegal, coordinating global firms to cut off essential industries from capital and insurance. These actions drive up energy and food prices for American families, all while outsourcing control to foreign NGOs and U.N.-backed pressure groups,” Isaac told The Daily Wire. “Americans aren’t going to sit back while unelected activists dictate economic policy from across the Atlantic.&#8221;

High Oil Prices Continue To Drive Gas Prices Steadily Upwards

Republican AGs Turn Up The Heat On British Climate Group Targeting Oil And Gas Industries

British

Carbon Emissions

Climate Change

Iowa

Oil and Gas

University of Iowa administrator Cory Lockwood was caught on camera admitting that the university has not stopped its work in the Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) space, but instead has changed the terminology around it.
Townhall released undercover video of Lockwood talking about how the state legislature — in accordance with President Donald Trump&#8217;s administration and its agenda — had attempted to put an end to DEI in education. He explained that the school was continuing the work, but had to adopt different words to describe the initiatives in order to protect the funding that was at risk for those who did not comply.
WATCH:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
🚨NEW — Undercover video catches University of Iowa administrator Cory Lockwood ADMITTING to BURYING DEI initiatives so that they&#8217;re hidden from &#8220;that side.&#8221;
&#8220;There&#8217;s DEI work happening. Somebody&#8217;s not gonna have that in their job description because of the State House.&#8221;
&#8220;What… <a href="https://t.co/x37xUsvgui">pic.twitter.com/x37xUsvgui</a>
— Townhall.com (@townhallcom) <a href="https://twitter.com/townhallcom/status/1950926125380567453?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 31, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
&#8220;You won&#8217;t find it by Googling it, because of our state legislature,&#8221; he said of DEI initiatives at the school. &#8220;Governor, State House, they&#8217;re all &lt;sigh&gt; that side, so they&#8217;ve directed the Board of Regents to — I don&#8217;t know if &#8216;eliminate&#8217; is the right word — but stop using the words.&#8221;
Lockwood went on to make it clear the the school was doing what it could to abide by the letter of the law while actively undermining the spirit, saying, &#8220;So you&#8217;ll see words like &#8216;community&#8217; and those types of things, &#8216;belonging,&#8217; &#8216;community,&#8217; all those — we still have cultural centers here. There&#8217;s DEI work happening, I think, you know, somebody&#8217;s not gonna have that in their job description because of the State House.&#8221;
&#8220;Just to be candid, I think what most are worried about is funding, you know, because — state-funded institutions,&#8221; he added.
Townhall released a series of similar videos over the last several weeks, revealing that the same strategy — keeping the DEI initiatives, but hiding them behind relatively benign language — had already been adopted by a number of schools across the United States.

University of Iowa campus scene

‘You Won’t Find It By Googling’: U Of Iowa Official Caught On Camera Admits ‘DEI Work’ Still Happens

'You Won't Find It By Googling': U Of Iowa Official Caught On Camera Admits 'DEI Work' Still Happens

Diversity Equity and Inclusion (DEI)

Education

Politics

Townhall

A child born in Iowa is celebrating his first birthday and was declared the youngest premature baby ever by Guinness World Records. 
Nash Keen weighed just 10 ounces, about the same as a bar of soap, when he entered the world at 21 weeks of gestation on July 5, 2024. The formerly tiny newborn, nicknamed “Nash Potato,” is now thriving and hitting milestones after spending six months in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) at the University of Iowa Health Care Stead Family Children’s Hospital, per the <a href="https://apnews.com/article/premature-birth-guinness-world-record-22d4092b92af131a3efeea96aeb120e3">Associated Press</a>. 
“Nash is so full of personality,” his mom Mollie Keen told the outlet. “He’s a happy baby.” 
“Being in the NICU as long as he was, you’d think that he would be, you know, more fragile and stuff,” she added. “And he’s not. He’s a very determined, curious little boy, and he’s just all smiles all the time.”
Upon reaching his first birthday, Guinness World Records declared Nash the world’s most premature baby, beating out the organization’s previous record holder, born in 2020 in Alabama, by a single day.
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Guinness World Records named Nash the world’s most premature baby after he reached his first birthday. The previous record holder was born in Alabama and was older than Nash by just one day. 
These incredible stories help to turn the pro-abortion argument for “personhood” being linked to viability on its head as increasingly younger premature babies are able not just to survive, but to thrive, even when they are born very early. This is thanks to advancing technology and a commitment to delivering exceptional medical care to fragile newborns.
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Mollie reportedly said that she had a previous miscarriage and was concerned she would also lose Nash when she went into preterm labor. However, she and her husband, Randall, discovered that the University of Iowa Health Care Stead Family Children’s Hospital was capable of caring for extremely premature babies.
“One of the things I noticed about the medical team is that they were very calm,” she told AP of the staff there. “You never really saw them, like, get anxious or anything. And so we kind of just learned to, like, watch them. If the doctors and the nurses weren’t freaking out, there was no reason for us to freak out.”
“We wanted to give Nash a chance,” Molly told Guinness World Records during an interview.
Despite being born so early and therefore being at risk for a slew of medical complications, Nash is developing in what his doctor says is the best outcome possible for him.
Although he is still on oxygen and using a feeding tube, his parents plan to introduce solid food soon. He is rolling over, and they hope he’ll crawl soon, too. 
“He’s truly the best thing to ever happen to us,” Mollie said.
The Guttmacher Institute, a pro-abortion organization, “<a href="https://www.guttmacher.org/node/26263/printable/print">updated</a>” its definition of viability in August 2022, stating, “A fetus generally reaches viability between 24 and 28 weeks LMP (gestational age).”
This definition is out of date, considering the increasing number of cases like Nash’s, where very premature newborns survive and thrive. These kinds of cases prove that viability is not a fixed gestational point in time, and more broadly, does not determine the humanity of an unborn baby.

NICU

Most Premature Baby Ever Celebrates First Birthday, Declared Guinness World Record Holder

Abortion

baby

Health

Medical

Medical Research

Pregnancy

Pro-Life Movement

President Donald Trump laughed off loud pops that surprised his rally in Iowa on Thursday evening, telling the crowd that the noise was only from “fireworks – I hope.”
The pops interrupted the president as he was discussing the damage the unprecedented wave of illegal immigration under the Biden administration had done to the United States, and the Trump administration’s crackdown on the border that has led to historically low levels of illegal immigration.
“Don’t worry, it’s only fireworks – I hope,” the president joked.
“Famous last words. My famous last words: Trump said, ‘Don’t worry it’s only fireworks.’ You always have to think positive. I didn’t like that sound either,” Trump remarked as members of the audience chuckled.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
The sound of apparent fireworks briefly disrupted President Donald Trump&#39;s speech Thursday night during the America250 rally at the Iowa State Fairgrounds. &quot;Did I hear what I think I heard?&quot; he asked. <a href="https://t.co/K7P4Rq8FmN">pic.twitter.com/K7P4Rq8FmN</a>
&mdash; KCCI News (@KCCINews) <a href="https://twitter.com/KCCINews/status/1940942672769794480?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 4, 2025</a></blockquote>
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Trump survived an attempted assassin’s bullet nearly a year ago at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. One man in the Iowa audience apparently recalled the event, yelling during the president’s riff on the pops, “Fight, fight, fight,” a reference to how Trump reacted to assassination attempt in Butler.
On July 13 of last year, Thomas Crooks was able to set up a sniper’s nest on a nearby building overlooking Trump’s rally stage. Crooks fired eight shots toward Trump, who was then a candidate for president. One shot grazed Trump’s ear. One audience member, 50-year-old volunteer fire chief Corey Comperatore, was killed.
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The assassination attempt ignited a firestorm of criticism around the Secret Service that failed to secure the perimeter of Trump’s Butler rally and allowed Crooks to obtain an unobstructed view of the president’s platform.
Trump <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/trump-recounts-assassination-attempt-i-had-god-on-my-side">recounted</a> the attempt on his life during a speech about a month later at the Republican National Convention.
“I wanted to do something to let them know I was okay,” Trump said, referring to the crowd in Butler that witnessed the attempt and Trump buried under a pile of Secret Service agents. “I raised my right arm, looked at the thousands and thousands of people that were breathlessly waiting, and started shouting, ‘Fight, fight, fight.’”
“Once my clenched fist went up, and it was high into the air – you’ve all seen that – the crowd realized I was okay and roared with pride for our country like no crowd I have ever heard before. Never heard anything like it,” Trump said. “For the rest of my life, I will be grateful for the love shown by that giant audience of patriots that stood bravely on that fateful evening in Pennsylvania.”

Donald Trump

‘Don’t Worry, It’s Only Fireworks – I Hope’: Trump Laughs Off Pops At Iowa Rally

assassination

Pennsylvania

U.S.

President Donald Trump opened his Iowa rally on Thursday touting the “One Big, Beautiful Bill” passed by Congress ahead of his July 4 deadline.
The House gave the final Congressional approval to the bill on Thursday afternoon, giving Trump a landmark legislative win for his second term. The legislation was heavily pushed by the president and is key to accomplishing many of his key priorities.
“There could be no better birthday present for America than the phenomenal victory we achieved just hours ago when Congress passed the One Big, Beautiful Bill to Make America Great Again,” said Trump. “In the last election, the people gave us a historic mandate to cut taxes, raise take-home pay, bring back jobs, stop the invasion … deport the illegals, and slash hundreds of billions of dollars of waste and fraud, and that&#8217;s what we&#8217;re doing.”
“With this bill, every major promise I made to the people of Iowa in 2024 became a promise kept,” he added.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
“There could be no better birthday present for America” than the One Big Beautiful Bill, says <a href="https://twitter.com/POTUS?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@POTUS</a>.
“With this bill, every major promise I made to the people of Iowa in 2024 became a promise kept.” <a href="https://t.co/LJGspOUQBA">pic.twitter.com/LJGspOUQBA</a>
&mdash; Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) <a href="https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1940931619952689284?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 4, 2025</a></blockquote>
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Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) whipped votes late Wednesday night and early Thursday morning to get the legislation through the House. The House passed the nearly 900-page bill in a 218-214 vote just days after the Senate passed it 51-50, with the tie-breaking vote coming from Vice President JD Vance.
The legislation includes funding for a host of Trump administration priorities, such as a $150 billion boost to border security and deportation operations, $150 billion in new defense spending, and funding for the “Golden Dome” missile protection system to be built across the United States.
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The bill also includes provisions aimed at boosting fossil fuel energy production while scrapping a host of tax breaks and tax credits for green energy and electric vehicle production. The bill also tightens rules around receiving Medicaid and implements work requirements for recipients.
“Just as I promised, we&#8217;re making the Trump tax cuts permanent and delivering no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on Social Security for our great seniors,” the president said. “We&#8217;ve got the hottest country anywhere in the world, as said by many, many leaders of other countries. And we will ignite trillions of dollars in economic growth, increase take home pay for the typical family by more than $10,000 a year.”
“And very importantly for Iowa, this bill rescues over two million family farms from the so-called estate tax or death tax,” he continued.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
.<a href="https://twitter.com/POTUS?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@POTUS</a>: &quot;Just as I promised, we&#39;re making the Trump Tax Cuts permanent, and delivering NO TAX ON TIPS, NO TAX ON OVERTIME, and NO TAX ON SOCIAL SECURITY&#8230; very importantly for Iowa, this bill rescues over 2 million family farms from the so-called estate tax, or the Death Tax.&quot; <a href="https://t.co/VndTf9Iu9X">pic.twitter.com/VndTf9Iu9X</a>
&mdash; Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) <a href="https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1940933122582802786?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 4, 2025</a></blockquote>
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Trump is expected to sign the bill at a ceremony scheduled for 5 p.m. ET on Independence Day. The president said earlier that he will be joined by Johnson, Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD), and most Congressional Republicans.
Trump summed up his thoughts on the “One Big, Beautiful Bill”: “Very simply, the One Big, Beautiful Bill will deliver the strongest border on Earth, the strongest economy on Earth, the strongest military on Earth, and ensure the United States of America will remain the strongest country anywhere on this beautiful planet of ours.”
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
.<a href="https://twitter.com/POTUS?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@POTUS</a>: “The One Big Beautiful Bill will deliver the strongest border on Earth, the strongest economy on Earth, the strongest military on Earth… 165 days into the Trump administration, America is on a winning streak like, frankly, nobody has ever seen before.” <a href="https://t.co/tUU2Cxtx95">pic.twitter.com/tUU2Cxtx95</a>
&mdash; Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) <a href="https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1940934078229836168?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 4, 2025</a></blockquote>
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Trump Touts Big, Beautiful Bill At Iowa Rally: ‘No Better Birthday President For America’

Economy

Trump Administration

Iowa Republican Governor Kim Reynolds announced Friday that she would not seek another term in office, saying she would be leaving politics to prioritize her family. 
Reynolds has led Iowa since 2017, after then-Governor Terry Branstad was appointed by President Donald Trump as ambassador to China. During her tenure, Republicans passed the largest income tax cut in state history, election integrity measures, and legislation on abortion and transgenderism as they controlled both the state House and Senate. 
“Serving as your governor has been the greatest honor of my life, an opportunity that not so long ago I never could have imagined,” Reynolds said in a video posted to social media. “Today, I want to share a personal decision with you, one that was not made lightly, but comes with a full heart and a deep sense of gratitude. After a lot of thought, prayer, and conversations with my family, I have decided that I will not seek reelection in 2026. This wasn’t an easy decision because I love this state.”
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<a href="https://t.co/ITfXFa6Q1M">pic.twitter.com/ITfXFa6Q1M</a>
&mdash; Kim Reynolds (@KimReynoldsIA) <a href="https://twitter.com/KimReynoldsIA/status/1910724822637703418?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 11, 2025</a></blockquote>
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In the video, she said her move from politics was motivated by her family, saying she wanted to be able to attend more of her grandchildren’s athletic events. Her husband was also diagnosed with cancer in 2023. 
“This public service has been an incredible journey, one that I wouldn’t trade for anything, but as Iowans know, family is everything. And through the years, my parents, my husband Kevin, our daughters, and our grandchildren have stood by my side, supporting me through every challenge and every victory. And now it&#8217;s time for me to be there for them, to help them through the next stage of life.”
Iowa GOP Chair Jeff Kaufman <a href="https://www.yahoo.com/news/gov-kim-reynolds-not-seek-170457140.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">praised</a> Reynolds after her announcement. 
“Gov. Reynolds has been a generational leader for our state and party,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Under her bold, conservative leadership, Iowa now sits as one of the best states in the entire country. Taxes are low, cash reserves are full, our freedoms defended, and Iowa’s future has never been brighter.&#8221;
As governor, Reynolds signed laws that allowed law enforcement to <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/iowa-gop-governor-signs-bill-allowing-state-authorities-to-arrest-deport-illegal-immigrants?author=Zach+Jewell&amp;category=News&amp;elementPosition=undefined&amp;row=0&amp;rowType=Vertical+List&amp;title=Iowa+GOP+Governor+Signs+Bill+Allowing+State+Authorities+To+Arrest%2C+Deport+Illegal+Immigrants" target="_blank" rel="noopener">arrest</a> and deport illegal immigrants, <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/top-iowa-court-allows-states-heartbeat-law-to-take-effect-after-planned-parenthood-lawsuit?author=Leif+Le+Mahieu&amp;category=News&amp;elementPosition=undefined&amp;row=0&amp;rowType=Vertical+List&amp;title=Top+Iowa+Court+Allows+State%E2%80%99s+Heartbeat+Law+To+Take+Effect+After+Planned+Parenthood+Lawsuit" target="_blank" rel="noopener">banned</a> abortion once an unborn baby’s heartbeat could be detected, and passed legislation to remove “gender identity” as a protected category under the state’s civil rights law. 
During the 2024 GOP primary, she received harsh criticism from Donald Trump when she backed the campaign of Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis, who was challenging Trump for the party&#8217;s presidential nomination. 
Since 2010, Iowa has veered sharply to the Right, with Republicans taking supermajorities in both chambers of the state legislature. In 2022, Reynolds won the state with 58% of the vote. Republicans who could potentially look to succeed Reynolds include Attorney General Brenna Bird and pastor and former state Representative Brad Sherman, who has already started campaigning.

Iowa Approves New Six-Week Abortion Ban

Red State Governor Announces She Won’t Seek New Term

General

Kim Reynolds

Iowa Attorney General Brenna Bird is suing a county that pledged to “interfere and interrupt” federal immigration enforcement raids carried out by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).
Bird launched the lawsuit against Winneshiek County Sheriff Dan Marx after he pledged to take “every effort” to “interrupt” and “interfere” with federal immigration enforcement agents.
“Iowa is not a sanctuary for illegal immigration. Anyone who threatens to ‘block, interfere and interrupt’ with immigration enforcement, as this sheriff did, will be held accountable,” Bird <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/red-state-moves-defund-county-after-leader-vows-interfere-interrupt-ice-deportations">asserted</a>.
The attorney general’s statement came after Marx’s office made a post on Facebook saying that he and his staff are “always willing to assist with verifying credentials and the legitimacy of any paperwork federal agents should have to make certain your rights are not being abused.”
&#8220;If their actions or paperwork are not within constitutional parameters,&#8221; the post continued, &#8220;then we will make every effort to block, interfere and interrupt their actions from moving forward.” Marx specifically objected to immigration detainers filed by ICE, an administrative request from the federal agency asking state and local law enforcement agencies to maintain custody of suspected illegal aliens until federal law enforcement could gain custody of the suspects.
Bird argues that Marx’s post violated Iowa law, which states that a county in violation of section 27A.4 of the state’s legal code “shall be ineligible to receive any state funds if the local entity intentionally violates this chapter.&#8221;
Governor Kim Reynolds requested that Marx amend his statements, but the sheriff refused despite the risk that the county could lose state funding.
Bird asserted that Marx’s actions “impeded and discouraged cooperation with federal immigration authorities” in violation of the law. “Sanctuary counties are illegal under Iowa law. Sheriff Marx was given the chance to retract his statement, follow the law, and honor ICE detainers, but he refused — even at a cost to his home county,” Bird <a href="https://www.iowaattorneygeneral.gov/newsroom/attorney-general-bird-sues-winneshiek-county-sheriff-for-violating-sanctuary-county-law">charged</a>. “He left us with no choice but to take the case to court to enforce our laws and ensure cooperation with federal immigration authorities.”

ICE Arrest

Iowa Sues To Defund County That Pledged To ‘Interrupt’ ICE Raids

Deportations

Illegal Immigration

Immigration

Immigration and Customs Enforcement

An egregiously wrong Des Moines Register poll by formerly well-respected pollster J. Ann Selzer published three days before the presidential election has catalyzed President-elect Donald Trump to say enough is enough — and sue them.
On November 2, the Register published Selzer’s poll, which came as a shock, as it showed Vice-President Kamala Harris with a three-point lead over Trump in a state Trump wound up winning by over 13 points. Within days after the election, Selzer abruptly retired.
There were suspicions about the apparent leaking of the poll prior to its release. “Roughly 45 minutes prior to the poll’s public release, a stray <a href="https://x.com/IllinoisLib/status/1852837036597948760" target="_blank" rel="noopener">tweet</a> predicted the poll’s findings,” Semafor <a href="https://www.semafor.com/article/11/10/2024/gannett-probes-possible-leak-of-bombshell-iowa-poll" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a>. “Its author <a href="https://x.com/PritzkerForPrez/status/1852879977487724566" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> that Illinois Governor JB Pritzker, a Duke University alumnus, had mentioned the not-yet-released poll during a Duke Democrats meeting that day.”
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
Selzer is about to drop Kamala +3 
Source: Major campaign surrogate 
Not joking. Mark my words.
— Ryan 🥥🌴 (@IllinoisLib) <a href="https://twitter.com/IllinoisLib/status/1852837036597948760?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 2, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
our goat makes sure we eat 🍽️ <a href="https://t.co/uBH16bLlbq">pic.twitter.com/uBH16bLlbq</a>
— Socialists For Pritzker (@PritzkerForPrez) <a href="https://twitter.com/PritzkerForPrez/status/1852879977487724566?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 3, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
The lawsuit, filed Monday night and also naming Gannett, the Register’s parent company, states it seeks &#8220;accountability for brazen election interference committed by&#8221; the Des Moines Register (DMR) and Selzer &#8220;in favor of now-defeated former Democrat candidate Kamala Harris through use of a leaked and manipulated Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/shock-poll-harris-leading-trump-iowa-3-point-shift-toward-vice-president-red-state" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Poll conducted</a> by Selzer and S&amp;C and published by DMR and Gannett in the Des Moines Register on Nov. 2, 2024,” Fox News <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-sues-des-moines-register-top-pollster-brazen-election-interference-fraud-over-harris-poll" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a>.
The lawsuit also states, “Contrary to reality and defying credulity, defendants’ Harris Poll was published three days before Election Day and purported to show Harris leading President Trump in Iowa by three points; President Trump ultimately won Iowa by over thirteen points.” It continues that the three-point Harris lead in &#8220;deep-red Iowa was not reality, it was election-interfering fiction.&#8221;
Selzer had &#8220;prided herself on a mainstream reputation for accuracy despite several far less publicized egregious polling misses in favor of Democrats,&#8221; the lawsuit continued, and that Selzer &#8220;would have the public believe it was merely a coincidence that one of the worst polling misses of her career came just days before the most consequential election in memory, was leaked and happened to go against the Republican candidate.&#8221;
<a href="https://get.dailywire.com/gift-guide/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://get.dailywire.com/gift-guide/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734465856887000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0yoXh27k1XJufgc_qcfvEq">CHECK OUT THE DAILY WIRE HOLIDAY GIFT GUIDE</a>
More from the lawsuit:
<blockquote>
The Harris Poll was no ‘miss’ but rather an attempt to influence the outcome of the 2024 Presidential Election &#8230; defendants and their cohorts in the Democrat Party hoped that the Harris Poll would create a false narrative of inevitability for Harris in the final week of the 2024 Presidential Election. &#8230; Instead, the November 5 election was a monumental victory for President Trump in both the Electoral College and the Popular Vote, an overwhelming mandate for his America First principles, and the consignment of the radical socialist agenda to the dustbin of history. 
</blockquote>
&#8220;Left-wing pollsters have attempted to influence electoral outcomes through manipulated polls that have unacceptable error rates and are not grounded in widely accepted polling methodologies,” the lawsuit contends. &#8220;While Selzer is not the only pollster to engage in this corrupt practice, she had a huge platform and following and, thus, a significant and impactful opportunity to deceive voters. As Selzer knows, this type of manipulation creates a narrative of inevitability for Democrat candidates, increases enthusiasm among Democrats, compels Republicans to divert campaign time and money to areas in which they are ahead, and deceives the public into believing that Democrat candidates are performing better than they really are.&#8221;
Trump&#8217;s attorneys stated that voters were &#8220;badly deceived and misled as to the actual position of the respective candidates in the Iowa Presidential race. &#8230; Moreover, President Trump, the Trump 2024 Campaign, and other Republicans were forced to divert enormous campaign and financial resources to Iowa based on the deceptive Harris Poll.”

Meet the Press – Season 78

‘Election-Interfering Fiction’: Trump Sues Iowa Pollster, Publisher For Poll Released November 2

2024 Election

Lawsuit

Poll

Nearly three weeks after the polls closed on Election Day, voters are still waiting for the final results in three U.S. House races: two in California and one in Iowa.
Republicans will hold a slim majority in the 119th Congress, but the exact size of that majority remains up in the air as the final results for three close races remain unknown. The Associated Press and Decision Desk HQ have yet to declare a winner in the races for California&#8217;s 13th and 45th Congressional districts. The AP also has not made a call in the race for Iowa&#8217;s 1st Congressional district, as ballots continue to be counted.
According to the <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-california-us-house-13.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">latest count</a> in California&#8217;s 13th district, Republican Rep. John Duarte holds a 204-vote lead over Democrat Adam Gray. Fox News <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/size-slim-republican-house-majority-hangs-5-uncalled-races" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> that less than 3% of the vote still needs to be counted. The contest is similar to the 2022 midterm election when Duarte <a href="https://californiaglobe.com/fr/13th-house-district-race-between-duarte-gray-within-351-votes-with-98-of-the-vote-in/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">won</a> over Gray in what was the closest House race in the country, squeaking out a victory by just 564 votes. The 2022 race wasn&#8217;t called until early December.
In California&#8217;s 45th Congressional district, Democrat Derek Tran leads Republican Rep. Michelle Steel by 545 votes, according to <a href="https://www.mercurynews.com/2024/11/25/election-2024-results-derek-tran-adds-a-little-to-his-lead-over-michelle-steel/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Mercury News</a>. Ninety-nine percent of the vote in the 45th district race has been counted.
In Iowa, Republican Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks is hoping to hold onto her slight lead over Democrat Christina Bohannan as a recount of the race began over the weekend. Miller-Meeks leads by 800 votes and <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/incumbent-iowa-republican-says-dem-house-opponent-wasting-taxpayer-money-recount" target="_blank" rel="noopener">slammed</a> her opponent&#8217;s recount request as a waste of &#8220;taxpayer money.&#8221; Decision Desk HQ has called the race for Miller-Meeks, but the Associated Press has not declared a winner.
<a href="https://get.dailywire.com/gift-guide/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CHECK OUT THE DAILY WIRE HOLIDAY GIFT GUIDE</a>
According to the AP&#8217;s results, Republicans hold 219 seats to Democrats&#8217; 213. If the current results hold in each of the uncalled House races, the final tally would be 221 seats for the GOP and 214 for the Democrats. Republicans will also be faced with special elections to replace Reps. <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/trump-offers-elise-stefanik-u-n-ambassadorship" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Elise Stefanik</a> (NY) and <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/trump-taps-mike-waltz-as-national-security-advisor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Mike Waltz</a> (FL), who were tapped to serve in the new Trump administration, and former Florida Rep. <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/matt-gaetz-says-he-will-not-rejoin-congress-after-withdrawing-from-ag-consideration" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Matt Gaetz, </a>who resigned.

House GOP Leadership

Multiple House Races Remain Uncalled Nearly 3 Weeks After Election

California

Elections

House Republicans

U.S. House of Representatives

Pollster J. Ann Selzer announced over the weekend that she would be stepping away from election polling after her survey in <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/topic/iowa" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Iowa</a>, which had been widely regarded as a <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/gold-standard-poll-a-bad-omen-for-biden-in-midwestern-states" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;gold-standard&#8221;</a> poll in political forecasting, fumbled the 2024 presidential election.
&#8220;Over a year ago I advised the Register I would not renew when my 2024 contract expired with the latest election poll as I transition to other ventures and opportunities,&#8221; Selzer wrote in a guest column <a href="https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/columnists/2024/11/17/ann-selzer-conducts-iowa-poll-ending-election-polling-moving-to-other-opportunities/76334909007/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">published</a> on Sunday by the Des Moines Register.
&#8220;Would I have liked to make this announcement after a final poll aligned with Election Day results? Of course,&#8221; she added. &#8220;It’s ironic that it’s just the opposite.&#8221;
Selzer &amp; Company&#8217;s final poll of the 2024 election cycle for the Register and Mediacom <a href="https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">found</a> Vice President Kamala Harris leading President-elect Donald Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters in Iowa, while other surveys conducted in the final stretch of the 2024 campaign <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/iowa/trump-vs-harris" target="_blank" rel="noopener">showed</a> Trump ahead of Harris. Ultimately, Trump <a href="https://election.dailywire.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">defeated</a> Harris 56% to 42.7% in Iowa, marking his third general election victory in the Hawkeye State in a row.
Trump&#8217;s campaign released a <a href="https://x.com/AlexPfeiffer/status/1854002937330311175" target="_blank" rel="noopener">statement</a> mocking Selzer after it became clear that Trump would beat Harris in Iowa.
&#8220;Congratulations to Donald J. Trump and J.D. Vance on their victory,&#8221; Trump Campaign Deputy Political Director Alex Latcham said in a statement. &#8220;After four years under Kamala Harris, Hawkeye state voters are eager for President Trump to fix what Kamala Harris broke. Starting on Day 1, President Trump and Vice President JD Vance will help to ease costs, secure the border, and protect Social Security for retirees like Ann Selzer.&#8221;
On Election Night, Selzer <a href="https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/2024/11/07/ann-selzer-well-look-at-data-to-try-to-understand-iowa-poll-miss/76100172007/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> that she would be reviewing the data from her &#8220;outlier&#8221; poll that showed Harris leading Trump by 3 percentage points when it became clear that it had missed the mark. And Register Executive Editor Carol Hunter <a href="https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/05/pollster-j-ann-selzer-to-review-data-after-iowa-poll-misses-trump-win/76085598007/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> her newspaper would also be &#8220;closely reviewing the disparity.&#8221;
In her guest column on Sunday, Selzer wrote that her &#8220;history of accuracy&#8221; might have &#8220;made the outlier position too comfortable.&#8221; She said that polling &#8220;is a science of estimation, and science has a way of periodically humbling the scientist. So, I’m humbled, yet always willing to learn from unexpected findings.&#8221; Selzer also shared her future plans, saying, &#8220;My work will continue for current clients and for clients yet to come. In addition, I’m thinking about how to put other talents to work for the benefit of new clients.&#8221;

‘Gold-Standard’ Pollster Who Overlooked Trump Win In Iowa Calls It Quits

Kamala Harris

Polls

Daily Wire host and author Michael Knowles gave a speech titled, “We Are So Back: How The Libs Lost Everything,” at the University of Iowa Monday night, where he was met with dozens of protesters. 
The protesters at the event, which was hosted by Young America’s Foundation (YAF), <a href="https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/local/2024/11/12/protesters-gather-on-ui-campus-as-daily-wires-michael-knowles-visits/76223743007/?taid=6733b746f5c1290001e1b6f2&amp;utm_campaign=trueanthem&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_source=twitter">chanted</a>, “F*** you, fascists,” &#8220;Transphobes you better beware, we&#8217;re not going anywhere,&#8221; &#8220;We will not be silenced by transphobic violence,” and other left-wing slogans. 
Knowles reacted to some of the protests online, writing, “Do all my protesters have COVID?” — a reference to the many students wearing masks. 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
Do all my protesters have COVID? <a href="https://t.co/Jrry11KtC7">pic.twitter.com/Jrry11KtC7</a>
— Michael Knowles (@michaeljknowles) <a href="https://twitter.com/michaeljknowles/status/1856197178214986178?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 12, 2024</a></blockquote>
During the speech, Knowles also addressed the protests that had been taking place at the university leading up to his speech. Knowles referenced a reporter who claimed it was the conservative who “incited” the pushback on campus, which included vandalism. 
“Apparently, my very presence stirs in liberals an irrepressible urge to commit violence,” Knowles mocked. “How dare I! How dare all of us conservatives ever speak!” 
Transitioning to the media, Knowles explained how the “libs lost everything” this election cycle. 
&#8220;How did the libs lose everything? I think the press, as much as any other person or institution &#8230; deserves credit for the landslide victory last Tuesday,” he said.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
.<a href="https://twitter.com/michaeljknowles?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@michaeljknowles</a>: &#8220;How did the libs lose everything? I think the press, as much as any other person or institution&#8230;deserves credit for the landslide victory last Tuesday. The press&#8230;overplayed its hand.&#8221; <a href="https://t.co/oLq52Hjyzx">pic.twitter.com/oLq52Hjyzx</a>
— YAF (@yaf) <a href="https://twitter.com/yaf/status/1856144838078370036?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 12, 2024</a></blockquote>
Knowles also talked about transgender politics, which has been dubbed the “sleeper issue” of the 2024 election. 
<a href="https://www.amiracist.com/?_gl=1*jtghwp*_gcl_au*ODQ1NjYzNTg2LjE3Mjg5MDk3OTE.*_ga*MTc2NzM0NDQ2NS4xNzI4OTA5Nzkx*_ga_CZKR9ZYKJP*MTczMDEyMDgwOS40OS4xLjE3MzAxMjA4MzkuMzAuMC4w" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MATT WALSH’S ‘AM I RACIST?’ NOW STREAMING ON DAILYWIRE+</a>
&#8220;The trans issue has taken on such national prominence because it reveals the extent to which our political elites are willing to lie to us,” Knowles said. “The transgender issue revealed that the Left had lost common sense.&#8221;
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-media-max-width="560">
.<a href="https://twitter.com/michaeljknowles?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@michaeljknowles</a>: &#8220;The trans issue has taken on such national prominence because it reveals the extent to which our political elites are willing to lie to us&#8230;The transgender issue revealed that the left had lost the common sense.&#8221; <a href="https://t.co/bR6ve8fpAV">pic.twitter.com/bR6ve8fpAV</a>
— YAF (@yaf) <a href="https://twitter.com/yaf/status/1856148570816024988?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 12, 2024</a></blockquote>
The trans issue was further discussed after one female student suggested Knowles and other conservatives are mean to people who say they are transgender and need to merely open their hearts. Knowles rejected the premise and explained why transgenderism, as the Left understands it, does not actually exist since men cannot be women and women cannot be men. 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-media-max-width="560">
&#8220;&#8216;Transgenderism is normal&#8217; seems to undercut the transgender ideology.&#8221;<a href="https://twitter.com/michaeljknowles?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@michaeljknowles</a> responds to transgender advocate. <a href="https://t.co/t6EkSSjnHw">pic.twitter.com/t6EkSSjnHw</a>
— Daily Wire (@realDailyWire) <a href="https://twitter.com/realDailyWire/status/1856152348193693783?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 12, 2024</a></blockquote>
WATCH the full speech <a href="https://www.youtube.com/live/qsCgSoP3uHs?si=bS7aHVbuZII1bfGS" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HERE</a>.

Michael Knowles

‘F*** You, Fascists!’: Michael Knowles Addresses Protests, Trans Issues In Campus Speech

‘F*** You, Fascists!’: Michael Knowles Addresses Protests, Trans Issue During Speech At UI

The Daily Wire

Transgender

Young America's Foundation

While most Americans focus on the presidential election between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, the undercard fights on every ballot in the country will determine which party will control the House of Representatives in 2025.
Unlike the U.S. Senate, where winning the election puts you in office for six years, every single House seat is up for grabs each election cycle. Republicans currently <a href="https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown" target="_blank" rel="noopener">control</a> the House by a slim eight-seat majority — 220 to 212 — and there are three vacancies. That means Democrats need to pick up at least five seats to tilt the scales.
There are dozens of competitive races that will determine who holds the all-powerful gavel going into 2025 — and whichever party wins the presidency will be hamstrung without control of the lower chamber of Congress.
Here are 10 toss-up House races to watch on Election Day, and potentially in the days following:
<h4>Alaska — Lone District</h4>
The only House district in Alaska is held by Democrat Mary Peltola who beat out Republicans Sarah Palin and Nicholas Begich in 2022. With her 2022 win, Peltola became the first Democrat from Alaska to serve in the House since 1972. Peltola&#8217;s victory two years ago was due, in part, to Alaska&#8217;s ranked-choice voting system, which split the Republican vote between Palin and Begich. This year, Peltola is running against Begich, Democrat Eric Hafner, and John Howe of the Independence Party.
Following a September <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/alaska-democrat-flips-on-men-in-womens-sports-following-daily-wire-report" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Daily Wire report</a> on Peltola&#8217;s transgender stances, the Democrat flipped her position on men competing in women&#8217;s sports, saying during a debate in October, &#8220;I don’t think that we should have men competing in women’s sports.&#8221;
In the most recent polls of the race, Begich <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/house/2024/alaska/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">leads</a> Peltola by around 4 points. In Alaska&#8217;s ranked-choice voting system, a candidate must reach over 50% before being declared the winner. The Decision Desk HQ <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/house/alaska-at-large/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">forecast</a> currently gives Begich a 62% chance of winning the race.
<h4>Arizona — 1st District</h4>
Republican David Schweikert has held the 1st District seat in Arizona since 2023 after serving as the 6th District&#8217;s congressman for 10 years. Schweikert has focused on fiscal conservatism and addressing the national debt. Schweikert squeaked out a victory by just over 3,000 votes in 2022 over Democrat Jevin Hodge. His opponent this year is Democrat Amish Shah, a current state representative and emergency room doctor, who has <a href="https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/08/amish-shah-gets-primetime-interview-as-david-schweikert-avoids-debate/75210240007/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">focused</a> on abortion.
Parts of Arizona&#8217;s 1st District fall in Maricopa County, where election officials <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/officials-in-arizonas-maricopa-county-say-counting-ballots-could-take-up-to-13-days" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> last month that it could take up to 13 days to “complete tabulation of all the ballots that come in.” Maricopa County, which is the largest county in Arizona, was also at the center of controversy in the aftermath of the 2020 and 2022 elections.
The Decision Desk HQ <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/house/arizona-1/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">forecast</a> currently gives Schweikert a 68% chance of winning re-election.
<h4>Arizona — 6th District</h4>
First-term Republican Juan Ciscomani is running for re-election in Arizona&#8217;s 6th District and is in a tight race with the Democrat he barely beat in 2022, Kirsten Engel. Ciscomani has centered his campaign on pushing for more border security amid the record border encounters during the Biden-Harris administration. Engel, meanwhile, is focused on pro-abortion policies.
The 6th Congressional District is located in Arizona&#8217;s southeast corner. The Decision Desk HQ <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/house/arizona-6/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">forecast</a> currently gives Ciscomani an 83% chance of winning.
<h4>California — 13th District</h4>
First-term Republican John Duarte faces off against Democrat Adam Gray in California&#8217;s 13th District. Duarte narrowly defeated Gray in the 2022 election. The freshman congressman is a moderate Republican who officially <a href="https://www.turlockjournal.com/news/government/rep-duarte-backs-trump-calls-conviction-miscarriage-justice/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">endorsed</a> Trump earlier this year after the former president was convicted on 34 felony counts in a Manhattan court. Gray, who served in California&#8217;s State Assembly, lost to Duarte in 2022 by just over 500 votes in what was one of the closest House races that year.
The Decision Desk HQ <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/house/california-13/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">forecast</a> gives Duarte a 55% chance of defeating Gray again.
<h4>Colorado — 8th District</h4>
Another freshman congressman, Democrat Yadira Caraveo, is being challenged by Republican Gabe Evans, a state representative and former police officer and Army captain. The race in Colorado&#8217;s 8th District has grown closer in recent weeks. Caraveo currently has a 71% chance of winning, according to <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/house/colorado-8/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Decision Desk HQ</a>.
<h4>Iowa — 3rd District</h4>
Republican Zach Nunn, a first-term congressman, faces Democrat Lanon Baccam in Iowa&#8217;s 3rd District. Baccam, a veteran and federal Agriculture Department official, has hammered Nunn over the issue of abortion. Nunn, meanwhile, has focused his campaign on the economy and has hit the trail with Iowa Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds.
Nunn pulled off an upset over Democrat Rep. Cindy Axne in 2022, helping the GOP secure control of the House. Decision Desk HQ gives Nunn a <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/house/iowa-3/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">55% chance</a> of winning.
<h4>Michigan — 7th District</h4>
After Democrat Rep. Elissa Slotkin entered the race for retiring Sen. Debbie Stabenow&#8217;s seat, Michigan&#8217;s 7th District was thrown wide open with Republican Tom Barrett seeking to flip the seat for the GOP. Curtis Hertel is challenging Barrett in hopes of keeping the district in the hands of the Democrats. Barrett lost to Slotkin by around 5 points in the 2022 election.
Hertel was recently <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/dem-running-in-michigan-swing-district-says-americans-owe-a-debt-to-illegal-immigrants" target="_blank" rel="noopener">criticized</a> for saying on video that Americans &#8220;owe a debt&#8221; to illegal immigrants, adding that he has no &#8220;interest in deporting anybody.&#8221;
Current polling shows Barrett with a slight edge over Hertel. Barrett has a <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/house/michigan-7/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">63% chance</a> of winning, according to Decision Desk HQ.
<h4>Michigan — 8th District</h4>
Another district in the battleground state of Michigan could be a pick-up for Republicans. Democrat Rep. Dan Kildee, who represented Michigan&#8217;s 8th District, announced last year that he would not seek re-election, creating another open House seat. Republican Paul Junge has focused on securing the border while Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet has focused on abortion.
According to <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/house/michigan-8/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Decision Desk HQ</a>, Junge currently holds a 55% chance of winning the race.
<h4>New York — 19th District</h4>
Republicans could lose a seat in New York&#8217;s 19th District where incumbent Republican Marc Molinaro faces a tough challenge from Democrat Josh Riley. Molinaro has voted across the party line while in Congress, but during the campaign, he has focused on immigration, a top issue for Republicans. Riley served as general counsel to U.S. Senator Al Franken on the Senate Judiciary Committee and has &#8220;<a href="https://joshrileyforcongress.com/meet-josh/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">championed</a> an effort in federal court to ratify the federal Equal Rights Amendment, which would make abortion access a constitutional right.&#8221;
The 2024 race is a rematch of 2022 when Molinaro won by nearly 4 points. Molinaro was favored to win the race for most of the 2024 campaign, according to forecasts by <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/house/new-york-19/">Decision Desk HQ</a>, but now Riley currently has a 58% chance of winning.
<h4>Oregon — 5th District</h4>
In Oregon&#8217;s 5th District, Republicans are hoping to hold onto another seat as incumbent Lori Chavez-Deremer faces Democrat challenger Janelle Bynum. Chavez-Deremer won in a tight race in 2022 over Democrat Jamie McLeod-Skinner, giving the Republicans another important seat in its slim majority.
The Daily Wire <a href="https://www.dailywire.com/news/swing-state-dem-voted-to-fund-down-payment-assistance-for-illegal-immigrants" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> in September that Bynum sponsored legislation that sent hundreds of thousands of dollars to a program that discriminates against U.S. citizens and offers down payment assistance to illegal immigrants.
Chavez-Deremer is narrowly favored to win the race, standing at 58% in Decision Desk HQ&#8217;s <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/house/oregon-5/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">forecast</a>.
<h4>Many other close races to watch</h4>
Of course, this isn&#8217;t an all-encompassing list of House races to keep an eye on come Election Night. But each one will play a pivotal role in determining which party will be in power in January. Decision Desk HQ gives Republicans a 53% chance of maintaining a majority in the House, with the overall seat <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/house/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">projections</a> showing the GOP at 218 and Democrats at 217.

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