At least 45 to 50% of the Republican base in the early primaries and caucuses does not want Donald Trump as their 2024 candidate or would be open to another candidate. Real Clear Politics polling average shows 44% of the Republican base is not in love with Trump.
Whoever is running against Trump is going to have to stop with the notion that he will just fall off the road somewhere. In 2016, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio assumed Trump’s support base would simply collapse at a certain point, and then they would just walk into the nomination. That didn’t happen; they ended up fighting each other, and John Kasich stayed in to make sure Trump was the nominee.
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