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Trump Approval Hits High Not Reached Since Mueller Probe Began

U.S. President Donald Trump gestures after speaking during the Republican Jewish Coalition's annual leadership meeting at The Venetian Las Vegas on April 6, 2019 in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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As Attorney General William Barr works with the special counsel's team to finalize redactions on the "Russia collusion" report — which "did not establish that members of the Trump Campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government in its election interference activities" — President Trump's approval number in Rasmussen's daily tracking poll has reached a high the president hasn't enjoyed for over two years, before the Trump-Russia probe was first authorized.

 

Rasmussen reported Tuesday that their daily tracking poll found Trump at +8% in approval and holding a 1-point edge among those who feel "strongly" one way or the other.

"The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 53% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-five percent (45%) disapprove," the pollster reports. "The latest figures include 37% who Strongly Approve of the job Trump is doing and 36% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of +1."

So how does that compare to Trump's overall performance? It's the best approval he's experienced in Rasmussen's poll since March 3 of 2017, when he likewise earned 53% approval, but performed less well in disapproval (47%). At that point, the president was likewise at +1 in the poll's Approval Index rating.

To find better numbers than Tuesday's, Trump would have to go back to February 17 — less than a month after he took office — when he hit a high of 55% approval and 45% disapproval. His index then was also slightly better at +2%.

 

Since being sworn into office on January 20, 2017, Trump's highest approval he has ever achieved in Rasmussen's daily tracking poll is 59%, a mark he hit six days after his inauguration. With just 31% disapproving, Trump was +28% in approval and +13% in the poll's Approval Index rating (44% strongly approving, 31% strongly disapproving). But within just a few weeks, the newly sworn-in president's approval was hovering in the low-50s; by the end of March, Trump's approval had sunk to the low-40s, where it remained for most of the next year.

Overall, Rasmussen has largely found Trump's approval fluctuating in the mid-40s. Since late-February, however, the president's numbers have climbed to the high-40s and low-50s.

 

Of the national polls, Rasmussen frequently gives Trump higher marks than many of the others. Real Clear Politics' average of national polls currently shows Trump in the red by nearly 8% (44- 51.8). The most recent The Hill/Harris X survey found Trump -8% behind, 46-54. A recent IBD/TIPP poll gave Trump a -11% rating (41-52). Economist/YouGov's most recent poll also showed Trump with worse numbers than Rasmussen (43-54, -11), as did a Politico/Morning Consult poll (42-53, -11).

While Trump appears to be enjoying a bump after Mueller concluded his report with no further indictments — having found no collusion and not taking an official position on obstruction of justice, according to Barr's summary — many voters appear to remain fixed in their view of his presidency. As Rasmussen has consistently found, around 70% of voters feel strongly one way or the other on the president, which explains why his numbers don't fluctuate as much as one might expect for such a turbulent presidency.

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