CNN released its first poll for the 2020 election season Sunday morning, and former Vice President Joe Biden dominates the field of Democratic contenders — even though the first debate is still likely more than eight months away.
The poll shows Americans are now "more likely" to believe Donald Trump will win a second term in office, however, putting the crowded Democratic field at an interesting disadvantage. Now, 46% of Americans believe Donald Trump will be a two-term president, up ten points from the same poll taken in May.
Republicans are also far more united now than ever before. Only 20% of Republicans say they'd prefer a different candidate at the top of the GOP ticket. That's good news for Trump; two years ago, Republicans predicted Trump might face a serious challenge from the Right. That doesn't seem to be the case anymore.
Democrats, though, may face a long and arduous election season. CNN polled the top 16 candidates, from Joe Biden, to Michael Avenatti, and found that Biden, and not more predictable names like Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) was Democrats' top choice to take on Trump in 2020.
The first @CNN numbers for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination just released this morning:— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) October 14, 2018
Biden has yet to announce any intention to run for president, but he has said he's "considered" the possibility, and in recent weeks, Biden has emerged as a vocal critic of the Trump administration, coming back from a nearly two-year hiatus from public life.
None of the more progressive Democrats, many of whom, like Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), used Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh's nomination hearings as a vehicle to court the far left, even come near to the top, nor to the declared leader of the progressive movement within the Democratic Party, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT). Neither Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), nor Booker, Warren, or Gillibrand, cleared 10% — which may come as a shock to their respective operations.
Gillibrand, who was recently introduced at an anti-Kavanaugh rally by hardcore leftist and Women's March leader Linda Sarsour, fared the worst of her fellow progressives, tying with celebrity attorney Michael Avenatti at 1%.
CNN did not poll a third Hillary Clinton presidential run.
There are still many months to go before a Democratic challenger is finally crowned, but the race for 2020 begins as soon as the midterm elections end.