A recent poll in Ohio shows real estate mogul Donald Trump leading over the state's supposed favorite son, Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R).
A Quinnipiac poll taken from Feb. 16-20 has the following results:
- Trump: 31 percent
- Kasich: 26 percent
- Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX): 21 percent
- Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL): 13 percent
- Dr. Ben Carson: 5 percent
Peter Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac poll, pointed out that 78 percent of Trump's supporters are 100 percent committed to supporting him–which is higher than the rest of the candidates–while five percent of likely Republican voters are undecided. However, 38 percent of Republican voters say that they could change their minds before election day.
Despite his lead, Trump's favorables are only at 57 percent, below Kasich (77 percent), Rubio (62 percent) and Cruz (60 percent), suggesting that likability is not of high importance to Republican primary voters in Ohio.
Brown cautioned that Trump leads over Kasich only by five points, so he can't exactly breathe easy. However, the fact that Kasich isn't winning in his home state where he is thought to be popular does not bode well for him, especially since Trump and Carson both led Kasich in Ohio back in the fall. Kasich losing Ohio would be the death knell for his campaign.