Trump Enemy Flake Down BIG In Arizona Primary

67% unfavorable; More Arizonans Prefer Ward

A Monday-published poll of likely Arizona Republican primary voters shows incumbent Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) trailing his opponent Kelli Ward.

Conducted by JMC Analytics and Polling, the poll polled 500 persons from “likely Republican households” across August 26 and 27.

The poll’s respondents held broadly favorable views of Trump, with 76% expressing approval of the president’s job performance; 56% said they would be more likely to support a Senate nominee with Trump’s endorsement.

Key takeaways below:


Flake’s Favorability

67% Unfavorable

22% Favorable

9% No Opinion

2% Never Heard of Flake

Ward’s Favorability

45% Favorable

23% Unfavorable

24% No Opinion

11% Never Heard of Ward

Flake vs. “Someone Else”

66% Want Flake Replaced

22% Want Flake Renominated

13 Undecided

If Voting Today, Who Would You Vote For?

Ward 47%

Flake 21%

Tutora 3%

Undecided 29%

Flake is regularly framed as disconnected from conservatives’ agenda by commentators such as Rush Limbaugh and Mark Levin.

Ward has sought to distinguish herself from Flake along the fault line of alignment with Trump, framing her opponent as wrongly opposing the president on various issues. That's not entirely accurate; Flake has voted with Trump over 93% of the time.

Trump has criticized Flake several times for the Arizona senator's alignment with left-wing and Democrat issues and narratives, most recently on Twitter:

Great America PAC — a "pro-Trump" political action committee — has contributed $20,000 to helping Ward. Robert Mercer — a billionaire political benefactor of Trump's — contributed an additional $300,000 to Ward.

Follow Robert Kraychik on Twitter.

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