Hillary Clinton is dominating Donald Trump among millenials, according to a new poll released Wednesday by Harvard University’s Institute of Politics. That bodes ill for the GOP nominee, as millenials comprised 19% of the vote in 2012.
In a two-way vote, Voters between the ages of 18-29 preferred Clinton to Trump, 59%-25%. In a four-way race with Clinton, Trump, Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein, Clinton received 49%, Trump 21%, Johnson 14%, and Stein 5%.
Clinton is even polling better among whites and women than Barack Obama did in 2012.
John Della Volpe, the institute's polling director, commented:
After eight years of a complicated relationship with millennials, in the closing days of the campaign, Hillary Clinton is closing strong. Her favorability with 18- to 29-year-old likely voters is up significantly since the summer and the combination of her strong debate performances, and failure for both Trump and the third party candidates to expand their bases gives her a lead of 28 points."
The poll asked respondents whether they felt “hopeful” or “fearful” about the nation’s future, 51% of millenials responded “fearful”; only 20% said they were “hopeful.” Every demographic chose “fearful” over “hopeful”; the group that was the most fearful was white women; 60% of whom said they were “fearful.”
Roughly one-third of millennial thought they would surpass their parents financially.
Clinton led with women by 14 points, whites by 12 points, and non-college voters by 10 points. Trump is drawing 17 points less among young Republicans than Mitt Romney did in 2012.
Trump’s problems with the female vote is exacerbated by the fact that 51% of women said they would definitely vote; 45% said they would definitely vote in 2012.Other constituencies troublesome for Trump are also more likely to vote; young Hispanics are eight points more likely to vote than in 2012; independents are seven points more likely to vote.