The latest Quinnipiac University poll should be a wake-up call for the Republican Party. Less than a week after the passage of the American Health Care Act (AHCA), a sample of 1,078 Americans indicated that 54% of respondents want to see the Democratic Party take control of the House of Representatives after the 2018 midterm elections compared to 38% wanting the Republicans to maintain the House. This 16-point differential is the widest margin ever measured on this question in the Quinnipiac University poll.
The reason for the skew is that 50% of the political independents polled would rather see the Democrats win the House compared to 37% wanting Republicans. Interestingly, 9% of Republicans would rather see the Democrats take over the House while only 2% of Democrats want to see the Republicans maintain the House. While it is not clear as to the specifics of why many Independents and some Republicans want to see the Democrats take control of the House, it should be an alarm call for Republicans that they need to wake up and start getting their act together unless they want to lose the historic majority they hold today.
Noah Rothman of Commentary Magazine best summarized the optimal strategy for Congressional Republicans following the kerfuffle yesterday over Trump's firing of James Comey:
Pass. Tax. Code. Reform. Now.— Noah Rothman (@NoahCRothman) May 10, 2017
Republicans would be wise to take that advice if they don't want to get blown out in the midterm election.
Meanwhile, the poll also indicates that President Trump has a 36/58 approval/disapproval rating. Quinnipiac University focuses much of its survey calling to individuals in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, and Colorado.